2501 Tilton Rd #117 · Pomona, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A beautiful community set in the countryside of a bustling area, Steeplechase Village offers our residents a bit of country living with access to big city amenities. Our community has beautiful homes ranging from 2 to 3 bedrooms with driveways and spacious yards for residents to garden and BBQ in. On-site management and 24/7 emergency maintenance.
Key facts
- Spacious yards
- On-site management
- Built 2025
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $862 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 4.6% in Pomona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#441 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Egg Harbor Township School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #311 of 472 in NJ (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 357 active listings in the ZIP; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.11%
- DSCR
- 2.83
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,000
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 4.53%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2501 Tilton Rd #314 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+2%) | 3mo | $92,500 | $116 | 88 |
| 2501 Tilton Rd #312 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 864 (+10%) | 1mo | $86,000 | $100 | 82 |
| 2528 Tilton Rd #410 | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-8%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $76 | 54 |
| 2528 Tilton Rd #421 | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 | 900 (+15%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $67 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $40,378
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 44.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.21×
- Total profit
- $105,991
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08234
- Home prices YoY
- -6.7%
- Active inventory
- 357
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,878 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $862
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $89,900 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
A beautiful community set in the countryside of a bustling area, Steeplechase Village offers our residents a bit of country living with access to big city amenities. Our community has beautiful homes ranging from 2 to 3 bedrooms with driveways and spacious yards for residents to garden and BBQ in. On-site management and 24/7 emergency maintenance.
-
2025-09-27$94,900 Active 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
A beautiful community set in the countryside of a bustling area, Steeplechase Village offers our residents a bit of country living with access to big city amenities. Our community has beautiful homes ranging from 2 to 3 bedrooms with driveways and spacious yards for residents to garden and BBQ in. On-site management and 24/7 emergency maintenance.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,803
- − Management
- −$1,803
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $9,480
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,275
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,072/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This single-family home in Steeplechase Village is in good condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and interior functionality, making it a solid investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard and landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding a small patio or deck — This can increase the living space and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing and functional.
- Both Adding a smart home system — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard and landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding a small patio or deck — This can increase the living space and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing and functional. ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Egg Harbor Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3404560
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,612
- Composite
- 29.81/100
- National rank
- #6421
- State rank
- #311 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Pomona
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #441
- US rank
- #16217
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,856
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 13% Black 9% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.76%
- Current HPI
- 319.2948
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
-5.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-27 Listed $94,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…