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2501 Tilton Rd #117
B- Composite 68.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

2501 Tilton Rd #117 · Pomona, NJ 08234
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily · 265 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition $115/sqft · at area comps Est $86k · at est. ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A beautiful community set in the countryside of a bustling area, Steeplechase Village offers our residents a bit of country living with access to big city amenities. Our community has beautiful homes ranging from 2 to 3 bedrooms with driveways and spacious yards for residents to garden and BBQ in. On-site management and 24/7 emergency maintenance.

Key facts

  • Spacious yards
  • On-site management
  • Built 2025

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDSON-SITE MANAGEMENTEMERGENCY MAINTENANCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $862 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 4.6% in Pomona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#441 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Egg Harbor Township School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #311 of 472 in NJ (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 357 active listings in the ZIP; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
17.80%
Cash-on-cash
41.11%
DSCR
2.83
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,000
List price
$89,900
Delta
4.53%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2501 Tilton Rd #314 0.09mi 2/2.0 800 (+2%) 3mo $92,500 $116 88
2501 Tilton Rd #312 0.00mi 2/1.5 864 (+10%) 1mo $86,000 $100 82
2528 Tilton Rd #410 0.47mi 2/1.0 720 (-8%) 10mo $55,000 $76 54
2528 Tilton Rd #421 0.47mi 2/1.5 900 (+15%) 3mo $60,000 $67 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.6%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$40,378
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
44.2%
Equity multiple
5.21×
Total profit
$105,991
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08234

Home prices YoY
-6.7%
Active inventory
357
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,878 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$862

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,900 Active 265 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 264 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 263 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 262 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 261 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 259 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 258 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 256 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 255 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 254 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 253 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 248 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 247 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 246 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 245 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    price $89,900 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    A beautiful community set in the countryside of a bustling area, Steeplechase Village offers our residents a bit of country living with access to big city amenities. Our community has beautiful homes ranging from 2 to 3 bedrooms with driveways and spacious yards for residents to garden and BBQ in. On-site management and 24/7 emergency maintenance.

  17. 2025-09-27
    listed $94,900 Active 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    A beautiful community set in the countryside of a bustling area, Steeplechase Village offers our residents a bit of country living with access to big city amenities. Our community has beautiful homes ranging from 2 to 3 bedrooms with driveways and spacious yards for residents to garden and BBQ in. On-site management and 24/7 emergency maintenance.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,535
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,348
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,803
− Management
−$1,803
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$9,480
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,275
After-tax cash flow
$8,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-family home in Steeplechase Village is in good condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and interior functionality, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard and landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding a small patio or deck — This can increase the living space and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing and functional.
  • Both Adding a smart home system — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard and landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding a small patio or deck — This can increase the living space and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing and functional.
  • Both Adding a smart home system — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Egg Harbor Township School District
NCES district ID
3404560
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$71,612
Composite
29.81/100
National rank
#6421
State rank
#311 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Pomona

Score
62/100
State rank
#441
US rank
#16217

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
46,856

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 13% Black 9% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.76%
Current HPI
319.2948
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-27 Listed $94,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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