3218 Trumbull Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$16,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level with ground-level entry
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.15 acres (59.06 x 107.36)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living space)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Accessible entrance, accessible bedroom, accessible closets, accessible doors
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $16k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($878 rent vs $16k).
- Recommended offer: $16k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 48.6% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $114 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $495 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $3k; list at $16k implies a 450% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 48.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 151.15%
- DSCR
- 7.73
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $26,146
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3221 Burgess St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 755 (-2%) | 3mo | $15,900 | $21 | 91 |
| 3501 Fleming Rd | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 764 (-1%) | 12mo | $25,000 | $33 | 83 |
| 2713 Brownell Blvd | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-5%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $48 | 72 |
| 1713 W Dartmouth St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-6%) | 5mo | $69,900 | $97 | 70 |
| 3721 Trumbull Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 742 (-4%) | 15mo | $25,000 | $34 | 69 |
| 2632 Landon St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 740 (-4%) | 17mo | $18,500 | $25 | 65 |
| 3501 Milbourne Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (-2%) | 19mo | $24,000 | $32 | 64 |
| 3622 Winona St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 697 (-9%) | 11mo | $54,900 | $79 | 61 |
| 2101 W Dartmouth St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (-6%) | 17mo | $26,000 | $36 | 61 |
| 2909 Wisner St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+6%) | 12mo | $10,400 | $13 | 60 |
| 3143 Maywood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 882 (+15%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $40 | 39 |
| 2718 Dupont St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+12%) | 18mo | $9,990 | $12 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.45×
- Total profit
- $34,400
- Equity at exit
- $2,460
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.82×
- Total profit
- $77,727
- Equity at exit
- $1,427
Cash invested: $4,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48504
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $878 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$87
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $221/yr
- Insurance
- −$7
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $582
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,125
- Closing costs
- $495
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3221 Burgess St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $875 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3506 Brownell Blvd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $825 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 711 W Dewey St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $925 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2462 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2462 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2410 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2410 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2410 Gena Ann Ln Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3376 Preston Pl Unit PRE3376 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2419 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2419 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3616 Concord St Unit CON3616 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2332 Fredonia Ave Unit FRE2332 Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $895 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,000 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 49 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $16,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $16,500 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $16,500 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $16,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $16,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $16,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $16,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $16,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $16,500 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $16,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $16,500 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $19,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $19,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $19,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $19,500 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $19,500 Active 22 DOM
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2026-05-14price $21,500 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.
-
2026-05-14price $21,500
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.
-
2026-05-08$25,000 Active 364-char remark
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.
-
2026-05-08$25,000 Active
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.
-
2026-04-21status Pending 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-04-21status Pending
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-04-17soldstatus $3,000 Closed 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-04-17soldstatus $3,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-03-30historical Active Under Contract 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-03-30historical Accepting Backup Offers
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-03-25status Pending 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-03-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-03-07price $6,000
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-03-07price $6,000 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-02-25price $8,000
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-02-25price $8,000 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-01-09$10,000 Active 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
-
2026-01-09$10,000 Active
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday
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2014-05-23soldstatus $1,600
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2014-05-23soldstatus $1,600
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2014-05-01historical
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2013-12-23$1,900
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2013-12-23$1,900
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2010-12-06historical
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2009-12-30historical
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2007-09-30$39,900
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2007-09-30$39,900
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2003-03-26soldstatus $37,600
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2003-03-17soldstatus $37,600
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2003-03-17soldstatus $37,600
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2003-02-08historical
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2003-01-18$36,000
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2003-01-18$36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $221 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $238 · $20/mo
- Expected delta
- +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,538
- − Mortgage interest
- −$924
- − Property taxes
- −$221
- − Insurance
- −$82
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$843
- − Management
- −$843
- − Depreciation
- −$480
- Taxable income
- $7,144
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,715
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- City population
- 93,814
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,873
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.67%
- Current HPI
- 94.3111
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-40.3% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $21,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $21,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-21 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Sold (MLS) $3,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Sold (MLS) $3,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $6,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $8,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-09 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-09 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-05-23 Sold (MLS) $1,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-05-23 Sold (MLS) $1,600 REALCOMP
- 2014-05-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-12-23 Listed $1,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-12-23 Listed $1,900 REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-12-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-09-30 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-09-30 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $37,600 Public Records
- 2003-03-17 Sold (MLS) $37,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-03-17 Sold (MLS) $37,600 REALCOMP
- 2003-02-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-01-18 Listed $36,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-01-18 Listed $36,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-24.1%/yrLatest (2018): $221 · -68.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…