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3218 Trumbull Ave
D+ Composite 49.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$16,500

3218 Trumbull Ave · Flint, MI 48504
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 769 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1950 6,534 sqft lot Est $26k · 37% under ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level with ground-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.15 acres (59.06 x 107.36)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living space)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Accessible entrance, accessible bedroom, accessible closets, accessible doors

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $16k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($878 rent vs $16k).
  • Recommended offer: $16k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 48.6% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $114 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $495 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $3k; list at $16k implies a 450% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $16,005 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.32%
Cap rate
48.61%
Cash-on-cash
151.15%
DSCR
7.73
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$26,146
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3221 Burgess St 0.07mi 2/1.0 755 (-2%) 3mo $15,900 $21 91
3501 Fleming Rd 0.13mi 2/1.0 764 (-1%) 12mo $25,000 $33 83
2713 Brownell Blvd 0.33mi 2/1.0 728 (-5%) 5mo $35,000 $48 72
1713 W Dartmouth St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 720 (-6%) 5mo $69,900 $97 70
3721 Trumbull Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 742 (-4%) 15mo $25,000 $34 69
2632 Landon St 0.31mi 2/1.0 740 (-4%) 17mo $18,500 $25 65
3501 Milbourne Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 752 (-2%) 19mo $24,000 $32 64
3622 Winona St 0.31mi 2/1.0 697 (-9%) 11mo $54,900 $79 61
2101 W Dartmouth St 0.33mi 2/1.0 724 (-6%) 17mo $26,000 $36 61
2909 Wisner St 0.42mi 2/1.0 816 (+6%) 12mo $10,400 $13 60
3143 Maywood Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 882 (+15%) 1mo $35,000 $40 39
2718 Dupont St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+12%) 18mo $9,990 $12 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.45×
Total profit
$34,400
Equity at exit
$2,460
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.82×
Total profit
$77,727
Equity at exit
$1,427

Cash invested: $4,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$878 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$87
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $221/yr
Insurance
$7
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$582

Break-even live

Break-even rent $142
Max offer price $16,500
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,125
Closing costs
$495
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3221 Burgess St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 755 $875 $1.16 21d 1 0.07mi
3506 Brownell Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $825 $1.38 13d 1 0.23mi
711 W Dewey St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1011 $925 $0.91 21d 1 0.50mi
2462 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2462 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.17mi
2410 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2410 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.18mi
2410 Gena Ann Ln Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.18mi
3376 Preston Pl Unit PRE3376 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.18mi
2419 Gena Ann Ln Unit GEN2419 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.20mi
3616 Concord St Unit CON3616 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.33mi
2332 Fredonia Ave Unit FRE2332 Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 960 $895 $0.93 44d 1 1.35mi
5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 940 $1,000 $1.06 13d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 49 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $16,500 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $16,500 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $16,500 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $16,500 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $16,500 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $16,500 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $16,500 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $16,500 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $16,500 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $16,500 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $16,500 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $19,500 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,500 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,500 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,500 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $19,500 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $21,500 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.

  18. 2026-05-14
    price $21,500
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.

  19. 2026-05-08
    listed $25,000 Active 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.

  20. 2026-05-08
    listed $25,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    Welcome to this Fixer-Upper Special located in the West of Flint in a Great Area. This fixer-upper features a large backyard, full basement, and plenty of room to renovate, customize, or add value. Perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. It's located near the Mclaren Flint Hospital, Walgreens, Restaurants & much more.

  21. 2026-04-21
    status Pending 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  22. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  23. 2026-04-17
    soldstatus $3,000 Closed 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  24. 2026-04-17
    soldstatus $3,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  25. 2026-03-30
    historical Active Under Contract 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  26. 2026-03-30
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  27. 2026-03-25
    status Pending 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  28. 2026-03-25
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  29. 2026-03-07
    price $6,000
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  30. 2026-03-07
    price $6,000 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  31. 2026-02-25
    price $8,000
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  32. 2026-02-25
    price $8,000 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  33. 2026-01-09
    listed $10,000 Active 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  34. 2026-01-09
    listed $10,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Not a drive by. .. Seller is wanting to sell. He has relocated and can not do the remodeling. no showings until Monday

  35. 2014-05-23
    soldstatus $1,600
  36. 2014-05-23
    soldstatus $1,600
  37. 2014-05-01
    historical
  38. 2013-12-23
    listed $1,900
  39. 2013-12-23
    listed $1,900
  40. 2010-12-06
    historical
  41. 2009-12-30
    historical
  42. 2007-09-30
    listed $39,900
  43. 2007-09-30
    listed $39,900
  44. 2003-03-26
    soldstatus $37,600
  45. 2003-03-17
    soldstatus $37,600
  46. 2003-03-17
    soldstatus $37,600
  47. 2003-02-08
    historical
  48. 2003-01-18
    listed $36,000
  49. 2003-01-18
    listed $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$221 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$238 · $20/mo
Expected delta
+$16/yr (+$1/mo · 7.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,538
− Mortgage interest
−$924
− Property taxes
−$221
− Insurance
−$82
− Repairs & maintenance
−$843
− Management
−$843
− Depreciation
−$480
Taxable income
$7,144
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,715
After-tax cash flow
$5,268/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.3% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $21,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $21,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Sold (MLS) $3,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Sold (MLS) $3,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-30 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $8,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-23 Sold (MLS) $1,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-23 Sold (MLS) $1,600 REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-12-23 Listed $1,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-12-23 Listed $1,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-12-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-12-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-09-30 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-09-30 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $37,600 Public Records
  • 2003-03-17 Sold (MLS) $37,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-03-17 Sold (MLS) $37,600 REALCOMP
  • 2003-02-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-01-18 Listed $36,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-01-18 Listed $36,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-24.1%/yr

Latest (2018): $221 · -68.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…