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1424 Parkhurst Dr
F Composite 19.69
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

1424 Parkhurst Dr · Bowling Green, KY 42101
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 256 Days on market
Built 1958 5,663 sqft lot Est $140k · 50% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Motivated Sellers! 3 bed 1 bath home with approximately 1,018 sqft additional building featuring another 3 bed 1 bath, kitchen, dining area and living room. Ideal for extended family or rental income. "Great Investment Opportunity. "

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1958

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached concrete garage with 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Electric range; Oven
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Attic fan; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Covered patio/porch; Fenced yard
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-330 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (27.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (45.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (45.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.2% in Bowling Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#255 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bowling Green Independent (urban): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #44 of 165 in KY (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Dishman Mcginnis Elementary School (math 24% / reading 22%, grade F, #520 of 676 statewide, top 77%, 430 students, 96% FRL); Bowling Green Junior High (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #51 of 217 statewide, top 24%, 963 students, 65% FRL); Bowling Green High School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #51 of 254 statewide, top 21%, 1,294 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 53% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 639 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,286 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (1,410 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warren County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $160k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,992 (45.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.54%
Cap rate
4.40%
Cash-on-cash
-6.75%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
15.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1571 Virginia Dr 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+3%) 5mo $144,000 $150 73
720 Glen Lily Rd 0.33mi 2/2.0 (-1) 950 (+2%) 5mo $145,000 $153 69
1640 Sharon Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 945 (+1%) 6mo $145,500 $154 69
1700 Johnson Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 936 (0%) 2mo $105,000 $112 67
1717 Media Dr 0.51mi 3/1.0 888 (-5%) 2mo $140,000 $158 66
168 Butler Way 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,002 (+7%) 5mo $111,000 $111 64
1409 Collegeview Dr 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 812 (-13%) 2mo $105,000 $129 64
1560 Virginia Dr 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-11%) 0mo $132,500 $159 64
345 Cherry Way 0.50mi 3/1.0 870 (-7%) 3mo $105,000 $121 62
531 Dennis Way 0.51mi 3/1.0 864 (-8%) 3mo $117,500 $136 61
1205 Westmeade Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,053 (+12%) 1mo $160,000 $152 59
1729 S Sunrise Dr 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 810 (-14%) 0mo $112,450 $139 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-30.5%
Equity multiple
0.01×
Total profit
$-58,211
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
-46.3%
Equity multiple
-0.53×
Total profit
$-90,066
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42101

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
639
Price-to-rent
15.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,140 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $513/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$-330

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,558
Max offer price $151,535
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-212 -5% $-271 +0% $-330 +5% $-390 +10% $-449
Rent -10% $-420 -5% $-375 +0% $-330 +5% $-285 +10% $-240
Rate -1.0pp $-225 -0.5pp $-277 base $-330 +0.5pp $-385 +1.0pp $-440

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1456 Longview Dr Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.0 826 $950 $1.15 23d 1 0.05mi
1625 Catherine Dr Unit A Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.0 850 $800 $0.94 15d 1 0.35mi
400 Gayle Way Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.0 864 $1,250 $1.45 23d 1 0.39mi
1733 Holly Dr Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 864 $1,210 $1.40 23d 1 0.57mi
1700 Johnson Dr Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 15d 1 0.64mi
501 Eric Ave Unit D29 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.0 864 $795 $0.92 15d 1 0.66mi
630 Woodford Ave Unit 2 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 15d 1 0.85mi
1059 Fair St Unit 1 Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 1002 $800 $0.80 23d 1 1.00mi
1044 Fair St Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.5 983 $925 $0.94 15d 1 1.04mi
100 Amy Ave #2 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.5 900 $850 $0.94 15d 1 1.20mi
2119 Rock Creek Dr Unit A Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.0 880 $875 $0.99 46d 1 1.24mi
804 West Town Ct Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 15d 1 1.25mi
2120 Creason St Apt 323 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 1099 $1,210 $1.10 15d 1 1.28mi
2120 Creason St Apt 324 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 1099 $1,210 $1.10 23d 1 1.28mi
261 Audley Ave Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.5 944 $1,095 $1.16 46d 1 1.29mi
171 Devin Close Ct Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 23d 1 1.31mi
424 Jennings Ct Unit 2 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.5 1100 $800 $0.73 23d 1 1.32mi
1607 U.S. 31 West Byp Unit 1720-A03 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 929 $1,025 $1.10 23d 1 1.35mi
2244 Hickory St Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,300 $2.30 15d 2 1.36mi
, KY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 15d 1 1.36mi
314 Audley Ave Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 980 $950 $0.97 15d 1 1.40mi
1530 Kenton St Bowling Green, KY 3.0 1.0 975 $1,300 $1.33 15d 1 1.41mi
179 Walnut Creek Dr Bowling Green, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $1,200 $1.20 15d 11 1.46mi
179 Walnut Creek Dr Unit 215 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 23d 1 1.46mi
2146 Prospector Ct Apt 2512 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 980 $995 $1.02 15d 1 1.46mi
2212 Hickory St Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,300 $2.30 15d 1 1.47mi
2220 Hickory St Apt 223 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 46d 1 1.48mi
2220 Hickory St Apt 221 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,300 $2.30 46d 1 1.48mi
2151 Prospector Ct Apt 2022 Bowling Green, KY 2.0 2.0 980 $1,100 $1.12 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $209,900 Active 256 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $209,900 Active 255 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $209,900 Active 253 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,900 Active 252 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,900 Active 251 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,900 Active 250 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,900 Active 249 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $209,900 Active 247 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,900 Active 246 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $209,900 Active 244 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,900 Active 243 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,900 Active 242 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,900 Active 241 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $209,900 Active 236 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,900 Active 235 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,900 Active 234 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $209,900 Active 233 DOM
  18. 2026-04-14
    price $209,900
  19. 2026-03-06
    price $219,000
  20. 2026-01-15
    price $229,000
  21. 2025-12-08
    price $235,000
  22. 2025-10-08
    listed $295,000 Active
  23. 2023-06-20
    soldstatus $160,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$513 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,805 · $150/mo
Expected delta
+$1,292/yr (+$108/mo · 252.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,679
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$513
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,094
− Management
−$1,094
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$7,936
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,905
After-tax cash flow
$-2,060/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bowling Green Independent
NCES district ID
2100570
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$31,181
Composite
31.86/100
National rank
#5870
State rank
#44 of 165 in KY

Livability — Bowling Green

Score
65/100
State rank
#255
US rank
#12782

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bowling Green, KY
County
Warren County · 129,408 people
City population
129,408
Metro
Bowling Green, KY
Population (ZIP)
65,421
Household income
$48,217
Rent vs Own
55.3% rent · 44.7% own
Severe rent burden
3855.0

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,620 people
By 2030
155,977 · +7.9%
By 2040
179,381 · +24.0%
By 2050
203,713 · +40.9%
By 2075
267,291 · +84.8%
By 2100
314,019 · +117.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% American 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.3) · D 37.0% · R 61.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -24.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.3 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.34%
Current HPI
277.6554
Rent YoY
▲ 0.28%
Metro
Bowling Green, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $209,900 RASKMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $219,000 RASKMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $229,000 RASKMLS
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $235,000 RASKMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $295,000 RASKMLS
  • 2023-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $513 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…