1301 Taft Hwy #22 · Bakersfield, CA 93307

$82,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market

Manufactured home Built 1986 Est $100k · 17% under $825/mo HOA · 55% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +6.5/30.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +0.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Split wing 3 bed 2 bath manufactured home located in Southland mobile home park. Vaulted ceilings, indoor laundry, large great room, community perk, rec center, pool and spa.

Key facts

• Newer heater
• Newer stove
• Covered carport

Tags

• NEWER HEATER
• NEWER STOVE
• UPDATED KITCHEN CABINETS
• INDOOR LAUNDRY ROOM
• COVERED CARPORT
• STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Southland Mobile Home Park HOA; HOA fee $825 monthly; Association amenities include community pool

Exterior

• Parking: Carport
• Utilities: Public water; Sewer service
• Home design: Mobile home (zoned MH); Leased space; Owner occupant type
• Construction: Composition roof
• Exterior features: Covered patio; Community pool; Exterior finish: Other (see remarks); Leased space (located in a mobile home park)

Interior

• Kitchen: Range/Oven; Microwave
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Evaporative cooling
• Interior features: Formal living room; Split wing floor plan; Range/Oven; Microwave; Central heat; Evaporative cooling

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $83k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $58k (29.7% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
• Recommended offer: $58k (29.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#716 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
• Kern High (urban): math 21% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #860 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Ridgeview High (reading 95%, 2,688 students, 74% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 314 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $30k; list at $83k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 55% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $58,280 (29.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.80% ✓
• Cap rate: 4.28%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.21%
• DSCR: 0.68
• GRM: 4.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $100,224
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1301 Taft Hwy #58	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,152 (0%)	9mo	$100,000	$87	93
1301 Taft Hwy #163	0.00mi	3/1.8	1,152 (0%)	16mo	$60,000	$52	86
1301 Taft Hwy #31	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,120 (-3%)	14mo	$130,000	$116	84
1301 Taft #91	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,243 (+8%)	6mo	$75,000	$60	82
1301 Taft Hwy #50	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,056 (-8%)	7mo	$109,900	$104	80
1301 Taft Hwy #99	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,034 (-10%)	22mo	$95,900	$93	65
1301 Taft Hwy #96	0.11mi	3/2.0	1,316 (+14%)	9mo	$99,900	$76	64
1225 Taft Hwy #19	0.20mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,058 (-8%)	23mo	$65,000	$61	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -20.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.24×
• Total profit: $-17,643
• Equity at exit: $12,361

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.71×
• Total profit: $-6,679
• Equity at exit: $7,168

Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 93307

• Rents YoY: 5.7%
• Active inventory: 314
• Price-to-rent: 4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,495 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$435
• Tax from tax record: −$26 /mo · $309/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$825
• Lot rent leased land?: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$314
• Net cashflow: $-139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,671

Max offer price $58,280

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-92	-5% $-116	+0% $-139	+5% $-163	+10% $-186
Rent	-10% $-257	-5% $-198	+0% $-139	+5% $-80	+10% $-21
Rate	-1.0pp $-98	-0.5pp $-118	base $-139	+0.5pp $-161	+1.0pp $-183

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,725
• Closing costs: $2,487
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 11 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1408 Interlaken Dr Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1159	$2,250	$1.94	23d	1	1.00mi
8914 S Union Ave Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1500	$1,950	$1.30	5d	1	1.10mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 75B Bakersfield, CA	2.0	1.5	1008	$1,650	$1.64	23d	1	1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 47B Bakersfield, CA	2.0	1.5	1008	$1,650	$1.64	12d	1	1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 56A Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,750	$1.46	5d	1	1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 51D Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,800	$1.50	5d	1	1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 73D Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1230	$1,850	$1.50	46d	1	1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 43B Bakersfield, CA	2.0	1.5	1050	$1,650	$1.57	46d	1	1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Apt 69A Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1208	$1,850	$1.53	21d	1	1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 47C Bakersfield, CA	2.0	1.5	1008	$1,650	$1.64	5d	1	1.38mi
1305 Quartz Hill Rd Bakersfield, CA	3.0	2.0	1351	$2,250	$1.67	5d	1	1.45mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $825 · $9,900/yr
• Likely covers: pool

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $82,900 Active 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $82,900 Active 3 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $82,900 Active 2 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   remarks 357-char remark
5. 2026-06-15
   listed $82,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $309 · $26/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $630 · $53/mo
• Expected delta: +$321/yr (+$27/mo · 103.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,934
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,644
• − Property taxes: −$309
• − Insurance: −$414
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,435
• − Management: −$1,435
• − HOA: −$9,900
• − Depreciation: −$2,412
• Taxable loss: −$2,614
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$627
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kern High
• NCES district ID: 0619540
• Math proficiency: 21% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,686
• Composite: 33.68/100
• National rank: #10443
• State rank: #860 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Bakersfield

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #716
• US rank: #21355

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bakersfield, CA
• County: Kern County · 710,371 people
• City population: 499,124
• Metro: Bakersfield, CA
• Population (ZIP): 85,945
• Household income: $56,446
• Rent vs Own: 53.0% rent · 47.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 3246.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 947,286 people
• By 2030: 978,984 · +3.3%
• By 2040: 1,045,018 · +10.3%
• By 2050: 1,105,232 · +16.7%
• By 2075: 1,229,538 · +29.8%
• By 2100: 1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 12% White 10% Black 6% Asian 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 73%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 0%
• Foreign-born: 31% · Canada
• Languages at home: 28% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -263.59%
• Current HPI: 447.1746
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.71%
• Metro: Bakersfield, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+151.2% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Listed $82,900 GEMLS
• 2019-04-19 Price Changed $30,500 GEMLS
• 2019-04-16 Sold (MLS) $30,500 GEMLS
• 2019-03-28 Pending — GEMLS
• 2019-03-28 Price Changed $33,000 GEMLS
• 2019-02-25 Listed $33,000 GEMLS

Property tax history

+21.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $309 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.