🏷️ Likely Rental
2320 Valentine St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
UTILTITES ARE ON AT THIS LOCATION TO SEE WORKING MECHANICS This 3bed/1bath is priced to sell quickly. The last tenant paid $950 a month. The roof is newer and siding in the back in new. The basement is dry and ready for new ownership.
Key facts
- Near popular marina
- 3,598 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Electric service: fuses; Sewer: other
- Home design: Single-family residential; 2 stories; Not attached to other units; No common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level, 10 x 9)
- Bedrooms: Upper bedroom (11 x 12); Upper bedroom (10 x 11); Upper bedroom (12 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $523 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Birmingham Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,471 of 1,584 statewide, top 95%, 299 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.73%
- DSCR
- 3.03
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,092
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2232 Caledonia St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,273 (+7%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $59 | 74 |
| 2137 Valentine St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (+7%) | 6mo | $47,500 | $37 | 74 |
| 2617 York St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,154 (-3%) | 9mo | $78,000 | $68 | 71 |
| 2023 Woodford St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-3%) | 3mo | $26,000 | $23 | 71 |
| 2125 Valentine St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,265 (+6%) | 12mo | $59,000 | $47 | 68 |
| 2418 Valentine St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,339 (+13%) | 14mo | $79,500 | $59 | 61 |
| 146 Esther St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,255 (+6%) | 1mo | $71,500 | $57 | 61 |
| 310 Whittemore St | 0.31mi | 3/3.0 | 1,296 (+9%) | 4mo | $79,800 | $62 | 59 |
| 2220 Genesee St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (+15%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $59 | 58 |
| 266 Milford St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,060 (-11%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $113 | 52 |
| 130 Burger St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,242 (+4%) | 3mo | $134,000 | $108 | 46 |
| 1839 Genesee St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,351 (+14%) | 5mo | $32,000 | $24 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $28,014
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 52.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.74×
- Total profit
- $78,713
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43605
- Home prices YoY
- -25.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,083 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $667/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $523
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2453 Caledonia St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1179 | $810 | $0.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 622 Whitlock Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,195 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1964 Burr St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1159 | $1,250 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1951 N Summit St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $800 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 413 Sandusky St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $775 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3148 Corduroy Rd Oregon, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $870 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2932 N Ontario St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 128 Carbon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 221 Licking St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,099 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1449 N Huron St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,045 | $0.73 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 223 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1306 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1282 | $1,149 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1305 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2074 Starr Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,025 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-03-18historical Contingent
-
2026-01-22price $49,000
-
2026-01-08price $54,000
-
2025-11-23price $56,400
-
2025-11-08price $56,900
-
2025-10-15price $57,900
-
2025-09-16price $59,900
-
2025-09-03status Active
-
2025-09-03status Pending
-
2025-09-01price $62,900
-
2025-08-12price $64,900
-
2025-07-07$69,900 Active
-
2023-08-15soldstatus $120,000
-
2023-08-11soldstatus $89,000
-
1993-09-16soldstatus $14,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $667 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $716 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$49/yr (+$4/mo · 7.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,999
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$667
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,040
- − Management
- −$1,040
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $5,837
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,401
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,873/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,441
- Household income
- $39,118
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1257.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.85%
- Current HPI
- 138.6894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.37%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+237.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-03-18 Contingent — NORIS
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $49,000 NORIS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $54,000 NORIS
- 2025-11-23 Price Changed $56,400 NORIS
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $56,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-15 Price Changed $57,900 NORIS
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $59,900 NORIS
- 2025-09-03 Relisted — NORIS
- 2025-09-03 Pending — NORIS
- 2025-09-01 Price Changed $62,900 NORIS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $64,900 NORIS
- 2025-07-07 Listed $69,900 NORIS
- 2023-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
- 1993-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $667 · -15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…