711 Levi Bnd · The Woodlands, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 4 bedroom 2 bath home located close to park, schools & restaurants near The Woodlands/Magnolia. Spacious entry way, split floor plan along with High ceilings & open floor concept offer a light & bright feeling. Walk thru kitchen w/ Breakfast bar, 42'cabinets with tile floors. Master bedroom suite with Large Walk in Closet, Dual Sinks, Spa Tub & Separate Shower. Extra room (7x8) offers loads of Storage space and has an office nook (7x5). Home awaits your family, come look today!
Key facts
- Dual sinks
- Walk-thru kitchen
- Single-story home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association: Real Manage; Annual association fee collected annually; Association amenities include a picnic area, playground and park; Association fee covers common areas and recreation facilities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built in 2005; Brick and cement siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Subdivision setting; Pond on the lot; Concrete road/driveway surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Gas oven; Microwave; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Gas log fireplace (one); Breakfast bar; Double vanity; Kitchen/family room combo; Pantry; Soaking tub; Separate shower; Tub/shower; Ceiling fans; Kitchen/dining combo; Programmable thermostat; Ventilation for improved indoor air quality
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-190 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (12.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.3% in The Woodlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in TX, #47 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
- Magnolia ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #247 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bear Branch El (math 48% / reading 51%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 579 students, 28% FRL); Bear Branch J H (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D, #479 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 1,076 students, 37% FRL); Magnolia H S (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 2,248 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1604 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.91%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $300,024
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 723 Hinsdale | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,841 (-1%) | 3mo | $299,000 | $162 | 91 |
| 6846 Durango Creek Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,910 (+3%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $149 | 82 |
| 6711 Durango Creek Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,654 (-11%) | 1mo | $268,000 | $162 | 70 |
| 6806 Woodland Oaks | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,005 (+8%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $162 | 70 |
| 33127 Cottonwood Bnd | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 | 1,834 (-1%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $123 | 70 |
| 6622 Dillon Dr | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,896 (+2%) | 0mo | $318,000 | $168 | 67 |
| 7022 Dillon Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,867 (+1%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $161 | 62 |
| 7127 Hayden Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 | 1,869 (+1%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $169 | 60 |
| 7119 Durango Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,906 (+3%) | 6mo | $299,000 | $157 | 59 |
| 7226 Basque Country Dr | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 2,124 (+15%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $139 | 50 |
| 7010 Durango Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,072 (+12%) | 6mo | $219,900 | $106 | 42 |
| 515 Box Elder Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,048 (+11%) | 8mo | $399,000 | $195 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $134,401
- Equity at exit
- $252,156
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.03×
- Total profit
- $394,541
- Equity at exit
- $543,784
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77354
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 1604
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,289 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$374 /mo · $4,488/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $-190
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7210 Alava Dr Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2031 | $2,235 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 33200 Forest West St Magnolia, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1307 | $4,065 | $3.11 | 1d | 22 | 0.60mi |
| 33154 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1896 | $2,345 | $1.24 | 17d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 33154 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1812 | $2,270 | $1.25 | 5d | 7 | 0.91mi |
| 33154 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1896 | $2,345 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 33139 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1896 | $2,270 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 33150 Willow Heights Ln Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1896 | $2,270 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 33146 Willow Heights Ln Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1896 | $2,270 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 33130 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1896 | $2,270 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 33123 Oak Heights Pl Magnolia, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1896 | $2,270 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10333 Research Forest Dr Unit 3047 Magnolia, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,383 | $1.73 | 11d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10333 Research Forest Dr Unit 10366 Magnolia, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,372 | $1.72 | 10d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10333 Research Forest Dr Unit 3228 Magnolia, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,340 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5408 Farm to Market Road 1488 Unit 1488 The Woodlands, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,675 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5402 Farm to Market Road 1488 #3228 Magnolia, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,652 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5402 Farm to Market Road 1488 #3174 Magnolia, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,695 | $1.29 | 11d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5402 Farm to Market Road 1488 #5435 Magnolia, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,720 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$279,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,488 · $374/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,122 · $427/mo
- Expected delta
- +$634/yr (+$53/mo · 14.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,470
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$4,488
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,198
- − Management
- −$2,198
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$7,114
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,707
- After-tax cash flow
- $-573/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Magnolia ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828740
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,692
- Composite
- 39.46/100
- National rank
- #3958
- State rank
- #247 of 826 in TX
Livability — The Woodlands
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #47
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 663,713 people
- City population
- 32,847
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,900
- Household income
- $112,504
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 586.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 713,896 people
- By 2030
- 805,263 · +12.8%
- By 2040
- 992,708 · +39.1%
- By 2050
- 1,179,590 · +65.2%
- By 2075
- 1,628,084 · +128.1%
- By 2100
- 1,937,880 · +171.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.09%
- Current HPI
- 512.87
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.32%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+36.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $279,900 HARMLS
- 2015-08-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-08-21 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2015-08-02 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-07-22 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-07-10 Price Changed $189,000 HARMLS
- 2015-07-03 Price Changed $198,900 HARMLS
- 2015-06-12 Listed $205,260 HARMLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,488 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…