725 Sugar Hill Rd · Lisbon, NH
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable country living awaits! This two-bedroom, one-bath single-wide manufactured home sits on a +- 5.2-acre lot offering space, privacy, and potential. The home features a functional layout with an open living area, eat-in kitchen, and full bath. Enjoy the covered porch overlooking a mostly open yard, perfect for gardening or relaxing outdoors, with a gentle slope and wooded backdrop for added privacy. The home has a nice skirting around the exterior, a newer metal roof, and a newer oil tank. A barn on the property provides additional storage or space for animals if desired. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Lisbon and a short drive to Littleton, Franconia, and I-93 for easy access to shopping, dining, and outdoor recreation in the White Mountains. Whether you’re seeking an affordable year-round home, an investment property, or a North Country getaway, 725 Sugar Hill Road offers an excellent opportunity at a great value.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- 5.2 acre lot
- Barn on the property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-416 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (37.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (38.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (38.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#53 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lisbon Regional School District (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #117 of 171 in NH (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.68%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 13.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,331
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -10.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $79,747
- Equity at exit
- $175,671
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.68×
- Total profit
- $255,720
- Equity at exit
- $378,842
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03585
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 13.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,197 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,290/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $-416
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-305 | -5% $-361 | +0% $-416 | +5% $-471 | +10% $-526 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-510 | -5% $-463 | +0% $-416 | +5% $-369 | +10% $-321 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-318 | -0.5pp $-366 | base $-416 | +0.5pp $-466 | +1.0pp $-518 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $195,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $195,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2025-12-23price $195,000 959-char remark
Show marketing remark (959 chars)
Affordable country living awaits! This two-bedroom, one-bath single-wide manufactured home sits on a +- 5.2-acre lot offering space, privacy, and potential. The home features a functional layout with an open living area, eat-in kitchen, and full bath. Enjoy the covered porch overlooking a mostly open yard, perfect for gardening or relaxing outdoors, with a gentle slope and wooded backdrop for added privacy. The home has a nice skirting around the exterior, a newer metal roof, and a newer oil tank. A barn on the property provides additional storage or space for animals if desired. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Lisbon and a short drive to Littleton, Franconia, and I-93 for easy access to shopping, dining, and outdoor recreation in the White Mountains. Whether you’re seeking an affordable year-round home, an investment property, or a North Country getaway, 725 Sugar Hill Road offers an excellent opportunity at a great value.
-
2025-11-03$199,000 Active 959-char remark
Show marketing remark (959 chars)
Affordable country living awaits! This two-bedroom, one-bath single-wide manufactured home sits on a +- 5.2-acre lot offering space, privacy, and potential. The home features a functional layout with an open living area, eat-in kitchen, and full bath. Enjoy the covered porch overlooking a mostly open yard, perfect for gardening or relaxing outdoors, with a gentle slope and wooded backdrop for added privacy. The home has a nice skirting around the exterior, a newer metal roof, and a newer oil tank. A barn on the property provides additional storage or space for animals if desired. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Lisbon and a short drive to Littleton, Franconia, and I-93 for easy access to shopping, dining, and outdoor recreation in the White Mountains. Whether you’re seeking an affordable year-round home, an investment property, or a North Country getaway, 725 Sugar Hill Road offers an excellent opportunity at a great value.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,290 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,270 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- +$980/yr (+$82/mo · 42.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,290
- − Insurance
- −$1,772
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,149
- − Management
- −$1,149
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$8,596
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,926/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lisbon Regional School District
- NCES district ID
- 3304290
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,281
- Composite
- 42.85/100
- National rank
- #6729
- State rank
- #117 of 171 in NH
Livability — Lisbon
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #9404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,537
Population outlook (Grafton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,798 people
- By 2030
- 87,131 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 82,000 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 77,064 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 68,769 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 61,631 · -30.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 12% Lithuanian 10% Romanian 7%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grafton
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.9) · D 59.4% · R 39.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 27.7pp · 2024: 19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.6 2016: D+19.0 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+27.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.06%
- Current HPI
- 409.1705
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-2.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $195,000 PrimeMLS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $199,000 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2024): $2,290 · +19.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…