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3428 Mcconnellsville Rd
C- Composite 50.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0

$199,900

3428 Mcconnellsville Rd · Rome, NY 13308
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,165 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1959 0.51 ac lot $172/sqft · 23% below area Est $259k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in a peaceful country setting on a spacious 1/2-acre lot! This well-maintained property offers the perfect blend of comfort and functionality with numerous upgrades throughout. Enjoy a spacious layout featuring bright living areas, updated finishes, and plenty of room to make it your own. The large basement provides excellent additional space for storage, a workshop, recreation area, or future finishing possibilities. A 2-car attached garage adds convenience and extra storage, while the property also features two sheds with power, including one with a concrete floor, perfect for hobbies, storage, or workshop space. Surrounded by the beauty of the coun

Key facts

  • Two sheds with power
  • Large basement
  • Concrete floor

Tags

LARGE BASEMENTTWO SHEDS WITH POWERCONCRETE FLOOR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with electricity and storage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Propane tank (owned); Shed(s) / storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Oil forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Kitchen island; Bedroom on main level; Full, partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-167 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (14.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (26.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Camden Central School District (rural): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #504 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mcconnellsville Elementary School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 260 students, 41% FRL); Camden Middle School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #550 of 729 statewide, top 77%, 580 students, 48% FRL); Camden Senior High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 620 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $200k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $146,475 (26.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.29%
Cash-on-cash
-3.58%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,346
List price
$199,900
Delta
-22.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3392 Oswego Rd 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (+4%) 9mo $210,500 $174 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$98,228
Equity at exit
$180,086
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
6.32×
Total profit
$297,598
Equity at exit
$388,362

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13308

Home prices YoY
28.6%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,465 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,309/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$-167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,676
Max offer price $170,417
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-54 -5% $-110 +0% $-167 +5% $-223 +10% $-280
Rent -10% $-283 -5% $-225 +0% $-167 +5% $-109 +10% $-51
Rate -1.0pp $-66 -0.5pp $-116 base $-167 +0.5pp $-219 +1.0pp $-271

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $199,900 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $199,900 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,900 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-16
    days on market $205,900 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,900 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $205,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-12
    days on market $205,900 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,900 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-04
    days on market $205,900 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,900 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,900 Active 21 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,900 Active 20 DOM
  19. 2026-05-11
    listed $205,900 Active 936-char remark
  20. 2021-07-21
    soldstatus $110,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,309 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,844 · $237/mo
Expected delta
+$534/yr (+$45/mo · 23.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,577
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,309
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,406
− Management
−$1,406
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$5,557
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,334
After-tax cash flow
$-669/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden Central School District
NCES district ID
3606240
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$48,686
Composite
35.15/100
National rank
#5008
State rank
#504 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rome

Score
64/100
State rank
#722
US rank
#13676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
41,418
Population (ZIP)
4,239

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
2% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 73.19%
Current HPI
329.3091
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $199,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $205,900 CNYIS
  • 2021-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,309 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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