3428 Mcconnellsville Rd · Rome, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in a peaceful country setting on a spacious 1/2-acre lot! This well-maintained property offers the perfect blend of comfort and functionality with numerous upgrades throughout. Enjoy a spacious layout featuring bright living areas, updated finishes, and plenty of room to make it your own. The large basement provides excellent additional space for storage, a workshop, recreation area, or future finishing possibilities. A 2-car attached garage adds convenience and extra storage, while the property also features two sheds with power, including one with a concrete floor, perfect for hobbies, storage, or workshop space. Surrounded by the beauty of the coun
Key facts
- Two sheds with power
- Large basement
- Concrete floor
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with electricity and storage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Existing construction
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Propane tank (owned); Shed(s) / storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Oil forced-air heating
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Kitchen island; Bedroom on main level; Full, partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-167 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (14.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (26.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Camden Central School District (rural): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #504 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mcconnellsville Elementary School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 260 students, 41% FRL); Camden Middle School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #550 of 729 statewide, top 77%, 580 students, 48% FRL); Camden Senior High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 620 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $200k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.58%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,346
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -22.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3392 Oswego Rd | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,212 (+4%) | 9mo | $210,500 | $174 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $98,228
- Equity at exit
- $180,086
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.32×
- Total profit
- $297,598
- Equity at exit
- $388,362
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13308
- Home prices YoY
- 28.6%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,465 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,309/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $-167
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-54 | -5% $-110 | +0% $-167 | +5% $-223 | +10% $-280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-283 | -5% $-225 | +0% $-167 | +5% $-109 | +10% $-51 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-66 | -0.5pp $-116 | base $-167 | +0.5pp $-219 | +1.0pp $-271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $199,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $199,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $205,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $205,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $205,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $205,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $205,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $205,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $205,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $205,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $205,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $205,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$205,900 Active 936-char remark
-
2021-07-21soldstatus $110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,309 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,844 · $237/mo
- Expected delta
- +$534/yr (+$45/mo · 23.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,577
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,309
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,406
- − Management
- −$1,406
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$5,557
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,334
- After-tax cash flow
- $-669/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606240
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,686
- Composite
- 35.15/100
- National rank
- #5008
- State rank
- #504 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rome
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #722
- US rank
- #13676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 41,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,239
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 73.19%
- Current HPI
- 329.3091
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+81.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $199,900 CNYIS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $205,900 CNYIS
- 2021-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,309 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…