4455 Westdel Rd · Farmington, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$182,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
*Ready for New Buyer* All new carpet, flooring, and paint. New furnace and C/A, newer appliances, new bath. Affordable, quiet living awaits. Small little 8 plex - 2nd floor - south/east exposure. Rentals OK...2 pets OK... Rare opportunity, these units don't come on the market very often!!
Key facts
- $350 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1986
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not fractional ownership
- HOA & community: HOA name: HOAez; Monthly association fee of $350; HOA covers hazard insurance, lawn care, parking, professional management, sewer, shared amenities, snow removal and water
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Parking lot; asphalt surfaces; 1 garage space
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Xcel Energy power; Natural gas
- Home design: Attached residential property; One story; Main level living; Unit includes balcony
- Construction: Asphalt roof (over 8 years old); Slab foundation; Built area above grade: 974 (living area / main level finished area)
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck; No pool; No fencing; Located on a cul-de-sac; public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main floor)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Fireplace heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Hardwood floors; Informal dining room; Balcony; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet; Main floor primary bedroom; Has fireplace (wood burning) in living room
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry room (main floor); Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $182k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-642/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (5.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $182k).
- Recommended offer: $173k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in Farmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#203 in MN, #4,269 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Farmington Public School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #104 of 301 in MN (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,134 units permitted in Dakota County in 2024 (898 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($127k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dakota County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $122k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.26%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-32,787
- Equity at exit
- $27,211
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-32,157
- Equity at exit
- $15,779
Cash invested: $51,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55024
- Home prices YoY
- -31.2%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,865 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$957
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
- Insurance
- −$76
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $-53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $50 | -5% $-2 | +0% $-53 | +5% $-105 | +10% $-157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-201 | -5% $-127 | +0% $-53 | +5% $20 | +10% $94 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $38 | -0.5pp $-7 | base $-53 | +0.5pp $-101 | +1.0pp $-149 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,625
- Closing costs
- $5,475
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 2nd St Unit 3 Farmington, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 720 3rd St Unit 1 Farmington, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 21405 Dushane Pkwy Farmington, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 937 | $2,155 | $2.30 | 0d | 18 | 0.65mi |
| 310 3rd St Farmington, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 956 | $2,400 | $2.51 | 0d | 1 | 0.83mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-02status $182,500 Pending 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $182,500 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $182,500 Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission 31 DOM
-
2026-05-01$182,500 Active 975-char remark
-
2026-04-28historical $182,500 975-char remark
-
2018-01-30soldstatus $122,500
-
2018-01-26soldstatus $122,500 Sold 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
*Ready for New Buyer* All new carpet, flooring, and paint. New furnace and C/A, newer appliances, new bath. Affordable, quiet living awaits. Small little 8 plex - 2nd floor - south/east exposure. Rentals OK...2 pets OK... Rare opportunity, these units don't come on the market very often!!
-
2018-01-04status Pending 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
*Ready for New Buyer* All new carpet, flooring, and paint. New furnace and C/A, newer appliances, new bath. Affordable, quiet living awaits. Small little 8 plex - 2nd floor - south/east exposure. Rentals OK...2 pets OK... Rare opportunity, these units don't come on the market very often!!
-
2017-12-22historical Contingent - Inspection 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
*Ready for New Buyer* All new carpet, flooring, and paint. New furnace and C/A, newer appliances, new bath. Affordable, quiet living awaits. Small little 8 plex - 2nd floor - south/east exposure. Rentals OK...2 pets OK... Rare opportunity, these units don't come on the market very often!!
-
2017-12-07$124,900 Active 289-char remark
Show marketing remark (289 chars)
*Ready for New Buyer* All new carpet, flooring, and paint. New furnace and C/A, newer appliances, new bath. Affordable, quiet living awaits. Small little 8 plex - 2nd floor - south/east exposure. Rentals OK...2 pets OK... Rare opportunity, these units don't come on the market very often!!
-
2009-11-25soldstatus $53,000
Show marketing remark (98 chars)
REASONABLE TWO BEDROOM CONDO IN CONVENIENT LOCATION, SOME TLC NEEDED, EXTRA PARKING, GOOD STORAGE.
-
2009-10-30historical
Show marketing remark (98 chars)
REASONABLE TWO BEDROOM CONDO IN CONVENIENT LOCATION, SOME TLC NEEDED, EXTRA PARKING, GOOD STORAGE.
-
2009-07-21$50,900
Show marketing remark (98 chars)
REASONABLE TWO BEDROOM CONDO IN CONVENIENT LOCATION, SOME TLC NEEDED, EXTRA PARKING, GOOD STORAGE.
-
2009-07-14historical
-
2009-03-20$65,000
-
2006-03-22soldstatus $127,900
-
2006-03-09soldstatus $127,900
-
2006-01-17historical
-
2005-11-19historical
-
2005-11-18$127,900
-
2005-10-15$127,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,724 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,884 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$160/yr (+$13/mo · 9.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,379
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,223
- − Property taxes
- −$1,724
- − Insurance
- −$912
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,790
- − Management
- −$1,790
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$5,309
- Taxable loss
- −$3,570
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$857
- After-tax cash flow
- $215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Farmington Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711820
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,959
- Composite
- 43.93/100
- National rank
- #2905
- State rank
- #104 of 301 in MN
Livability — Farmington
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #203
- US rank
- #4269
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farmington, MN
- County
- Dakota County · 417,704 people
- City population
- 37,287
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,287
- Household income
- $127,280
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 288.0
Population outlook (Dakota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 450,671 people
- By 2030
- 465,068 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 486,770 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 498,743 · +10.7%
- By 2075
- 533,865 · +18.5%
- By 2100
- 550,133 · +22.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Scottish 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dakota
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.9) · D 55.4% · R 42.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: 12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+4.7 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.47%
- Current HPI
- 225.6882
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+42.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $182,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Coming Soon $182,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $122,500 Public Records
- 2018-01-26 Sold (MLS) $122,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-04 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-22 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-07 Listed $124,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-25 Sold (MLS) $53,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-21 Listed $50,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-14 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-20 Listed $65,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $127,900 Public Records
- 2006-03-09 Sold (MLS) $127,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-17 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-18 Listed $127,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-15 Listed $127,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,724 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…