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21 Dogwood W
C+ Composite 60.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

21 Dogwood W · Tabernacle, NJ 08088
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 51 Days on market
Built 2009 Est $89k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you want new without the "new" price check this out. Meticulously maintained and almost new at six years, this home offers so much. Park your cars under the huge 50x12 ft carport and enter through the laundry room or come in the front door to the huge 16x13 great room. The adjacent kitchen boasts walls of cabinets and counter space for even the most demanding gourmet. Natural wood and glass front cabinets will be sure to please. Natural gas cooking with exterior venting hood, large refrigerator and built in dishwasher provide all the conveniences. The large master bedroom has two closets for plenty of storage and the master bath provides even more with a linen closet. The huge walk in shower will surprise and delight. The large second bedroom is complete with bay window and its own adjacent full bath. Both bedrooms and the living room have remote controlled ceiling fans and the energy efficient windows keep the utilities to a minimum. Added features include an extra storage closet and exterior placement of the HVAC unit for extremely quiet and efficient use. Outside there is an extra driveway and parking for guests as well as a large storage shed that would make a great workshop. This great home provides peace and tranquility on one of the nicest locations in the acclaimed Allenwood Estates. Peaceful, park like, vacation life and NO PROPERTY TAXES! This may seem like a dream but it can be yours today!

Key facts

  • 2 separate driveways
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Spacious living room

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMAMPLE STORAGE CLOSETS2 SEPARATE DRIVEWAYSSHED FOR OUTDOOR STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association fee covers common area maintenance; Land lease (approximately $725/month; ~1 year remaining)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (3 spaces total)
  • Utilities: Well (shared); On-site septic; 100 amp electric service; Natural gas for heating and hot water; Cable TV available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Senior community (55+)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Pitched shingle roof; Pilings foundation; Bay/Bow and energy-efficient windows
  • Exterior features: Level lot with front, rear and side yards; Trees/wooded; Above-grade other structures: shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Fully carpeted; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Master bath(s); Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Cathedral and high ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $913 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Tabernacle Township School District (rural): math 19% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #278 of 472 in NJ (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Tabernacle Elementary School (374 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $119k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $115,430 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
15.50%
Cash-on-cash
32.90%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,180
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39 Cherry Ln 0.04mi 2/1.5 1,100 (+12%) 24mo $100,000 $91 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.1%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$38,930
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
35.5%
Equity multiple
4.27×
Total profit
$108,951
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08088

Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,197 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax est. 1.5%
$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$913

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    listed $119,000 Active 402-char remark
  17. 2016-02-12
    soldstatus $75,000 1437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1440 chars)

    If you want new without the "new" price check this out. Meticulously maintained and almost new at six years, this home offers so much. Park your cars under the huge 50x12 ft carport and enter through the laundry room or come in the front door to the huge 16x13 great room. The adjacent kitchen boasts walls of cabinets and counter space for even the most demanding gourmet. Natural wood and glass front cabinets will be sure to please. Natural gas cooking with exterior venting hood, large refrigerator and built in dishwasher provide all the conveniences. The large master bedroom has two closets for plenty of storage and the master bath provides even more with a linen closet. The huge walk in shower will surprise and delight. The large second bedroom is complete with bay window and its own adjacent full bath. Both bedrooms and the living room have remote controlled ceiling fans and the energy efficient windows keep the utilities to a minimum. Added features include an extra storage closet and exterior placement of the HVAC unit for extremely quiet and efficient use. Outside there is an extra driveway and parking for guests as well as a large storage shed that would make a great workshop. This great home provides peace and tranquility on one of the nicest locations in the acclaimed Allenwood Estates. Peaceful, park like, vacation life and NO PROPERTY TAXES! This may seem like a dream but it can be yours today!

  18. 2016-02-12
    soldstatus $75,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (1440 chars)

    If you want new without the "new" price check this out. Meticulously maintained and almost new at six years, this home offers so much. Park your cars under the huge 50x12 ft carport and enter through the laundry room or come in the front door to the huge 16x13 great room. The adjacent kitchen boasts walls of cabinets and counter space for even the most demanding gourmet. Natural wood and glass front cabinets will be sure to please. Natural gas cooking with exterior venting hood, large refrigerator and built in dishwasher provide all the conveniences. The large master bedroom has two closets for plenty of storage and the master bath provides even more with a linen closet. The huge walk in shower will surprise and delight. The large second bedroom is complete with bay window and its own adjacent full bath. Both bedrooms and the living room have remote controlled ceiling fans and the energy efficient windows keep the utilities to a minimum. Added features include an extra storage closet and exterior placement of the HVAC unit for extremely quiet and efficient use. Outside there is an extra driveway and parking for guests as well as a large storage shed that would make a great workshop. This great home provides peace and tranquility on one of the nicest locations in the acclaimed Allenwood Estates. Peaceful, park like, vacation life and NO PROPERTY TAXES! This may seem like a dream but it can be yours today!

  19. 2015-12-17
    historical 1437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1437 chars)

    If you want new without the "new" price check this out. Meticulously maintained and almost new at six years, this home offers so much. Park your cars under the huge 50x12 ft carport and enter through the laundry room or come in the front door to the huge 16x13 great room. The adjacent kitchen boasts walls of cabinets and counter space for even the most demanding gourmet. Natural wood and glass front cabinets will be sure to please. Natural gas cooking with exterior venting hood, large refrigerator and built in dishwasher provide all the conveniences. The large master bedroom has two closets for plenty of storage and the master bath provides even more with a linen closet. The huge walk in shower will surprise and delight. The large second bedroom is complete with bay window and its own adjacent full bath. Both bedrooms and the living room have remote controlled ceiling fans and the energy efficient windows keep the utilities to a minimum. Added features include an extra storage closet and exterior placement of the HVAC unit for extremely quiet and efficient use. Outside there is an extra driveway and parking for guests as well as a large storage shed that would make a great workshop. This great home provides peace and tranquility on one of the nicest locations in the acclaimed Allenwood Estates. Peaceful, park like, vacation life and NO PROPERTY TAXES! This may seem like a dream but it can be yours today!

  20. 2015-10-17
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (1440 chars)

    If you want new without the "new" price check this out. Meticulously maintained and almost new at six years, this home offers so much. Park your cars under the huge 50x12 ft carport and enter through the laundry room or come in the front door to the huge 16x13 great room. The adjacent kitchen boasts walls of cabinets and counter space for even the most demanding gourmet. Natural wood and glass front cabinets will be sure to please. Natural gas cooking with exterior venting hood, large refrigerator and built in dishwasher provide all the conveniences. The large master bedroom has two closets for plenty of storage and the master bath provides even more with a linen closet. The huge walk in shower will surprise and delight. The large second bedroom is complete with bay window and its own adjacent full bath. Both bedrooms and the living room have remote controlled ceiling fans and the energy efficient windows keep the utilities to a minimum. Added features include an extra storage closet and exterior placement of the HVAC unit for extremely quiet and efficient use. Outside there is an extra driveway and parking for guests as well as a large storage shed that would make a great workshop. This great home provides peace and tranquility on one of the nicest locations in the acclaimed Allenwood Estates. Peaceful, park like, vacation life and NO PROPERTY TAXES! This may seem like a dream but it can be yours today!

  21. 2015-08-07
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (1440 chars)

    If you want new without the "new" price check this out. Meticulously maintained and almost new at six years, this home offers so much. Park your cars under the huge 50x12 ft carport and enter through the laundry room or come in the front door to the huge 16x13 great room. The adjacent kitchen boasts walls of cabinets and counter space for even the most demanding gourmet. Natural wood and glass front cabinets will be sure to please. Natural gas cooking with exterior venting hood, large refrigerator and built in dishwasher provide all the conveniences. The large master bedroom has two closets for plenty of storage and the master bath provides even more with a linen closet. The huge walk in shower will surprise and delight. The large second bedroom is complete with bay window and its own adjacent full bath. Both bedrooms and the living room have remote controlled ceiling fans and the energy efficient windows keep the utilities to a minimum. Added features include an extra storage closet and exterior placement of the HVAC unit for extremely quiet and efficient use. Outside there is an extra driveway and parking for guests as well as a large storage shed that would make a great workshop. This great home provides peace and tranquility on one of the nicest locations in the acclaimed Allenwood Estates. Peaceful, park like, vacation life and NO PROPERTY TAXES! This may seem like a dream but it can be yours today!

  22. 2015-06-07
    listed $75,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1437 chars)

    If you want new without the "new" price check this out. Meticulously maintained and almost new at six years, this home offers so much. Park your cars under the huge 50x12 ft carport and enter through the laundry room or come in the front door to the huge 16x13 great room. The adjacent kitchen boasts walls of cabinets and counter space for even the most demanding gourmet. Natural wood and glass front cabinets will be sure to please. Natural gas cooking with exterior venting hood, large refrigerator and built in dishwasher provide all the conveniences. The large master bedroom has two closets for plenty of storage and the master bath provides even more with a linen closet. The huge walk in shower will surprise and delight. The large second bedroom is complete with bay window and its own adjacent full bath. Both bedrooms and the living room have remote controlled ceiling fans and the energy efficient windows keep the utilities to a minimum. Added features include an extra storage closet and exterior placement of the HVAC unit for extremely quiet and efficient use. Outside there is an extra driveway and parking for guests as well as a large storage shed that would make a great workshop. This great home provides peace and tranquility on one of the nicest locations in the acclaimed Allenwood Estates. Peaceful, park like, vacation life and NO PROPERTY TAXES! This may seem like a dream but it can be yours today!

  23. 2015-06-07
    listed $75,000 1437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1437 chars)

    If you want new without the "new" price check this out. Meticulously maintained and almost new at six years, this home offers so much. Park your cars under the huge 50x12 ft carport and enter through the laundry room or come in the front door to the huge 16x13 great room. The adjacent kitchen boasts walls of cabinets and counter space for even the most demanding gourmet. Natural wood and glass front cabinets will be sure to please. Natural gas cooking with exterior venting hood, large refrigerator and built in dishwasher provide all the conveniences. The large master bedroom has two closets for plenty of storage and the master bath provides even more with a linen closet. The huge walk in shower will surprise and delight. The large second bedroom is complete with bay window and its own adjacent full bath. Both bedrooms and the living room have remote controlled ceiling fans and the energy efficient windows keep the utilities to a minimum. Added features include an extra storage closet and exterior placement of the HVAC unit for extremely quiet and efficient use. Outside there is an extra driveway and parking for guests as well as a large storage shed that would make a great workshop. This great home provides peace and tranquility on one of the nicest locations in the acclaimed Allenwood Estates. Peaceful, park like, vacation life and NO PROPERTY TAXES! This may seem like a dream but it can be yours today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,368
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,785
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,109
− Management
−$2,109
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$9,641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,314
After-tax cash flow
$8,648/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tabernacle Township School District
NCES district ID
3416020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$96,192
Composite
31.76/100
National rank
#5900
State rank
#278 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Tabernacle

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
24,153

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -214.45%
Current HPI
302.9094
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $119,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-02-12 Sold (MLS) $75,000 TREND
  • 2016-02-12 Sold (MLS) $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-12-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-10-17 Relisted TREND
  • 2015-08-07 Pending TREND
  • 2015-06-07 Listed $75,000 TREND
  • 2015-06-07 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…