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47 & 49 N Indian Valley Ct Duplex
B- Composite 68.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$375,000

47 & 49 N Indian Valley Ct · Mystic Island, NJ 08087
4 bd · 0.0 ba · 2,083 sqft · MultiFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1987 Average condition 10,000 sqft lot Est $415k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Exceptional investment opportunity in Little Egg Harbor! This well-maintained duplex offers strong income potential with separate utilities, water & sewer for each unit. The larger right-side unit features 2 primary suites, each with a private full bath, an updated kitchen, open-concept living & dining area, 1st floor half bath, & sliding doors leading to a large private deck. The left-side unit offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, an updated kitchen, open-concept living & dining space, & sliders opening to its own private deck. Major improvements include a roof approximately 5 years old, 2 furnaces & 1 air conditioning unit replaced 2 years ago. Whether you're

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Updated kitchen
  • Private full bath

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYSEPARATE UTILITIESPRIVATE FULL BATHUPDATED KITCHENOPEN-CONCEPT LIVINGLARGE PRIVATE DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total residential units (multifamily)
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Existing lease type: yearly; No rent control

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Two driveway spaces (total 2 garage/parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas for heating and hot water; Electric for cooling
  • Home design: Detached structure; Above-grade finished living space (estimated 2,083 finished); Year built estimated; Pilings foundation
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 80 x 125.14; No tidal water; Ground rent paid annually

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Hot water heated by natural gas
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Two total units (both above grade); Units not furnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $375k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $573/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $375k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.6% in Mystic Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#455 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Pinelands Regional School District (rural): math 14% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #344 of 472 in NJ (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 296 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,730/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 519% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $105k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $375,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.96%
Cash-on-cash
13.09%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$414,517
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14-16 Winged Foot Ln 0.20mi 4/— 2,139 (+3%) 18mo $425,000 $199 71
14-16 Winged Foot Ln #14 0.20mi 4/4.5 2,139 (+3%) 18mo $425,000 $199 53
2-4 S Indian Valley Ct 0.15mi 4/4.5 2,127 (+2%) 23mo $285,000 $134 52
6-8 S Indian Valley Ct 0.13mi 4/5.0 2,342 (+12%) 11mo $375,000 $160 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$12,241
Equity at exit
$55,914
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$104,866
Equity at exit
$32,423

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08087

Active inventory
296
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,730 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,967
Tax est. 1.5%
$469 /mo · $5,625/yr
Insurance
$156
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$993
Net cashflow
$1,145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,280
Max offer price $375,000
Occupancy floor 71%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,730

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,750
Closing costs
$11,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 675-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $375,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$56,760
− Mortgage interest
−$21,006
− Property taxes
−$5,625
− Insurance
−$1,875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,541
− Management
−$4,541
− Depreciation
−$10,909
Taxable income
$8,263
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,983
After-tax cash flow
$11,759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

A moderately maintained two-unit property with average condition. Some repairs and updates, such as painting and landscaping, would significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate exterior siding — Weathered and discolored
  • Moderate interior paint — Some wear and tear
  • Minor kitchen appliances — Standard appliances, some clutter

Value-add opportunities

  • Both painting and updating kitchen appliances — Improves appearance and functionality
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Weathered and discolored Moderate $3,000–15,000
interior paint · Some wear and tear Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen appliances · Standard appliances, some clutter Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $6,500–33,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both painting and updating kitchen appliances — Improves appearance and functionality
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinelands Regional School District
NCES district ID
3413000
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$59,396
Composite
26.97/100
National rank
#7075
State rank
#344 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Mystic Island

Score
62/100
State rank
#455
US rank
#17110

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime B- Employment C- Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ocean County · 439,426 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
25,342
Household income
$91,677
Rent vs Own
16.6% rent · 83.4% own
Severe rent burden
519.0

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -243.86%
Current HPI
340.4378
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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