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4827 Windermere Ter
C+ Composite 63.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

4827 Windermere Ter · Jackson, MS 39206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,126 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1950 0.35 ac lot Est $73k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom/1 bathroom fixer with a shop. Sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • 0.35 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.35-acre lot

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Conventional foundation; Built (year available from public records)
  • Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Boyd Elementary School (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #368 of 375 statewide, top 98%, 405 students, 100% FRL); Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
13.57%
Cash-on-cash
25.99%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$73,190
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4875 Churchill Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,118 (-1%) 3mo $69,900 $63 82
421 Benning Rd 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,155 (+3%) 3mo $74,900 $65 76
4851 Maplewood Dr 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,201 (+7%) 8mo $74,900 $62 74
506 Broadmoor Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,187 (+5%) 2mo $79,900 $67 71
134 Wacker Dr 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,218 (+8%) 6mo $70,000 $57 70
515 Belvedere Rd 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,163 (+3%) 9mo $69,900 $60 67
125 Camero Dr 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,143 (+2%) 5mo $89,900 $79 67
522 Woodbury Rd 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,012 (-10%) 1mo $25,000 $25 67
544 Wellington Rd 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (-3%) 4mo $79,900 $73 64
4858 Sheridan Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,264 (+12%) 2mo $123,000 $97 62
214 Melbourne Rd Rd 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,207 (+7%) 6mo $85,000 $70 56
528 N Park Ln 0.62mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,170 (+4%) 8mo $50,000 $43 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$17,712
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.43×
Total profit
$54,347
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39206

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,332 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,388/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$484

Break-even live

Break-even rent $719
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4833 N State St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 994 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 0.09mi
227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 14d 2 0.22mi
227 Lawrence Rd #227 Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 44d 1 0.22mi
229 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 23d 1 0.22mi
229 Lawrence Rd #229 Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 44d 1 0.22mi
4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 23d 1 0.24mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1270 $1,400 $1.10 14d 1 0.33mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 1.5 1270 $1,400 $1.10 23d 1 0.33mi
521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,423 $1.06 44d 1 0.33mi
508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1216 $1,400 $1.15 44d 1 0.43mi
508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1216 $1,400 $1.15 14d 1 0.43mi
214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1207 $1,500 $1.24 44d 1 0.47mi
701 Cedarhurst Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1419 $1,250 $0.88 23d 1 0.49mi
4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1489 $1,475 $0.99 23d 1 0.67mi
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 14d 1 0.74mi
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 44d 1 0.74mi
3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 23d 1 0.77mi
4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,250 $1.16 14d 1 0.83mi
4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,250 $1.16 23d 1 0.83mi
5255 Manhattan Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 813 $1,100 $1.35 14d 1 0.83mi
4901 McWillie Cir Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 806 $1,150 $1.43 14d 1 0.90mi
20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1046 $1,100 $1.05 14d 31 0.98mi
815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,300 $1.04 44d 1 1.04mi
3811 Mosley Ave Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,095 $1.09 21d 1 1.14mi
533 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 906 $820 $0.91 14d 1 1.14mi
5421 Crepe Myrtle Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 1.5 1079 $1,295 $1.20 23d 1 1.14mi
963 Pine Lake Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1196 $1,050 $0.88 44d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 360-char remark
  8. 2026-06-10
    listed $79,900 Active 8 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,388 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,388 · $116/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,987
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,388
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,279
− Management
−$1,279
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$4,841
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,162
After-tax cash flow
$4,652/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,257
Household income
$42,686
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.38%
Current HPI
194.5873
Rent YoY
▲ 2.83%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+33.2% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-06-09 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $79,900 MLSU
  • 2024-01-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-01-21 Rental Removed $1,240 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-27 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2023-10-25 Listed for Rent $1,240 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-07 Listed $129,500 MLSU
  • 2023-07-17 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2023-07-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-06-21 Pending MLSU
  • 2023-05-05 Price Changed $50,000 MLSU
  • 2023-04-27 Price Changed $55,000 MLSU
  • 2023-03-19 Listed $60,000 MLSU
  • 2020-05-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-12-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-06-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-12-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-09-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-09-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,388 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…