306 Vernon Harris Pkwy · Sipsey, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special! 3 bed, 2 bath home situated on 1 acre in a quiet country setting. Owner-occupied and primarily in need of cosmetic updates. Priced aggressively at $60,000 and being sold as-is. Cash or conventional financing only. Great opportunity for a flip, rental, or value-add investment.
Key facts
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building size approximately 1002 sq ft
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: HOA/community details not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: Security features not provided
- Utilities: Utility details not provided
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Construction details not provided
- Exterior features: Located in the Empire subdivision; Directions: Heading north on Hull Rd from Sumiton, turn right onto Coon Creek Rd, then right onto Vernon Harris Parkway; home is on the right
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
- Bedrooms: Bedroom count not specified
- Flooring: Flooring details not provided
- Bathrooms: Bathroom count not specified
- Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details not provided
- Interior features: No interior feature details provided
- Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 47/100 on livability (#544 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Walker County (rural): math 13% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 129 in AL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
- Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.40%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $46,684
- Equity at exit
- $38,247
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.82×
- Total profit
- $114,523
- Equity at exit
- $69,821
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35063
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,018 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$11 /mo · $133/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $454
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $488 | -5% $471 | +0% $454 | +5% $437 | +10% $420 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $373 | -5% $413 | +0% $454 | +5% $494 | +10% $534 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $484 | -0.5pp $469 | base $454 | +0.5pp $438 | +1.0pp $422 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 294-char remark
-
2026-06-05$60,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $133 · $11/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $246 · $21/mo
- Expected delta
- +$113/yr (+$9/mo · 84.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,218
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$133
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$977
- − Management
- −$977
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,723
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,134
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walker County
- NCES district ID
- 0103450
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,664
- Composite
- 21.51/100
- National rank
- #8321
- State rank
- #89 of 129 in AL
Livability — Sipsey
- Score
- 47/100
- State rank
- #544
- US rank
- #26282
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,751
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,037 people
- By 2030
- 58,391 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 53,080 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 48,031 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 37,799 · -38.1%
- By 2100
- 29,001 · -52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.8) · D 13.8% · R 85.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -46.4pp · 2024: -71.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+52.9 2008: R+46.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.14%
- Current HPI
- 146.46
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $60,000 Walker County Area MLS
Property tax history
-6.8%/yrLatest (2024): $133 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…