608 Oak St · Burlington, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity! This 3-bed, 1-bath home is being sold AS IS and features key upgrades including new windows, updated bath, new HVAC, and new water heater. Well-situated close to downtown Burlington and Burlington City Park, it’s ideal for rental, flip, or long-term hold. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Burlington city park
- Updated bath
- New hvac
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $125k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harvey R Newlin Elementary (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,356 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 516 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 51% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 35% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Alamance-Burlington Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $135k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 20% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.06%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $233,576
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 E Kime St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,312 (+9%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $159 | 63 |
| 719 Center Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,329 (+10%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $214 | 57 |
| 406 S Flanner St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,098 (-9%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $91 | 55 |
| 1234 Kenwood Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,167 (-3%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $197 | 55 |
| 112 Kime St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,068 (-11%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $173 | 51 |
| 416 Everett St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,078 (-10%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $204 | 48 |
| 619 N Mebane St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,166 (-3%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $154 | 47 |
| 907 Kilby St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,375 (+14%) | 9mo | $245,100 | $178 | 47 |
| 1542 Farningham Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,150 (-4%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $200 | 46 |
| 1315 Elder Way | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,132 (-6%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $163 | 44 |
| 815 Graham St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,275 (+6%) | 13mo | $247,000 | $194 | 40 |
| 815 Graham St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,275 (+6%) | 13mo | $247,000 | $194 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-12,258
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $224
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27215
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,254 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $803/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $159
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 S Broad St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 516 Maple Ave Unit B Burlington, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 869 | $850 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 321 E 5th St Burlington, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 830 Oxford Ln Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1137 | $1,495 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2076 Legacy Park Trl Burlington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,575 | $1.54 | 21d | 22 | 0.50mi |
| 102-A/B W Summit Ave Unit B Burlington, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 131 Carolina Ave Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1352 Snow Ct Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,625 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 109 Craig St Unit 109-F Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,095 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1528 S Mebane St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 528 | $1,199 | $2.27 | 21d | 10 | 0.79mi |
| 1515 S Mebane St Burlington, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 727 | $1,124 | $1.55 | 13d | 6 | 0.79mi |
| 511 W Davis St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $2,395 | $2.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 411 S Saint John St Burlington, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 709 Maryland Ave Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,225 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1016 Grace Ave Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,245 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1907 Trail Five Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 910 N Main St Unit A Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 306 N Ireland St Unit 306 Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,250 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1515 Woodland Ave Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2008 S Mebane St Burlington, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1121 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1128 Ava St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2408 Ashton Park Ln Unit 1 Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 939 | $1,250 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2408 Ashton Park Ln Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 939 | $1,195 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2408 Ashton Park Ln Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 939 | $1,195 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-03-11status Pending Accepting Backup Offers 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 3-bed, 1-bath home is being sold AS IS and features key upgrades including new windows, updated bath, new HVAC, and new water heater. Well-situated close to downtown Burlington and Burlington City Park, it’s ideal for rental, flip, or long-term hold. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-03-11status Pending
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 3-bed, 1-bath home is being sold AS IS and features key upgrades including new windows, updated bath, new HVAC, and new water heater. Well-situated close to downtown Burlington and Burlington City Park, it’s ideal for rental, flip, or long-term hold. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-03-05status Active 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 3-bed, 1-bath home is being sold AS IS and features key upgrades including new windows, updated bath, new HVAC, and new water heater. Well-situated close to downtown Burlington and Burlington City Park, it’s ideal for rental, flip, or long-term hold. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-03-05status Active
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 3-bed, 1-bath home is being sold AS IS and features key upgrades including new windows, updated bath, new HVAC, and new water heater. Well-situated close to downtown Burlington and Burlington City Park, it’s ideal for rental, flip, or long-term hold. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-26status Pending 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 3-bed, 1-bath home is being sold AS IS and features key upgrades including new windows, updated bath, new HVAC, and new water heater. Well-situated close to downtown Burlington and Burlington City Park, it’s ideal for rental, flip, or long-term hold. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-26status Pending
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 3-bed, 1-bath home is being sold AS IS and features key upgrades including new windows, updated bath, new HVAC, and new water heater. Well-situated close to downtown Burlington and Burlington City Park, it’s ideal for rental, flip, or long-term hold. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-06$135,000 Active 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 3-bed, 1-bath home is being sold AS IS and features key upgrades including new windows, updated bath, new HVAC, and new water heater. Well-situated close to downtown Burlington and Burlington City Park, it’s ideal for rental, flip, or long-term hold. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-06$135,000 Active
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 3-bed, 1-bath home is being sold AS IS and features key upgrades including new windows, updated bath, new HVAC, and new water heater. Well-situated close to downtown Burlington and Burlington City Park, it’s ideal for rental, flip, or long-term hold. Schedule a showing today!
-
2022-05-13soldstatus $77,000
-
1987-04-29soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $803 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,107 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$304/yr (+$25/mo · 37.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,045
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$803
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,204
- − Management
- −$1,204
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$329
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$79
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,992/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamance-Burlington Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,359
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6460
- State rank
- #133 of 178 in NC
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #7396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burlington, NC
- County
- Alamance County · 173,369 people
- City population
- 88,508
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,102
- Household income
- $68,825
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1497.0
Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 173,381 people
- By 2030
- 180,609 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 194,327 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 206,158 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 235,665 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 258,626 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Alamance
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -263.87%
- Current HPI
- 224.3392
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+462.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2026-03-11 Pending — TMLS
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — Triad MLS
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — TMLS
- 2026-02-26 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2026-02-26 Pending — TMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $135,000 TMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $135,000 Triad MLS
- 2022-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1987-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.2%/yrLatest (2025): $803 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…