🏷️ Likely Rental
1507 E 4th St · Duluth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Opportunity Near UMD/Scholastica – Value-Add Duplex on 4th St! Prime location just minutes from University of Minnesota Duluth and The College of St. Scholastica, making this a strong rental demand area. This duplex offers immediate upside potential through rent increases and utility optimization. Upper Unit: 1 bedroom on main level + den/office + walk-up attic bedroom. Open living/dining area, full bath, and additional exterior storage access. Lower Unit: 3 bedrooms, full bath, separate living room and kitchen layout ideal for student or shared housing. License Number: LS-2-0067 Expires 7/1/2027 Income & Expenses: Current rents:$1100/mo Lower & $1200 Upper Electric paid by tenants $340/month total ($165 upper / $175 lower) 2026 Property Taxes: $3,292/year Utilities (owner paid): approx. $81 gas / $56 water / $64 sewer per month Separate electric meters already in place Mechanical/Additional Features: Natural gas furnace Coin-operated washer/dryer for added income potential Additional washer/dryer hookups Separate basement entrance Investment Highlights: High-demand rental corridor near colleges Clear path to increased cash flow with rent adjustments in 2027 Ability to restructure utility responsibilities to improve NOI Ideal for house-hack, student rental, or long-term hold Current tenants pay electric only there are 2 meters $165/mo & $175/mo avg. Comfort Systems Consumption report available Showings: Upper Tenant prefers showings after 4pm. Lower Level is resistant to showings-decor and condition is similar to upper unit but in earth tone colors. Basement is available. Street Parking only for this property Garbage is picked up in the back alley crossing the back neighbors driveway Side Door is to the basement- utilities and Coin Laundry Excellent opportunity to reposition and maximize returns in a proven rental location.
Key facts
- Kitchen layout
- Separate living room
- Value-add duplex
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $595/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
- Recommended offer: $215k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 50 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,465/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 655% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($215k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $229k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.26%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $293,885
- List price
- $229,000
- Delta
- -22.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1407 E 3rd St | 0.11mi | 5/2.0 | 2,000 (-8%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $145 | 82 |
| 1612 E 6th St | 0.15mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,412 (+11%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $100 | 60 |
| 1828 London Rd | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,942 (-10%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $142 | 35 |
| 705 E 6th St | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,464 (+14%) | 9mo | $195,250 | $79 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $56,976
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- 31.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.60×
- Total profit
- $230,612
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55812
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,465 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,022/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$728
- Net cashflow
- $1,189
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,660 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,804 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,465 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414 N 19th Ave E Duluth, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1900 | $2,295 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1821 E 1st St Duluth, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1662 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 202 S 18th Ave E Duluth, MN | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2372 | $2,495 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2114 E 4th St Duluth, MN | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2326 | $3,050 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2125 E Superior St Unit 3 Duluth, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1622 | $1,850 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 609 E 6th St Duluth, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,795 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $229,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $229,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $229,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $235,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-05-15price $235,000 1896-char remark
Show marketing remark (1896 chars)
Investor Opportunity Near UMD/Scholastica – Value-Add Duplex on 4th St! Prime location just minutes from University of Minnesota Duluth and The College of St. Scholastica, making this a strong rental demand area. This duplex offers immediate upside potential through rent increases and utility optimization. Upper Unit: 1 bedroom on main level + den/office + walk-up attic bedroom. Open living/dining area, full bath, and additional exterior storage access. Lower Unit: 3 bedrooms, full bath, separate living room and kitchen layout ideal for student or shared housing. License Number: LS-2-0067 Expires 7/1/2027 Income & Expenses: Current rents:$1100/mo Lower & $1200 Upper Electric paid by tenants $340/month total ($165 upper / $175 lower) 2026 Property Taxes: $3,292/year Utilities (owner paid): approx. $81 gas / $56 water / $64 sewer per month Separate electric meters already in place Mechanical/Additional Features: Natural gas furnace Coin-operated washer/dryer for added income potential Additional washer/dryer hookups Separate basement entrance Investment Highlights: High-demand rental corridor near colleges Clear path to increased cash flow with rent adjustments in 2027 Ability to restructure utility responsibilities to improve NOI Ideal for house-hack, student rental, or long-term hold Current tenants pay electric only there are 2 meters $165/mo & $175/mo avg. Comfort Systems Consumption report available Showings: Upper Tenant prefers showings after 4pm. Lower Level is resistant to showings-decor and condition is similar to upper unit but in earth tone colors. Basement is available. Street Parking only for this property Garbage is picked up in the back alley crossing the back neighbors driveway Side Door is to the basement- utilities and Coin Laundry Excellent opportunity to reposition and maximize returns in a proven rental location.
-
2026-04-25price $239,000 1896-char remark
Show marketing remark (1896 chars)
Investor Opportunity Near UMD/Scholastica – Value-Add Duplex on 4th St! Prime location just minutes from University of Minnesota Duluth and The College of St. Scholastica, making this a strong rental demand area. This duplex offers immediate upside potential through rent increases and utility optimization. Upper Unit: 1 bedroom on main level + den/office + walk-up attic bedroom. Open living/dining area, full bath, and additional exterior storage access. Lower Unit: 3 bedrooms, full bath, separate living room and kitchen layout ideal for student or shared housing. License Number: LS-2-0067 Expires 7/1/2027 Income & Expenses: Current rents:$1100/mo Lower & $1200 Upper Electric paid by tenants $340/month total ($165 upper / $175 lower) 2026 Property Taxes: $3,292/year Utilities (owner paid): approx. $81 gas / $56 water / $64 sewer per month Separate electric meters already in place Mechanical/Additional Features: Natural gas furnace Coin-operated washer/dryer for added income potential Additional washer/dryer hookups Separate basement entrance Investment Highlights: High-demand rental corridor near colleges Clear path to increased cash flow with rent adjustments in 2027 Ability to restructure utility responsibilities to improve NOI Ideal for house-hack, student rental, or long-term hold Current tenants pay electric only there are 2 meters $165/mo & $175/mo avg. Comfort Systems Consumption report available Showings: Upper Tenant prefers showings after 4pm. Lower Level is resistant to showings-decor and condition is similar to upper unit but in earth tone colors. Basement is available. Street Parking only for this property Garbage is picked up in the back alley crossing the back neighbors driveway Side Door is to the basement- utilities and Coin Laundry Excellent opportunity to reposition and maximize returns in a proven rental location.
-
2026-04-09$250,000 Active 1896-char remark
Show marketing remark (1896 chars)
Investor Opportunity Near UMD/Scholastica – Value-Add Duplex on 4th St! Prime location just minutes from University of Minnesota Duluth and The College of St. Scholastica, making this a strong rental demand area. This duplex offers immediate upside potential through rent increases and utility optimization. Upper Unit: 1 bedroom on main level + den/office + walk-up attic bedroom. Open living/dining area, full bath, and additional exterior storage access. Lower Unit: 3 bedrooms, full bath, separate living room and kitchen layout ideal for student or shared housing. License Number: LS-2-0067 Expires 7/1/2027 Income & Expenses: Current rents:$1100/mo Lower & $1200 Upper Electric paid by tenants $340/month total ($165 upper / $175 lower) 2026 Property Taxes: $3,292/year Utilities (owner paid): approx. $81 gas / $56 water / $64 sewer per month Separate electric meters already in place Mechanical/Additional Features: Natural gas furnace Coin-operated washer/dryer for added income potential Additional washer/dryer hookups Separate basement entrance Investment Highlights: High-demand rental corridor near colleges Clear path to increased cash flow with rent adjustments in 2027 Ability to restructure utility responsibilities to improve NOI Ideal for house-hack, student rental, or long-term hold Current tenants pay electric only there are 2 meters $165/mo & $175/mo avg. Comfort Systems Consumption report available Showings: Upper Tenant prefers showings after 4pm. Lower Level is resistant to showings-decor and condition is similar to upper unit but in earth tone colors. Basement is available. Street Parking only for this property Garbage is picked up in the back alley crossing the back neighbors driveway Side Door is to the basement- utilities and Coin Laundry Excellent opportunity to reposition and maximize returns in a proven rental location.
-
2020-11-05soldstatus $140,000
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2020-11-02soldstatus $140,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Conveniently located duplex in East Duluth! Main level apartment features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. Upper Level apartment includes 2 bedrooms, a large living room with a combined dining area, kitchen, and an office. Close to colleges and right on the bus line. Don't miss this opportunity!
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2020-09-09$149,900 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Conveniently located duplex in East Duluth! Main level apartment features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. Upper Level apartment includes 2 bedrooms, a large living room with a combined dining area, kitchen, and an office. Close to colleges and right on the bus line. Don't miss this opportunity!
-
2007-12-19historical
-
2007-04-19$139,900
-
2003-01-07soldstatus $80,000
-
2003-01-07soldstatus $115,000
-
2000-03-14soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,022 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,022 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$3,022
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,326
- − Management
- −$3,326
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable income
- $11,271
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,705
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duluth Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711040
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,692
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3360
- State rank
- #132 of 301 in MN
Livability — Duluth
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duluth, MN
- County
- Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
- City population
- 71,097
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,859
- Household income
- $65,505
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 655.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 6% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -277.88%
- Current HPI
- 196.8354
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.07%
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+193.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $235,000 LSAR
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $239,000 LSAR
- 2026-04-09 Listed $250,000 LSAR
- 2020-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-02 Sold (MLS) $140,000 LSAR
- 2020-09-09 Listed $149,900 LSAR
- 2007-12-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-19 Listed $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2003-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2000-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,022 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…