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1507 E 4th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 80.31
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

1507 E 4th St · Duluth, MN 55812
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,165 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1908 3,485 sqft lot $106/sqft · 22% below area Est $294k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Opportunity Near UMD/Scholastica – Value-Add Duplex on 4th St! Prime location just minutes from University of Minnesota Duluth and The College of St. Scholastica, making this a strong rental demand area. This duplex offers immediate upside potential through rent increases and utility optimization. Upper Unit: 1 bedroom on main level + den/office + walk-up attic bedroom. Open living/dining area, full bath, and additional exterior storage access. Lower Unit: 3 bedrooms, full bath, separate living room and kitchen layout ideal for student or shared housing. License Number: LS-2-0067 Expires 7/1/2027 Income & Expenses: Current rents:$1100/mo Lower & $1200 Upper Electric paid by tenants $340/month total ($165 upper / $175 lower) 2026 Property Taxes: $3,292/year Utilities (owner paid): approx. $81 gas / $56 water / $64 sewer per month Separate electric meters already in place Mechanical/Additional Features: Natural gas furnace Coin-operated washer/dryer for added income potential Additional washer/dryer hookups Separate basement entrance Investment Highlights: High-demand rental corridor near colleges Clear path to increased cash flow with rent adjustments in 2027 Ability to restructure utility responsibilities to improve NOI Ideal for house-hack, student rental, or long-term hold Current tenants pay electric only there are 2 meters $165/mo & $175/mo avg. Comfort Systems Consumption report available Showings: Upper Tenant prefers showings after 4pm. Lower Level is resistant to showings-decor and condition is similar to upper unit but in earth tone colors. Basement is available. Street Parking only for this property Garbage is picked up in the back alley crossing the back neighbors driveway Side Door is to the basement- utilities and Coin Laundry Excellent opportunity to reposition and maximize returns in a proven rental location.

Key facts

  • Kitchen layout
  • Separate living room
  • Value-add duplex

Tags

VALUE-ADD DUPLEXPRIME LOCATIONSTRONG RENTAL DEMAND AREAIMMEDIATE UPSIDE POTENTIALSEPARATE LIVING ROOMKITCHEN LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $229,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$293,885) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $595/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Duluth Public School District (urban): math 44% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #132 of 301 in MN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 50 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,465/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 655% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($215k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $229k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $215,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.52%
Cash-on-cash
22.26%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$293,885
List price
$229,000
Delta
-22.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1407 E 3rd St 0.11mi 5/2.0 2,000 (-8%) 0mo $290,000 $145 82
1612 E 6th St 0.15mi 4/4.0 (-1) 2,412 (+11%) 1mo $240,000 $100 60
1828 London Rd 0.57mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,942 (-10%) 20mo $275,000 $142 35
705 E 6th St 0.72mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,464 (+14%) 9mo $195,250 $79 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$56,976
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
4.60×
Total profit
$230,612
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55812

Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,465 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,022/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$728
Net cashflow
$1,189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,960
Max offer price $229,000
Occupancy floor 61%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,660
1× unit 3 1 $1,804
Total (2 units) $3,465

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
414 N 19th Ave E Duluth, MN 4.0 1.0 1900 $2,295 $1.21 13d 1 0.36mi
1821 E 1st St Duluth, MN 5.0 2.0 1662 $2,300 $1.38 13d 1 0.38mi
202 S 18th Ave E Duluth, MN 5.0 2.5 2372 $2,495 $1.05 13d 1 0.48mi
2114 E 4th St Duluth, MN 6.0 2.0 2326 $3,050 $1.31 21d 1 0.56mi
2125 E Superior St Unit 3 Duluth, MN 4.0 1.0 1622 $1,850 $1.14 13d 1 0.65mi
609 E 6th St Duluth, MN 5.0 2.0 1850 $1,795 $0.97 21d 1 0.78mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $229,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $229,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $229,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,000 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $229,000 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $235,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $235,000 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $235,000 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $235,000 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $235,000 Active 51 DOM
  18. 2026-05-15
    price $235,000 1896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1896 chars)

    Investor Opportunity Near UMD/Scholastica – Value-Add Duplex on 4th St! Prime location just minutes from University of Minnesota Duluth and The College of St. Scholastica, making this a strong rental demand area. This duplex offers immediate upside potential through rent increases and utility optimization. Upper Unit: 1 bedroom on main level + den/office + walk-up attic bedroom. Open living/dining area, full bath, and additional exterior storage access. Lower Unit: 3 bedrooms, full bath, separate living room and kitchen layout ideal for student or shared housing. License Number: LS-2-0067 Expires 7/1/2027 Income & Expenses: Current rents:$1100/mo Lower & $1200 Upper Electric paid by tenants $340/month total ($165 upper / $175 lower) 2026 Property Taxes: $3,292/year Utilities (owner paid): approx. $81 gas / $56 water / $64 sewer per month Separate electric meters already in place Mechanical/Additional Features: Natural gas furnace Coin-operated washer/dryer for added income potential Additional washer/dryer hookups Separate basement entrance Investment Highlights: High-demand rental corridor near colleges Clear path to increased cash flow with rent adjustments in 2027 Ability to restructure utility responsibilities to improve NOI Ideal for house-hack, student rental, or long-term hold Current tenants pay electric only there are 2 meters $165/mo & $175/mo avg. Comfort Systems Consumption report available Showings: Upper Tenant prefers showings after 4pm. Lower Level is resistant to showings-decor and condition is similar to upper unit but in earth tone colors. Basement is available. Street Parking only for this property Garbage is picked up in the back alley crossing the back neighbors driveway Side Door is to the basement- utilities and Coin Laundry Excellent opportunity to reposition and maximize returns in a proven rental location.

  19. 2026-04-25
    price $239,000 1896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1896 chars)

    Investor Opportunity Near UMD/Scholastica – Value-Add Duplex on 4th St! Prime location just minutes from University of Minnesota Duluth and The College of St. Scholastica, making this a strong rental demand area. This duplex offers immediate upside potential through rent increases and utility optimization. Upper Unit: 1 bedroom on main level + den/office + walk-up attic bedroom. Open living/dining area, full bath, and additional exterior storage access. Lower Unit: 3 bedrooms, full bath, separate living room and kitchen layout ideal for student or shared housing. License Number: LS-2-0067 Expires 7/1/2027 Income & Expenses: Current rents:$1100/mo Lower & $1200 Upper Electric paid by tenants $340/month total ($165 upper / $175 lower) 2026 Property Taxes: $3,292/year Utilities (owner paid): approx. $81 gas / $56 water / $64 sewer per month Separate electric meters already in place Mechanical/Additional Features: Natural gas furnace Coin-operated washer/dryer for added income potential Additional washer/dryer hookups Separate basement entrance Investment Highlights: High-demand rental corridor near colleges Clear path to increased cash flow with rent adjustments in 2027 Ability to restructure utility responsibilities to improve NOI Ideal for house-hack, student rental, or long-term hold Current tenants pay electric only there are 2 meters $165/mo & $175/mo avg. Comfort Systems Consumption report available Showings: Upper Tenant prefers showings after 4pm. Lower Level is resistant to showings-decor and condition is similar to upper unit but in earth tone colors. Basement is available. Street Parking only for this property Garbage is picked up in the back alley crossing the back neighbors driveway Side Door is to the basement- utilities and Coin Laundry Excellent opportunity to reposition and maximize returns in a proven rental location.

  20. 2026-04-09
    listed $250,000 Active 1896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1896 chars)

    Investor Opportunity Near UMD/Scholastica – Value-Add Duplex on 4th St! Prime location just minutes from University of Minnesota Duluth and The College of St. Scholastica, making this a strong rental demand area. This duplex offers immediate upside potential through rent increases and utility optimization. Upper Unit: 1 bedroom on main level + den/office + walk-up attic bedroom. Open living/dining area, full bath, and additional exterior storage access. Lower Unit: 3 bedrooms, full bath, separate living room and kitchen layout ideal for student or shared housing. License Number: LS-2-0067 Expires 7/1/2027 Income & Expenses: Current rents:$1100/mo Lower & $1200 Upper Electric paid by tenants $340/month total ($165 upper / $175 lower) 2026 Property Taxes: $3,292/year Utilities (owner paid): approx. $81 gas / $56 water / $64 sewer per month Separate electric meters already in place Mechanical/Additional Features: Natural gas furnace Coin-operated washer/dryer for added income potential Additional washer/dryer hookups Separate basement entrance Investment Highlights: High-demand rental corridor near colleges Clear path to increased cash flow with rent adjustments in 2027 Ability to restructure utility responsibilities to improve NOI Ideal for house-hack, student rental, or long-term hold Current tenants pay electric only there are 2 meters $165/mo & $175/mo avg. Comfort Systems Consumption report available Showings: Upper Tenant prefers showings after 4pm. Lower Level is resistant to showings-decor and condition is similar to upper unit but in earth tone colors. Basement is available. Street Parking only for this property Garbage is picked up in the back alley crossing the back neighbors driveway Side Door is to the basement- utilities and Coin Laundry Excellent opportunity to reposition and maximize returns in a proven rental location.

  21. 2020-11-05
    soldstatus $140,000
  22. 2020-11-02
    soldstatus $140,000 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Conveniently located duplex in East Duluth! Main level apartment features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. Upper Level apartment includes 2 bedrooms, a large living room with a combined dining area, kitchen, and an office. Close to colleges and right on the bus line. Don't miss this opportunity!

  23. 2020-09-09
    listed $149,900 331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (331 chars)

    Conveniently located duplex in East Duluth! Main level apartment features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a large living room and an eat-in kitchen. Upper Level apartment includes 2 bedrooms, a large living room with a combined dining area, kitchen, and an office. Close to colleges and right on the bus line. Don't miss this opportunity!

  24. 2007-12-19
    historical
  25. 2007-04-19
    listed $139,900
  26. 2003-01-07
    soldstatus $80,000
  27. 2003-01-07
    soldstatus $115,000
  28. 2000-03-14
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,022 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,022 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,580
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$3,022
− Insurance
−$1,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,326
− Management
−$3,326
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable income
$11,271
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,705
After-tax cash flow
$11,565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duluth Public School District
NCES district ID
2711040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,692
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3360
State rank
#132 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
71,097
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
10,859
Household income
$65,505
Rent vs Own
57.4% rent · 42.6% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 6% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -277.88%
Current HPI
196.8354
Rent YoY
▲ 8.07%
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+193.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $235,000 LSAR
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $239,000 LSAR
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $250,000 LSAR
  • 2020-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-02 Sold (MLS) $140,000 LSAR
  • 2020-09-09 Listed $149,900 LSAR
  • 2007-12-19 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-19 Listed $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2003-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,022 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…