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225 Ronnie Cir 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 45.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

225 Ronnie Cir · Orlovista, FL 32811
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,988 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1989 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. WAIT NO LONGER……HERE IS THE HOME YOU HAVE BEEN WAITING FOR! This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom is located in the heart of Orlando. The home has been updated inside and out with fresh paint, vinyl flooring, upgraded bathrooms, new light fixtures, new kitchen cabinets, granite waterfall countertops, fashionable backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. The property has a brand new 2023 roof and a spacious patio area. The property has a lake behind the home which is undergoing maintenance. Move-in ready, don’t miss this opportunity to make this home Your Own!

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Built 1989
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Construction materials: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 room total
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $5,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$471,156) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#268 in FL, #4,405 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 238 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,167/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 2728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
43.34%
Cap rate
408.86%
Cash-on-cash
1437.72%
DSCR
64.97
GRM
0.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$471,156
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 N Hudson St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,898 (-4%) 23mo $450,000 $237 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
53.22×
Total profit
$73,107
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
103.87×
Total profit
$144,020
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32811

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,167 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$1,251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $584
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,254 -5% $1,253 +0% $1,251 +5% $1,249 +10% $1,247
Rent -10% $1,080 -5% $1,165 +0% $1,251 +5% $1,336 +10% $1,422
Rate -1.0pp $1,253 -0.5pp $1,252 base $1,251 +0.5pp $1,250 +1.0pp $1,248

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
686 Walkup Dr Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,050 $1.46 24d 1 0.58mi
4995 Mercer St Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1386 $2,500 $1.80 3d 1 0.60mi
5036 College Dr Orlando, FL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 24d 1 0.70mi
5425 Wood Crossing St Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 5d 1 0.74mi
464 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 977 $2,375 $2.43 3d 19 0.77mi
4957 Vista Lago Dr Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1364 $2,228 $1.63 8d 1 0.89mi
6215 Melbourne Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $850 $0.68 18d 1 0.92mi
5979 Westgate Dr #1021 Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1308 $1,800 $1.38 15d 1 1.03mi
907 S Kirkman Rd Orlando, FL 2.0–4.0 2.0 1131 $1,660 $1.47 3d 14 1.08mi
5915 Raleigh St Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1039 $3,204 $3.08 2d 28 1.18mi
4529 W Gore Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1439 $2,549 $1.77 20d 1 1.27mi
6101 Raleigh St Orlando, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1120 $1,956 $1.75 3d 41 1.30mi
5377 Rosegay Ct Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1815 $2,100 $1.16 24d 1 1.30mi
1303 Charles St Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1780 $2,200 $1.24 22d 1 1.30mi
6033 Balboa Dr Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1269 $2,300 $1.81 22d 1 1.33mi
1343 Croyle Dr Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1273 $1,900 $1.49 24d 1 1.37mi
1213 Roger Babson Rd Unit 1 Orlando, FL 4.0 2.0 1380 $2,499 $1.81 8d 1 1.38mi
6168 Raleigh St Orlando, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1261 $2,388 $1.89 3d 34 1.42mi
325 Crabtree Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1749 $2,106 $1.20 22d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    remarks 295-char remark
  5. 2026-06-04
    listed $5,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,004
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$5,144
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,080
− Management
−$2,080
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$16,199
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,888
After-tax cash flow
$11,122/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL

Livability — Orlovista

Score
74/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4405

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Orlovista, FL
County
Orange County · 1,471,359 people
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
41,475
Household income
$54,082
Rent vs Own
69.9% rent · 30.1% own
Severe rent burden
2728.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 17% White 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Estonian 4% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.37%
Current HPI
284.9191
Rent YoY
▲ 0.15%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-93.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-04-29 Listed $297,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $343,500 Public Records
  • 2024-03-15 Sold (MLS) $343,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-02 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-21 Listed $355,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-28 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-10 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-03 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-13 Listed $210,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,019 · -23.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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