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18325 Saint Joseph Ave #230 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 46.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

18325 Saint Joseph Ave #230 · Big Rapids, MI 49307
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 41 Days on market
Built 1995 Good condition $25/sqft · 63% below area $525/mo HOA · 39% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month. Please note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!

Key facts

  • Great amenities
  • Tennis court
  • Pickleball

Tags

CLEAN WELL MAINTAINED GROUNDSGREAT AMENITIESPLAYGROUNDTENNIS COURTPICKLEBALLBASKETBALL COURT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of 525; HOA includes snow removal; Community amenities: playground, tennis court(s)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Ranch style; Built in 1995
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Slab foundation (basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $29,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$81,365) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 2.5% in Big Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#209 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Big Rapids Public Schools (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #176 of 540 in MI (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Mecosta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mecosta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
Recommended offer $29,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.47%
Cap rate
19.31%
Cash-on-cash
46.48%
DSCR
3.07
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,365
List price
$29,900
Delta
-63.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18365 Saint Joseph Dr #234 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 1mo $30,000 $25 98
20798 Saint Joseph Ave Lot 226 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 1mo $35,000 $29 96
18336 St Joseph Ave #222 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 6mo $69,900 $57 95

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.3%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$16,153
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
50.5%
Equity multiple
6.02×
Total profit
$42,055
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49307

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,337 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$525
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $926
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$525 · $6,300/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $29,900 Pending 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,900 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $29,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $29,900 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,900 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,900 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    listed $29,900 Active 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month. Please note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!

  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $29,900 Active 758-char remark
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month. Please note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!

  18. 2026-05-08
    listed $29,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Country Manor Estates is now under new ownership and professional management! Looking for an affordable 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home? This welcoming community offers a variety of financing options to fit your needs. Enjoy clean, well-maintained grounds along with great amenities, including a playground, tennis, pickleball, and basketball court--perfect for families and active lifestyles. Lot rent is approximately $525/month. Please note: this is a mobile home community; no land is included in the sale. Buyer must complete park application and receive approval prior to closing. Buyers must pay a 6% sales tax and a $90.00 title transfer fee that goes to the Secretary of State. Contact the listing agent today for more information or to schedule a tour!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,040
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,283
− Management
−$1,283
− HOA
−$6,300
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$4,031
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$967
After-tax cash flow
$2,924/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn and dated
  • Minor Bathroom cabinets — Worn and dated
  • Minor Flooring — Worn and dated

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New flooring — Improves appearance and functionality
  • Both New kitchen cabinets — Modernizes and increases appeal
  • Both New bathroom cabinets — Modernizes and increases appeal
  • Both Paint interior walls — Freshens up the space and improves curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn and dated Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom cabinets · Worn and dated Minor $500–3,000
Flooring · Worn and dated Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New flooring — Improves appearance and functionality
  • Both New kitchen cabinets — Modernizes and increases appeal
  • Both New bathroom cabinets — Modernizes and increases appeal
  • Both Paint interior walls — Freshens up the space and improves curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Big Rapids Public Schools
NCES district ID
2605780
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$35,568
Composite
36.37/100
National rank
#4685
State rank
#176 of 540 in MI

Livability — Big Rapids

Score
73/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#5231

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Mecosta County · 18,407 people
City population
18,407
Metro
Big Rapids, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,407
Household income
$60,358
Rent vs Own
36.3% rent · 63.7% own
Severe rent burden
667.0

Population outlook (Mecosta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,954 people
By 2030
42,954 · +0.0%
By 2040
41,574 · -3.2%
By 2050
39,250 · -8.6%
By 2075
32,628 · -24.0%
By 2100
27,476 · -36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecosta

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.88%
Current HPI
199.8828
Rent YoY
Metro
Big Rapids, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $29,900 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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