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160 SW Creston Ave
B Composite 72.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$95,000

160 SW Creston Ave · Creston, WA 99117
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Other · 90 Days on market
Built 1960 $61/sqft · 17% below area Est $115k · 17% under ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Incredible opportunity in the heart of Creston! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,568 sq ft of living space with a detached two-car garage and a storage shed out back. Situated on a level city lot, the property is zoned for 2–4 units, providing excellent potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or new construction. With solid bones and versatile zoning, this is one of the best values in the area. Bring your vision and take advantage of this affordable opportunity in a growing community. Buyer to verify all zoning and development potential.

Key facts

  • Level city lot
  • Versatile zoning
  • Storage shed

Tags

DETACHED TWO-CAR GARAGESTORAGE SHEDLEVEL CITY LOTZONED FOR 2-4 UNITSVERSATILE ZONINGGROWING COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#288 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Creston School District (rural): math 40% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #110 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lincoln County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.50%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$115,000
List price
$95,000
Delta
-17.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$24,823
Equity at exit
$42,716
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$69,550
Equity at exit
$65,831

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99117

Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,005 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $545/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $738
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    price $95,000 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Incredible opportunity in the heart of Creston! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,568 sq ft of living space with a detached two-car garage and a storage shed out back. Situated on a level city lot, the property is zoned for 2–4 units, providing excellent potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or new construction. With solid bones and versatile zoning, this is one of the best values in the area. Bring your vision and take advantage of this affordable opportunity in a growing community. Buyer to verify all zoning and development potential.

  17. 2026-03-20
    listed $109,900 Active 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Incredible opportunity in the heart of Creston! This 1-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,568 sq ft of living space with a detached two-car garage and a storage shed out back. Situated on a level city lot, the property is zoned for 2–4 units, providing excellent potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or new construction. With solid bones and versatile zoning, this is one of the best values in the area. Bring your vision and take advantage of this affordable opportunity in a growing community. Buyer to verify all zoning and development potential.

  18. 2025-12-31
    historical
  19. 2025-07-15
    listed $140,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$545 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$931 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$386/yr (+$32/mo · 70.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,057
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$545
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$965
− Management
−$965
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$245
After-tax cash flow
$2,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Creston School District
NCES district ID
5301860
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 20.00%
Median HH income
$44,830
Composite
48.19/100
National rank
#4729
State rank
#110 of 291 in WA

Livability — Creston

Score
68/100
State rank
#288
US rank
#10054

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Creston, WA
Population (ZIP)
578

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,599 people
By 2030
9,146 · -4.7%
By 2040
8,298 · -13.6%
By 2050
7,683 · -20.0%
By 2075
6,790 · -29.3%
By 2100
6,029 · -37.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 23.6% · R 74.2% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.9pp toward R · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+48.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $95,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $109,900 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $140,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $545 · +287.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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