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1616 Ruiz St
D- Composite 36.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.5/15.0

$149,700

1616 Ruiz St · San Antonio, TX 78207-1459
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1925 2,831 sqft lot $139/sqft · 16% above area Est $130k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

GREAT HOME WITH TONS OF POTENTIAL IN A GREAT AREA. LARGE BACK YARD. VERY CLEAN HOME.

Key facts

  • Large back yard
  • 2,831 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

LARGE BACK YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Down payment assistance not indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Converted garage
  • Utilities: Connected to water system; Connected to sewer system
  • Home design: Pre-owned property; Approximate age: 101 years
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Siding exterior; Lot in 26TH/ZARZAMORA subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (approx. 11 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with ceiling fan (approx. 15 x 12); Bedroom 2 (approx. 10 x 9); Bedroom 3 (approx. 13 x 8)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Linoleum; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; All window coverings remain; One living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-129/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (1.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ogden El (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #4,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 384 students, 97% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 80% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,436 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.31%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$129,602
List price
$149,700
Delta
15.51%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
819 N Hamilton Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+6%) 2mo $55,000 $48 79
751 Rivas 0.65mi 2/1.0 1,111 (+3%) 1mo $110,000 $99 64
1002 Menchaca 0.48mi 2/1.0 1,184 (+10%) 2mo $65,000 $55 60
823 N Trinity St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,064 (-2%) 8mo $129,000 $121 53
945 Delgado 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 987 (-9%) 7mo $50,000 $51 51
131 Neff 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,029 (-5%) 6mo $139,700 $136 50
3430 Commerce 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,164 (+8%) 8mo $49,500 $43 49
902 Ruiz 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,150 (+6%) 8mo $105,000 $91 44
3718 W Martin St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,236 (+14%) 2mo $90,000 $73 44
1422 N Sabinas 0.74mi 2/1.0 960 (-11%) 6mo $99,000 $103 42
2811 W Travis 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,215 (+12%) 8mo $189,000 $156 41
102 S Rosillo 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 984 (-9%) 6mo $75,000 $76 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$17,396
Equity at exit
$67,312
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$62,980
Equity at exit
$103,735

Cash invested: $41,916 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78207-1459

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,354 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$785
Tax from tax record
$233 /mo · $2,800/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$-11

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,368
Max offer price $147,795
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $74 -5% $32 +0% $-11 +5% $-53 +10% $-96
Rent -10% $-118 -5% $-64 +0% $-11 +5% $43 +10% $96
Rate -1.0pp $65 -0.5pp $27 base $-11 +0.5pp $-50 +1.0pp $-89

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,425
Closing costs
$4,491
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1545 Ruiz St San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1020 $935 $0.92 45d 1 0.09mi
1407 Leal St Unit 3 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 1312 $800 $0.61 45d 1 0.16mi
1230 Rivas St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1287 $1,999 $1.55 25d 1 0.26mi
1231 Rivas St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,299 $1.16 45d 1 0.29mi
206 Roberts St Unit 201 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 25d 1 0.30mi
234 Gould St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.5 948 $1,195 $1.26 5d 1 0.30mi
3038 W Salinas Unit 101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1149 $1,550 $1.35 5d 1 0.36mi
230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,595 $1.17 25d 1 0.51mi
230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,695 $1.24 45d 1 0.51mi
2619 W Houston St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 776 $1,800 $2.32 45d 1 0.56mi
3918 W Martin St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 25d 1 0.57mi
811 Rivas St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,580 $1.24 0d 1 0.63mi
811 Rivas St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,580 $1.24 25d 1 0.63mi
614 N Sabinas St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 930 $1,249 $1.34 5d 1 0.65mi
2425 Monterey St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1416 $1,900 $1.34 0d 1 0.71mi
2120 Monterey St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1220 $1,450 $1.19 12d 1 0.84mi
2120 Monterey St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1220 $1,490 $1.22 45d 1 0.84mi
122 Collins Ct San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 927 $1,150 $1.24 23d 1 0.85mi
2503 Arbor Pl San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 45d 1 0.87mi
214 Aztec St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 973 $1,275 $1.31 16d 1 0.87mi
542 Rivas St Unit B San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $985 $1.12 0d 1 0.94mi
1820 W Houston St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1132 $2,300 $2.03 45d 1 1.00mi
509 S Trinity St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 921 $1,300 $1.41 5d 1 1.10mi
610 Ruiz St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 1380 $650 $0.47 0d 1 1.11mi
1706 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1204 $1,500 $1.25 25d 1 1.12mi
1706 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1204 $1,500 $1.25 45d 1 1.12mi
717 N Colorado St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,199 $1.09 45d 1 1.13mi
1711 W Cesar E Chavez Blvd Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 800 $1,275 $1.59 45d 1 1.16mi
520 Cincinnati Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $2,000 $1.64 45d 1 1.16mi
1630 W Craig Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,675 $1.34 0d 1 1.18mi
2721 Colima St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 16d 1 1.19mi
215 S Brazos St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 5d 1 1.19mi
1602 W Craig Pl San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1344 $1,300 $0.97 45d 1 1.20mi
703 N San Marcos San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $716 $1.02 45d 1 1.24mi
2020 W Woodlawn Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,298 $1.08 45d 1 1.26mi
232 Cornell Ave #2 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 924 $1,050 $1.14 17d 1 1.27mi
411 Cincinnati Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 1334 $800 $0.60 25d 1 1.28mi
2812 Vera Cruz San Antonio, TX 1.0 2.0 1060 $1,200 $1.13 5d 1 1.28mi
1524 W Woodlawn Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1200 $795 $0.66 25d 1 1.29mi
247 Princeton Ave San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 1440 $625 $0.43 45d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,700 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,700 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,700 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,700 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,700 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,700 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,700 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,700 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,700 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,700 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,700 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,700 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,700 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,700 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-11
    listed $149,700 New 85-char remark
  16. 2026-03-17
    soldstatus
  17. 2024-10-29
    historical
  18. 2024-10-16
    price $139,700
  19. 2024-09-27
    listed $144,700 New
  20. 2024-09-06
    soldstatus
  21. 2017-01-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,800 · $233/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,800 · $233/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,252
− Mortgage interest
−$8,386
− Property taxes
−$2,800
− Insurance
−$748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,300
− Management
−$1,300
− Depreciation
−$4,355
Taxable loss
−$2,637
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$633
After-tax cash flow
$503/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $149,700 LERA
  • 2026-03-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-10-29 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2024-10-16 Price Changed $139,700 LERA
  • 2024-09-27 Listed $144,700 LERA
  • 2024-09-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-01-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,800 · -8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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