1616 Ruiz St · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
$149,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
GREAT HOME WITH TONS OF POTENTIAL IN A GREAT AREA. LARGE BACK YARD. VERY CLEAN HOME.
Key facts
- Large back yard
- 2,831 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment assistance not indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Converted garage
- Utilities: Connected to water system; Connected to sewer system
- Home design: Pre-owned property; Approximate age: 101 years
- Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Siding exterior; Lot in 26TH/ZARZAMORA subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (approx. 11 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with ceiling fan (approx. 15 x 12); Bedroom 2 (approx. 10 x 9); Bedroom 3 (approx. 13 x 8)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Linoleum; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; All window coverings remain; One living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-129/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (1.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ogden El (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #4,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 384 students, 97% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 80% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.31%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,602
- List price
- $149,700
- Delta
- 15.51%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 819 N Hamilton Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+6%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $48 | 79 |
| 751 Rivas | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,111 (+3%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $99 | 64 |
| 1002 Menchaca | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,184 (+10%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $55 | 60 |
| 823 N Trinity St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (-2%) | 8mo | $129,000 | $121 | 53 |
| 945 Delgado | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 987 (-9%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $51 | 51 |
| 131 Neff | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,029 (-5%) | 6mo | $139,700 | $136 | 50 |
| 3430 Commerce | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,164 (+8%) | 8mo | $49,500 | $43 | 49 |
| 902 Ruiz | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,150 (+6%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $91 | 44 |
| 3718 W Martin St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+14%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $73 | 44 |
| 1422 N Sabinas | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-11%) | 6mo | $99,000 | $103 | 42 |
| 2811 W Travis | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,215 (+12%) | 8mo | $189,000 | $156 | 41 |
| 102 S Rosillo | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 984 (-9%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $76 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $17,396
- Equity at exit
- $67,312
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $62,980
- Equity at exit
- $103,735
Cash invested: $41,916 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78207-1459
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,354 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$785
- Tax from tax record
- −$233 /mo · $2,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $-11
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $74 | -5% $32 | +0% $-11 | +5% $-53 | +10% $-96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-118 | -5% $-64 | +0% $-11 | +5% $43 | +10% $96 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $65 | -0.5pp $27 | base $-11 | +0.5pp $-50 | +1.0pp $-89 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,425
- Closing costs
- $4,491
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1545 Ruiz St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $935 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1407 Leal St Unit 3 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $800 | $0.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1230 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1287 | $1,999 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1231 Rivas St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,299 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 206 Roberts St Unit 201 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 234 Gould St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 948 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3038 W Salinas Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1149 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,695 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2619 W Houston St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,800 | $2.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3918 W Martin St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 811 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,580 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 811 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,580 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 614 N Sabinas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,249 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2425 Monterey St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2120 Monterey St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,450 | $1.19 | 12d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2120 Monterey St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,490 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 122 Collins Ct San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2503 Arbor Pl San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 214 Aztec St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 973 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 542 Rivas St Unit B San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $985 | $1.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1820 W Houston St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $2,300 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 509 S Trinity St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 610 Ruiz St Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $650 | $0.47 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1706 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1706 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 717 N Colorado St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1711 W Cesar E Chavez Blvd Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,275 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 520 Cincinnati Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1630 W Craig Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,675 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2721 Colima St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 215 S Brazos St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1602 W Craig Pl San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,300 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 703 N San Marcos San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $716 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2020 W Woodlawn Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,298 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 232 Cornell Ave #2 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 411 Cincinnati Ave San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1334 | $800 | $0.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2812 Vera Cruz San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1524 W Woodlawn Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $795 | $0.66 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 247 Princeton Ave San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $625 | $0.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,700 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,700 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,700 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,700 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,700 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,700 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,700 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,700 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,700 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,700 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,700 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,700 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,700 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,700 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$149,700 New 85-char remark
-
2026-03-17soldstatus
-
2024-10-29historical
-
2024-10-16price $139,700
-
2024-09-27$144,700 New
-
2024-09-06soldstatus
-
2017-01-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,800 · $233/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,800 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,386
- − Property taxes
- −$2,800
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,300
- − Management
- −$1,300
- − Depreciation
- −$4,355
- Taxable loss
- −$2,637
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$633
- After-tax cash flow
- $503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+3.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $149,700 LERA
- 2026-03-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-10-29 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2024-10-16 Price Changed $139,700 LERA
- 2024-09-27 Listed $144,700 LERA
- 2024-09-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-01-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,800 · -8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…