2234 Seven Oaks Cir · Panthersville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on a level 0.350-acre lot in the established Blue Creek subdivision, this classic 4-sided brick ranch offers a spacious and versatile layout featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 1973, the home spans 2,244 sq. ft. and includes standout living spaces, most notably a massive 17x21 bonus room and a bright 15x14 sunroom. The interior is centered around a cozy living room with a fireplace and is efficiently powered by central natural gas heating and electric cooling. Outside, the durable brick exterior is complemented by an attached garage and a private backyard with plenty of room for outdoor activities. Located in Conley with convenient access to the I-285 corridor and local amenities, this property combines solid construction with exceptional additional living space in Clayton County.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Private backyard
- Bright 15x14 sunroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.3% in Panthersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#180 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,271/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 213% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.05%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $258,151
- List price
- $194,900
- Delta
- -24.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3884 Rockey Valley Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (-11%) | 15mo | $175,000 | $88 | 60 |
| 3880 Micah Ln | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,086 (-7%) | 2mo | $267,500 | $128 | 55 |
| 3884 Blue Granite Way | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,966 (-12%) | 14mo | $260,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 3789 Rock Hollow Ct | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (-6%) | 20mo | $193,000 | $92 | 52 |
| 2432 Pendergrass Ln | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,101 (-6%) | 13mo | $230,350 | $110 | 52 |
| 3916 Rolling Pl | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,942 (-14%) | 22mo | $255,000 | $131 | 50 |
| 4088 Smithfield Trl | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 2,192 (-2%) | 16mo | $299,900 | $137 | 48 |
| 2326 Tolliver Pl | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,412 (+8%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $118 | 47 |
| 2490 Riverwood Spg | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,154 (-4%) | 6mo | $305,000 | $142 | 46 |
| 2426 Tolliver Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 2,492 (+11%) | 7mo | $282,500 | $113 | 44 |
| 3732 Misty Lk | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 2,024 (-10%) | 19mo | $279,900 | $138 | 44 |
| 1983 Smithfield Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,933 (-14%) | 3mo | $288,000 | $149 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-11,060
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $17,106
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30288
- Home prices YoY
- -12.9%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,271 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$371 /mo · $4,449/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2269 Sage Pl Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 3000 | $5,000 | $1.67 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2327 Tolliver Pl Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1688 | $2,111 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2616 Micah Dr Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2011 | $1,985 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3691 Connor Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3679 Bouldercrest Rd Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4149 Connor Dr Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2300 | $1,975 | $0.86 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2141 Silva Ct Conley, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2097 | $2,180 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2424 Broad River Pl Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2056 | $2,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2419 Broad River Pl Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2056 | $2,511 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2526 Riverwood Spg Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2354 | $2,460 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4265 Loveless Pl Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,715 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3060 Orbit Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1916 | $1,789 | $0.93 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1952 Boulder Hills Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,875 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3784 River Lake Shr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1775 | $1,900 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2627 Tolliver Dr Unit A11 Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2650 | $1,644 | $0.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3531 Weathered Wood Dr Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2151 | $2,290 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2274 Silver Maple Cir Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1997 Boulder Gate Dr Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2506 | $2,430 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2010 Redwood Trce Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2036 | $2,079 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4197 Grant Forest Cir Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2208 | $2,300 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4136 Moore Rd Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $1,981 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1793 Cedar Walk Ln Conley, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2143 | $1,950 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3763 Soapstone Rd Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3912 Old Ivy Ct Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1718 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2503 Brookgate Way Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1924 | $2,215 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2340 Brookgate Way Ellenwood, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1924 | $2,024 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $194,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $194,900 Price Change 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $199,900 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Situated on a level 0.350-acre lot in the established Blue Creek subdivision, this classic 4-sided brick ranch offers a spacious and versatile layout featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 1973, the home spans 2,244 sq. ft. and includes standout living spaces, most notably a massive 17x21 bonus room and a bright 15x14 sunroom. The interior is centered around a cozy living room with a fireplace and is efficiently powered by central natural gas heating and electric cooling. Outside, the durable brick exterior is complemented by an attached garage and a private backyard with plenty of room for outdoor activities. Located in Conley with convenient access to the I-285 corridor and local amenities, this property combines solid construction with exceptional additional living space in Clayton County.
-
2026-04-17price $209,900 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Situated on a level 0.350-acre lot in the established Blue Creek subdivision, this classic 4-sided brick ranch offers a spacious and versatile layout featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 1973, the home spans 2,244 sq. ft. and includes standout living spaces, most notably a massive 17x21 bonus room and a bright 15x14 sunroom. The interior is centered around a cozy living room with a fireplace and is efficiently powered by central natural gas heating and electric cooling. Outside, the durable brick exterior is complemented by an attached garage and a private backyard with plenty of room for outdoor activities. Located in Conley with convenient access to the I-285 corridor and local amenities, this property combines solid construction with exceptional additional living space in Clayton County.
-
2026-04-11price $214,900 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Situated on a level 0.350-acre lot in the established Blue Creek subdivision, this classic 4-sided brick ranch offers a spacious and versatile layout featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 1973, the home spans 2,244 sq. ft. and includes standout living spaces, most notably a massive 17x21 bonus room and a bright 15x14 sunroom. The interior is centered around a cozy living room with a fireplace and is efficiently powered by central natural gas heating and electric cooling. Outside, the durable brick exterior is complemented by an attached garage and a private backyard with plenty of room for outdoor activities. Located in Conley with convenient access to the I-285 corridor and local amenities, this property combines solid construction with exceptional additional living space in Clayton County.
-
2026-03-20price $224,900 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Situated on a level 0.350-acre lot in the established Blue Creek subdivision, this classic 4-sided brick ranch offers a spacious and versatile layout featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 1973, the home spans 2,244 sq. ft. and includes standout living spaces, most notably a massive 17x21 bonus room and a bright 15x14 sunroom. The interior is centered around a cozy living room with a fireplace and is efficiently powered by central natural gas heating and electric cooling. Outside, the durable brick exterior is complemented by an attached garage and a private backyard with plenty of room for outdoor activities. Located in Conley with convenient access to the I-285 corridor and local amenities, this property combines solid construction with exceptional additional living space in Clayton County.
-
2026-02-27$229,900 New 816-char remark
Show marketing remark (816 chars)
Situated on a level 0.350-acre lot in the established Blue Creek subdivision, this classic 4-sided brick ranch offers a spacious and versatile layout featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Built in 1973, the home spans 2,244 sq. ft. and includes standout living spaces, most notably a massive 17x21 bonus room and a bright 15x14 sunroom. The interior is centered around a cozy living room with a fireplace and is efficiently powered by central natural gas heating and electric cooling. Outside, the durable brick exterior is complemented by an attached garage and a private backyard with plenty of room for outdoor activities. Located in Conley with convenient access to the I-285 corridor and local amenities, this property combines solid construction with exceptional additional living space in Clayton County.
-
2017-06-01soldstatus $11,569,148
-
2005-05-11soldstatus $121,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,449 · $371/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,449 · $371/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$4,449
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,181
- − Management
- −$2,181
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable income
- $886
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$213
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,633/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Panthersville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #180
- US rank
- #11244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,116
- Household income
- $51,511
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 213.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.96%
- Current HPI
- 222.5766
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+65.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $199,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $209,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $214,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $224,900 GAMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $229,900 GAMLS
- 2017-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,569,148 Public Records
- 2005-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,449 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…