2809 Austin St · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling All Investors !! Great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to take on a project and make it into their own, this property is being sold AS IS
Key facts
- 6,251 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1939
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.25%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $198,489
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -11.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 714 Indiana Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,741 (+4%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $152 | 70 |
| 616 Sorrell St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,786 (+7%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $90 | 68 |
| 602 Sorrell St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,788 (+7%) | 1mo | $227,000 | $127 | 67 |
| 634 Sorrell St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,552 (-7%) | 1mo | $237,500 | $153 | 66 |
| 502 Vaky St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,543 (-8%) | 6mo | $67,900 | $44 | 64 |
| 702 Texas Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,514 (-10%) | 2mo | $239,900 | $158 | 63 |
| 1154 Florida Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,737 (+4%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $158 | 59 |
| 433 Atlantic St | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,498 (-11%) | 6mo | $299,990 | $200 | 56 |
| 3225 Lawnview St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,583 (-6%) | 4mo | $299,500 | $189 | 53 |
| 1201 Devon Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,497 (-11%) | 1mo | $209,500 | $140 | 46 |
| 1113 Annapolis Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,518 (-9%) | 4mo | $224,900 | $148 | 45 |
| 1725 15th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,447 (-14%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $131 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-16,791
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,395
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78404
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,937 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455 Louisiana Ave Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1528 | $3,000 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 417 Southern St Corpus Christi, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2028 | $2,350 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3102 Santa Fe St Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 922 | $1,095 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2901 S Staples St Unit B Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2236 | $900 | $0.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1802 16th St Unit B Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1575 | $1,000 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 426 Palmero St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1539 10th St Unit 1 Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1944 | $1,225 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1628 18th St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1405 Annapolis Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1502 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1525 S 19th St Unit B Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,100 | $1.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1117 Ocean Dr Unit B Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1543 | $3,000 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2622 Cloyde St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1693 | $1,150 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3314 Casa de Palmas Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1869 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1446 Annapolis Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3509 Topeka St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,850 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 225 Watson St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1472 | $1,295 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 522 Hancock Ave Unit 1-319 Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,625 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1722 Trenton Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $2,100 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1522 Cambridge Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1278 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 522 Hancock Ave Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $2,000 | $2.18 | 13d | 10 | 1.26mi |
| 3562 Topeka St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,695 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 813 Furman Ave Apt 1 Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,475 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 823 S Water St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 802 S Carancahua St Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $1,770 | $2.04 | 13d | 68 | 1.34mi |
| 1107 14th St Corpus Christi, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,300 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 801 S Alameda St Unit A Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1760 | $900 | $0.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-16$175,000 Active 164-char remark
Show marketing remark (164 chars)
Calling All Investors !! Great potential for investors, flippers, or buyers ready to take on a project and make it into their own, this property is being sold AS IS
-
2025-11-05soldstatus
-
2024-10-03price $119,900
-
2024-02-02price $139,900
-
2024-01-26$149,900 Active
-
2023-09-28$149,900 Active
-
2023-09-05soldstatus
-
2023-08-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,900 · $325/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,900 · $325/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$3,900
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,859
- − Management
- −$1,859
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$147
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$35
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,607/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corpus Christi ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815270
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,672
- Composite
- 28.27/100
- National rank
- #6793
- State rank
- #562 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,635
- Household income
- $61,280
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 596.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% White 32% Two or more races 29% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 56%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.10%
- Current HPI
- 177.4759
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.87%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+16.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $175,000 CBMLS
- 2025-11-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-10-03 Price Changed $119,900 CBMLS
- 2024-02-02 Price Changed $139,900 CBMLS
- 2024-01-26 Listed $149,900 CBMLS
- 2023-09-28 Listed $149,900 CBMLS
- 2023-09-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-08-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,900 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…