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25094 Livingston Rd
C Composite 57.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$79,000

25094 Livingston Rd · Ewen, MI 49925
1 bd · None ba · 576 sqft · SingleFamily · 234 Days on market
Built 1984 Fair condition 5.00 ac lot $137/sqft · 16% below area Est $94k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Escape to your own private retreat in Michigan's beautiful Upper Peninsula! This 22x24 cabin is nestled on 5 nicely wooded acres along Livingston Road in Matchwood Township, offering peace, privacy, and endless opportunities for outdoor recreation! The property has access of both Norwich Rd and Livingston Rd. The main floor of the cabin features an open living/kitchen/dining area with a start to a bathroom with shower and sink. The loft is being used as the bunk/sleeping area!! The walls are tastefully done in T & G. The cabin is powered by generator and LP lighting. There is a 10x16 storage shed and outhouse. The property is being sold As Is. The cabin provides a solid start for your UP getaway-perfect for a hunting camp or weekend retreat! The surrounding acreage is a mixture mature trees and natural habitat, attracting deer, bear, grouse and other wildlife. Snowmobile and ATV trails are nearby, giving you you direct access to four season adventure! Call for an appointment today!

Key facts

  • Powered by generator
  • Outhouse
  • Wooded acres

Tags

WOODED ACRESBUNK SLEEPING AREAPOWERED BY GENERATORSTORAGE SHEDOUTHOUSEMATURE TREES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($674/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $76k (3.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ewen-Trout Creek Consolidated School District (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #510 of 760 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Ontonagon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Ontonagon County population projected at -63% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $69,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.15%
Cash-on-cash
3.05%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,225
List price
$79,000
Delta
-16.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$13,103
Equity at exit
$35,522
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$41,664
Equity at exit
$54,743

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49925

Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$762 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$160
Net cashflow
$56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $111 -5% $83 +0% $56 +5% $29 +10% $2
Rent -10% $-4 -5% $26 +0% $56 +5% $86 +10% $116
Rate -1.0pp $96 -0.5pp $76 base $56 +0.5pp $36 +1.0pp $15

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2025-09-30
    listed $79,000 Active 1000-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1000 chars)

    Escape to your own private retreat in Michigan's beautiful Upper Peninsula! This 22x24 cabin is nestled on 5 nicely wooded acres along Livingston Road in Matchwood Township, offering peace, privacy, and endless opportunities for outdoor recreation! The property has access of both Norwich Rd and Livingston Rd. The main floor of the cabin features an open living/kitchen/dining area with a start to a bathroom with shower and sink. The loft is being used as the bunk/sleeping area!! The walls are tastefully done in T & G. The cabin is powered by generator and LP lighting. There is a 10x16 storage shed and outhouse. The property is being sold As Is. The cabin provides a solid start for your UP getaway-perfect for a hunting camp or weekend retreat! The surrounding acreage is a mixture mature trees and natural habitat, attracting deer, bear, grouse and other wildlife. Snowmobile and ATV trails are nearby, giving you you direct access to four season adventure! Call for an appointment today!

  2. 2025-09-30
    listed $79,000 Active 1000-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1000 chars)

    Escape to your own private retreat in Michigan's beautiful Upper Peninsula! This 22x24 cabin is nestled on 5 nicely wooded acres along Livingston Road in Matchwood Township, offering peace, privacy, and endless opportunities for outdoor recreation! The property has access of both Norwich Rd and Livingston Rd. The main floor of the cabin features an open living/kitchen/dining area with a start to a bathroom with shower and sink. The loft is being used as the bunk/sleeping area!! The walls are tastefully done in T & G. The cabin is powered by generator and LP lighting. There is a 10x16 storage shed and outhouse. The property is being sold As Is. The cabin provides a solid start for your UP getaway-perfect for a hunting camp or weekend retreat! The surrounding acreage is a mixture mature trees and natural habitat, attracting deer, bear, grouse and other wildlife. Snowmobile and ATV trails are nearby, giving you you direct access to four season adventure! Call for an appointment today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,146
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,185
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$732
− Management
−$732
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable loss
−$621
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$149
After-tax cash flow
$823/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This cabin requires moderate renovations, including painting, replacing windows, and updating the kitchen and bathroom. It has a good foundation and structure, but the exterior and interior need significant work to improve its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Peeling paint
  • Major windows — Old, possibly single-pane windows
  • Major kitchen — No photos of kitchen
  • Major bathroom — No photos of bathroom
  • Major HVAC — No photos of HVAC

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and value
  • Resale update kitchen — Modern kitchen attracts more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom — Modern bathroom attracts more buyers
  • Both replace HVAC — Modern HVAC improves comfort and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Peeling paint Major $15,000–50,000
windows · Old, possibly single-pane windows Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen · No photos of kitchen Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom · No photos of bathroom Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC · No photos of HVAC Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace windows — Improves energy efficiency and value
  • Resale update kitchen — Modern kitchen attracts more buyers
  • Resale update bathroom — Modern bathroom attracts more buyers
  • Both replace HVAC — Modern HVAC improves comfort and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ewen-Trout Creek Consolidated School District
NCES district ID
2600014
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$35,684
Composite
29.63/100
National rank
#11747
State rank
#510 of 760 in MI

Livability — Ewen

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
643

Population outlook (Ontonagon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,621 people
By 2030
3,928 · -15.0%
By 2040
2,644 · -42.8%
By 2050
1,696 · -63.3%
By 2075
874 · -81.1%
By 2100
697 · -84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 4% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ontonagon

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.4) · D 34.2% · R 64.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-34.0pp toward R · 2008: 3.7pp · 2024: -30.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.4 2020: R+25.4 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.1 2008: D+3.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $79,000 UPAR
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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