159-161 Main St · Glen Lyon, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors! This 5 unit is very well maintained, with many recent updates, and great cash flow at an incredible cap rate near 20%! 24 Hour notice required prior to showing.
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $523/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $115k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,432 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Greater Nanticoke Area SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #479 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 14275% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1776 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1776 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.47%
- DSCR
- 2.85
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $97,153
- Equity at exit
- $69,261
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.29×
- Total profit
- $234,715
- Equity at exit
- $123,063
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18617
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,565 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $1,046
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2.5 | $2,566 |
| #1 | 2 | 2.5 | $1,283 |
| #2 | 2 | 2.5 | $1,283 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,565 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2025-07-14historical $800
-
2025-02-14$800
-
2025-01-12historical $900
-
2025-01-11$900
-
2024-12-09historical $900
-
2024-12-03historical $900
-
2024-12-03$900
-
2024-12-03$900
-
2024-10-23historical $900
-
2024-09-27$900
-
2024-03-19soldstatus $155,000
-
2023-09-05status Pending
-
2023-08-13historical
-
2021-07-01soldstatus $100,000
-
2021-06-07historical
-
2021-04-16$115,000
-
2017-09-25soldstatus $82,500 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Attention Investors! This 5 unit is very well maintained, with many recent updates, and great cash flow at an incredible cap rate near 20%! 24 Hour notice required prior to showing.
-
2017-04-10$99,000 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Attention Investors! This 5 unit is very well maintained, with many recent updates, and great cash flow at an incredible cap rate near 20%! 24 Hour notice required prior to showing.
-
2005-12-23soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,150 · $262/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,150 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,780
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$3,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,462
- − Management
- −$2,462
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $11,546
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,771
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greater Nanticoke Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216290
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,990
- Composite
- 20.1/100
- National rank
- #8647
- State rank
- #479 of 539 in PA
Livability — Glen Lyon
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1432
- US rank
- #18270
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glen Lyon, PA
- City population
- 1,616
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,616
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 45% Scotch-Irish 6% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.58%
- Current HPI
- 278.0674
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+106.7% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-14 Rental Removed $800 LEASESTAR
- 2025-02-14 Listed for Rent $800 LEASESTAR
- 2025-01-12 Rental Removed $900 LEASESTAR
- 2025-01-11 Listed for Rent $900 LEASESTAR
- 2024-12-09 Rental Removed $900 LEASESTAR
- 2024-12-03 Rental Removed $900 LEASESTAR
- 2024-12-03 Listed for Rent $900 LEASESTAR
- 2024-12-03 Listed for Rent $900 LEASESTAR
- 2024-10-23 Rental Removed $900 LEASESTAR
- 2024-09-27 Listed for Rent $900 LEASESTAR
- 2024-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2023-09-05 Pending — LCAR
- 2023-08-13 Delisted — LCAR
- 2021-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-07 Delisted — LCAR
- 2021-04-16 Listed $115,000 LCAR
- 2017-09-25 Sold (MLS) $82,500 CSVBR
- 2017-04-10 Listed $99,000 CSVBR
- 2005-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2026): $3,150 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…