15711 Main St SE · Brownsville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +1.5/5.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom property offers 1200 sqft of old-world charm, awaiting a visionary to bring it back to life. Located on almost half an acre in Brownsville, it includes a 4-car garage. The lot is serviced by a well, septic, and electricity. If you prefer not to renovate, you can build your ideal home on this site. Easy access to I-70.
Key facts
- 0.49 acre lot
- 4 garage spots
- Built 1885
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 30/100 on livability (#1,208 in OH) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Northern Local (rural): math 56% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #284 of 656 in OH (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.51%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $269,062
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -77.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $32,675
- Equity at exit
- $26,979
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.81×
- Total profit
- $80,735
- Equity at exit
- $41,577
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43721
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,049 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $433 | -5% $416 | +0% $399 | +5% $382 | +10% $365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $316 | -5% $358 | +0% $399 | +5% $441 | +10% $482 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $429 | -0.5pp $414 | base $399 | +0.5pp $384 | +1.0pp $368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-17status Pending 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom property offers 1200 sqft of old-world charm, awaiting a visionary to bring it back to life. Located on almost half an acre in Brownsville, it includes a 4-car garage. The lot is serviced by a well, septic, and electricity. If you prefer not to renovate, you can build your ideal home on this site. Easy access to I-70
-
2026-05-17status Pending 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom property offers 1200 sqft of old-world charm, awaiting a visionary to bring it back to life. Located on almost half an acre in Brownsville, it includes a 4-car garage. The lot is serviced by a well, septic, and electricity. If you prefer not to renovate, you can build your ideal home on this site. Easy access to I-70
-
2026-05-15price $60,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom property offers 1200 sqft of old-world charm, awaiting a visionary to bring it back to life. Located on almost half an acre in Brownsville, it includes a 4-car garage. The lot is serviced by a well, septic, and electricity. If you prefer not to renovate, you can build your ideal home on this site. Easy access to I-70
-
2026-05-15price $60,000 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom property offers 1200 sqft of old-world charm, awaiting a visionary to bring it back to life. Located on almost half an acre in Brownsville, it includes a 4-car garage. The lot is serviced by a well, septic, and electricity. If you prefer not to renovate, you can build your ideal home on this site. Easy access to I-70
-
2026-04-30price $98,888 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom property offers 1200 sqft of old-world charm, awaiting a visionary to bring it back to life. Located on almost half an acre in Brownsville, it includes a 4-car garage. The lot is serviced by a well, septic, and electricity. If you prefer not to renovate, you can build your ideal home on this site. Easy access to I-70
-
2026-04-30price $98,888 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom property offers 1200 sqft of old-world charm, awaiting a visionary to bring it back to life. Located on almost half an acre in Brownsville, it includes a 4-car garage. The lot is serviced by a well, septic, and electricity. If you prefer not to renovate, you can build your ideal home on this site. Easy access to I-70
-
2026-04-17$109,800 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom property offers 1200 sqft of old-world charm, awaiting a visionary to bring it back to life. Located on almost half an acre in Brownsville, it includes a 4-car garage. The lot is serviced by a well, septic, and electricity. If you prefer not to renovate, you can build your ideal home on this site. Easy access to I-70
-
2026-04-17$109,800 Active 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom property offers 1200 sqft of old-world charm, awaiting a visionary to bring it back to life. Located on almost half an acre in Brownsville, it includes a 4-car garage. The lot is serviced by a well, septic, and electricity. If you prefer not to renovate, you can build your ideal home on this site. Easy access to I-70
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,083 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,083 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,593
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$1,083
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,007
- − Management
- −$1,007
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$981
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,808/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northern Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904905
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,557
- Composite
- 51.48/100
- National rank
- #1724
- State rank
- #284 of 656 in OH
Livability — Brownsville
- Score
- 30/100
- State rank
- #1208
- US rank
- #27892
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsville, OH
- County
- Licking · 160,960 people
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 316
- Household income
- $73,665
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,210 people
- By 2030
- 180,917 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 183,885 · +3.2%
- By 2050
- 182,985 · +2.7%
- By 2075
- 178,377 · +0.1%
- By 2100
- 161,075 · -9.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
Political lean MEDSL · Licking
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-45.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-17 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $60,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $60,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $98,888 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $98,888 CBRMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $109,800 CBRMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $109,800 MLSNOW
Property tax history
-12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,083 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…