457 Jefferson Ave · Marshall, MO 65340

$44,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 974 sqft · Other · 2 Days on market

Built 1930 5,900 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

EMPTY CANVAS!! This home has lots of its original charm including the hardwood floors! There is access outside from the basement plus a detached garage. Ready for someone to make their own!

Key facts

• Access outside
• Hardwood floors
• Detached garage

Tags

• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• ACCESS OUTSIDE
• DETACHED GARAGE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($868 rent vs $45k).
• Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 4.7% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#62 in MO, #4,390 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
• Marshall (town): math 17% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #296 of 324 in MO (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Saline County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $44,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.93% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 35.81%
• DSCR: 2.59
• GRM: 4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 31.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.32×
• Total profit: $16,632
• Equity at exit: $6,695

10-year hold

• IRR: 38.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.60×
• Total profit: $45,305
• Equity at exit: $3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65340

• Home prices YoY: -31.4%
• Active inventory: 107
• Price-to-rent: 4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $868 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$235
• Tax from tax record: −$56 /mo · $674/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$182
• Net cashflow: $375

Break-even live

Break-even rent $393

Max offer price $44,900

Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,225
• Closing costs: $1,347
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2025-10-30
   status Pending
2. 2025-10-28
   listed $44,900 Active
3. 2015-04-02
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $674 · $56/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $674 · $56/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,413
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,515
• − Property taxes: −$674
• − Insurance: −$224
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$833
• − Management: −$833
• − Depreciation: −$1,306
• Taxable income: $4,027
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$966
• After-tax cash flow: $3,536/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marshall
• NCES district ID: 2920410
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $38,967
• Composite: 19.3/100
• National rank: #8796
• State rank: #296 of 324 in MO

Livability — Marshall

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #62
• US rank: #4390

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Marshall, MO
• Population (ZIP): 15,977

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 22,716 people
• By 2030: 22,343 · -1.6%
• By 2040: 21,596 · -4.9%
• By 2050: 21,171 · -6.8%
• By 2075: 20,680 · -9.0%
• By 2100: 20,147 · -11.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+40.4) · D 29.2% · R 69.7% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -37.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -40.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+40.4 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+14.4 2008: R+2.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -94.60%
• Current HPI: 206.6714
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-30 Pending — CMBR
• 2025-10-28 Listed $44,900 CMBR
• 2015-04-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $674 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.