79 Silver Rd · Cornwall, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTOR ALERT! Nestled in the center of the Historic Miner's Village, and located close to Cornwall Manor, this little diamond in the rough is ready and waiting to shine again! Stripped down to the studs, and showing off its original wood flooring and wooden pegs, this property located in the Cornwall-Lebanon SD has tons of potential! Some newer items on this property include a 200 amp electrical panel, Trex decking, sliding glass door at deck, windows on 2nd floor, and wiring for electric baseboard heat. This property is being sold as-is. Personal items currently in the home will convey with property. Caution: large hole in floor on 2nd level. Please sign and return "Release and I
Key facts
- Built 1918
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric heating and cooling
- Home design: Semi-detached; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation; Above-grade other structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the first upper level
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 0.9% in Cornwall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#740 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Cornwall-Lebanon SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #219 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 315 units permitted in Lebanon County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lebanon County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.11%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $105,152
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79 Silver Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 992 (0%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $106 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $29,352
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $87,965
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17042
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,764 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,037/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $713
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-05-08Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-08$105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,037 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,348 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$311/yr (+$26/mo · 30.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,174
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,037
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,694
- − Management
- −$1,694
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $7,288
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,749
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,809/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cornwall-Lebanon SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206840
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,483
- Composite
- 41.0/100
- National rank
- #3589
- State rank
- #219 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cornwall
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #740
- US rank
- #7415
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cornwall, PA
- County
- Lebanon County · 95,836 people
- City population
- 40,670
- Metro
- Lebanon, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,161
- Household income
- $74,831
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 801.0
Population outlook (Lebanon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,806 people
- By 2030
- 147,534 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 152,952 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 159,406 · +10.1%
- By 2075
- 181,736 · +25.5%
- By 2100
- 198,402 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Polish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lebanon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.0) · D 33.6% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -32.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.28%
- Current HPI
- 192.3643
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.53%
- Metro
- Lebanon, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,037 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…