8-Plex
113 Hopkins Ave · Oildale, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 39 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 45 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$655,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Renovated 8-unit multifamily investment located in North Bakersfield, featuring a strong unit mix of five 2BR/1BA units and three studio units. Seller financing available, offering flexible terms for investors seeking steady cash flow, strong rental demand, and long-term upside.
Key facts
- Strong unit mix
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8 × 2.0-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $655k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $328/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $655k).
- Recommended offer: $576k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.9% in Oildale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#680 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, schools B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Beardsley Elementary (suburban): math 7% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #501 of 517 in CA (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,339/mo this rent would consume 179% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2931% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $183k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($576k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.17%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $352,997
- List price
- $655,000
- Delta
- 85.55%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Hart St | 0.08mi | 5/4.0 | 2,410 (-1%) | 10mo | $391,000 | $162 | 86 |
| 222 Harding | 0.51mi | 6/3.5 | 2,220 (-9%) | 1mo | $428,000 | $193 | 61 |
| 110 Cooper Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 2,230 (-8%) | 6mo | $301,000 | $135 | 52 |
| 713 Iris St | 0.56mi | 6/3.0 | 2,407 (-1%) | 24mo | $390,000 | $162 | 52 |
| 3817 K St | 0.73mi | —/— | 2,388 (-2%) | 14mo | $412,000 | $173 | 51 |
| 142 Cooper Ave | 0.63mi | 4/4.0 | 2,130 (-12%) | 23mo | $450,000 | $211 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $53,968
- Equity at exit
- $97,663
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $233,922
- Equity at exit
- $56,632
Cash invested: $183,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93308
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 46.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,339 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,435
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,046 /mo · $12,557/yr
- Insurance
- −$273
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,961
- Net cashflow
- $2,624
Break-even live
8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8× units | 2.0 | 1 | $9,336 |
| #1 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,167 |
| #2 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,167 |
| #3 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,167 |
| #4 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,167 |
| #5 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,167 |
| #6 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,167 |
| #7 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,167 |
| #8 | 2.0 | 1 | $1,167 |
| Total (8 units) | $9,339 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $163,750
- Closing costs
- $19,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3200 El Encanto Ct #1 Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2116 | $2,100 | $0.99 | 2d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 130 El Cerrito Dr Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1767 | $2,750 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $655,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $655,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $655,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $655,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $655,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $655,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $655,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $655,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $655,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $655,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $655,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $655,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $655,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $655,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-02-17status Active 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Renovated 8-unit multifamily investment located in North Bakersfield, featuring a strong unit mix of five 2BR/1BA units and three studio units. Seller financing available, offering flexible terms for investors seeking steady cash flow, strong rental demand, and long-term upside.
-
2026-01-13status Pending 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Renovated 8-unit multifamily investment located in North Bakersfield, featuring a strong unit mix of five 2BR/1BA units and three studio units. Seller financing available, offering flexible terms for investors seeking steady cash flow, strong rental demand, and long-term upside.
-
2025-12-22$675,000 Active 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Renovated 8-unit multifamily investment located in North Bakersfield, featuring a strong unit mix of five 2BR/1BA units and three studio units. Seller financing available, offering flexible terms for investors seeking steady cash flow, strong rental demand, and long-term upside.
-
2023-12-20soldstatus $590,000
-
2021-03-30soldstatus $320,000
-
2019-10-31historical
-
2019-08-01$399,000 Active
-
2003-11-12soldstatus $215,000
-
2003-11-07soldstatus $215,000
-
2003-08-12price $225,000
-
2003-08-12historical
-
2003-06-19$215,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $12,557 · $1,046/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,557 · $1,046/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 39 unhealthy d/yr today · 45 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $112,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,690
- − Property taxes
- −$12,557
- − Insurance
- −$3,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,965
- − Management
- −$8,965
- − Depreciation
- −$19,055
- Taxable income
- $22,561
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,415
- After-tax cash flow
- $26,069/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beardsley Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0604260
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,808
- Composite
- 9.63/100
- National rank
- #9841
- State rank
- #501 of 517 in CA
Livability — Oildale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #680
- US rank
- #20848
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oildale, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,078
- Household income
- $62,445
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2931.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.52%
- Current HPI
- 825.65
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.22%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+214.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Relisted — GEMLS
- 2026-01-13 Pending — GEMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $675,000 GEMLS
- 2023-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $590,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-31 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2019-08-01 Listed $399,000 SDMLS
- 2003-11-12 Sold (MLS) $215,000 GEMLS
- 2003-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-12 Delisted — GEMLS
- 2003-08-12 Price Changed $225,000 GEMLS
- 2003-06-19 Listed $215,000 GEMLS
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $12,557 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…