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6813 Willowbrook Dr #9
B Composite 70.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,999

6813 Willowbrook Dr #9 · Fayetteville, NC 28314
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,126 sqft · Condo public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1989 $174/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3rd-floor end-unit condo is a high-yield, low-entry investment opportunity priced at just $64,999. With a market rent of $1,050/month ($12,600 annually), this asset delivers an estimated gross yield of ~19.4%—well above typical market returns. With conservative operating assumptions (taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance), investors can expect strong cash flow potential and an estimated cap rate in the 10–12% range, depending on expense structure. The property is currently positioned for immediate income through mid-November, minimizing vacancy risk and offering a seamless transition for a new owner. Inside, the unit features vaulted cathedral ceilings in both the living r

Key facts

  • Durable finishes
  • Breakfast bar
  • Fireplace

Tags

VAULTED CATHEDRAL CEILINGSFIREPLACEBREAKFAST BARDEDICATED DINING SPACESPLIT BEDROOM FLOOR PLANDURABLE FINISHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Westover Middle (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #396 of 475 statewide, top 84%, 784 students, 100% FRL); Westover High (math 42% / reading 39%, grade F, #387 of 535 statewide, top 73%, 1,202 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 55% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 435 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
12.79%
Cash-on-cash
23.20%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$12,101
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$40,322
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28314

Home prices YoY
-15.7%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
435
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,178 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $442/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$174
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$352

Break-even live

Break-even rent $733
Max offer price $64,999
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $389 -5% $370 +0% $352 +5% $333 +10% $315
Rent -10% $259 -5% $305 +0% $352 +5% $398 +10% $445
Rate -1.0pp $385 -0.5pp $368 base $352 +0.5pp $335 +1.0pp $318

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6809 Willowbrook Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1050 $990 $0.94 24d 1 0.02mi
6804 Willowbrook Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0 1.0 800 $890 $1.11 24d 1 0.07mi
1018 Wood Creek Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1101 $1,195 $1.09 24d 1 0.10mi
6792 Willowbrook Dr #16 Fayetteville, NC 1.0 1.0 800 $795 $0.99 24d 1 0.10mi
6792 Willowbrook Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0 1.0 900 $795 $0.88 14d 1 0.10mi
942 Stewarts Creek Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,250 $1.00 24d 1 0.13mi
942 Stewarts Creek Dr #8 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1020 $1,055 $1.03 24d 1 0.13mi
1000 Wood Creek Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 24d 1 0.14mi
1022 Brookhollow Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1086 $1,050 $0.97 24d 1 0.19mi
1014 Brookhollow Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,000 $0.95 14d 1 0.22mi
6748 Willowbrook Dr #9 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1157 $1,100 $0.95 24d 1 0.24mi
1002 Brookhollow Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1311 $1,290 $0.98 22d 1 0.30mi
6720 Willowbrook Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,150 $0.96 14d 1 0.31mi
6855 Shawcross Ln Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 24d 1 0.32mi
6848 Torrance Ln Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1290 $3,295 $2.55 14d 1 0.34mi
1001 Brookhollow Dr #4 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1311 $1,550 $1.18 24d 1 0.34mi
6734 Winchester St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1068 $3,195 $2.99 14d 1 0.45mi
244 Wickford Ct Unit 6 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 1141 $995 $0.87 24d 1 0.46mi
916 Glen Reilly Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1071 $1,400 $1.31 24d 1 0.52mi
205 Brookford Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,640 $1.37 24d 1 0.59mi
605 S Reilly Rd Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 992 $1,110 $1.12 14d 1 0.70mi
621 Marshtree Ln #305 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1140 $1,500 $1.32 24d 1 0.72mi
625 Marshtree Ln Fayetteville, NC 2.0–3.0 2.0 1170 $1,200 $1.03 14d 2 0.76mi
6535 Jefferey Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0 1.0 700 $905 $1.29 14d 3 0.84mi
6521 Cissna Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,375 $0.94 14d 1 0.86mi
6407 Wallaby Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,200 $1.09 14d 1 0.90mi
6510 Cissna Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,095 $1.00 14d 1 0.91mi
6445 Independence Pl Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1106 $1,529 $1.38 14d 18 0.93mi
338 Milburn Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1128 $1,550 $1.37 24d 1 0.94mi
540 Auburndale Ln Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 14d 1 1.06mi
6793 Candlewood Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,475 $1.19 14d 1 1.08mi
111 Grande Oaks Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1205 $1,412 $1.17 14d 46 1.09mi
278 Crabapple Cir #57 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 796 $990 $1.24 24d 1 1.12mi
307 Family Lodge Dr Unit 5 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 14d 1 1.12mi
7252 Ainsley St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1265 $1,299 $1.03 24d 1 1.16mi
567 Cutchen Ln Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,175 $1.20 14d 61 1.21mi
7639 Fletcher Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 24d 1 1.21mi
202 Bertram Pl Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,300 $1.11 14d 1 1.28mi
7526 Bridgeman Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 24d 1 1.30mi
495 Stiles Pl Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 14d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$174 · $2,088/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    historical $995
  3. 2026-04-17
    listed $64,999 Active
  4. 2026-03-17
    listed $995
  5. 2026-03-17
    historical $995
  6. 2026-03-06
    listed $995
  7. 2026-03-03
    listed $84,900 Active
  8. 2025-10-24
    listed $84,900 Active
  9. 2021-10-25
    soldstatus $55,000
  10. 2021-09-24
    listed $59,900
  11. 2019-02-19
    soldstatus $27,000
  12. 1989-11-01
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$442 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$533 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$91/yr (+$8/mo · 20.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,135
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$442
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,131
− Management
−$1,131
− HOA
−$2,088
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$3,487
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$837
After-tax cash flow
$3,385/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
55,834
Household income
$62,249
Rent vs Own
52.6% rent · 47.4% own
Severe rent burden
2511.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.20%
Current HPI
231.873
Rent YoY
▲ 3.11%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Rental Removed $995 TMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $64,999 LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed for Rent $995 TMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Rental Removed $995 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2026-03-06 Listed for Rent $995 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $84,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $84,900 LPRMLS
  • 2021-10-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 LPRMLS
  • 2021-09-24 Listed $59,900 LPRMLS
  • 2019-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
  • 1989-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-11.0%/yr

Latest (2019): $442 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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