Duplex
1636 E 172nd St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$809,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2 family brick house featuring 6 bedrooms and 2 bath with finished Basement and parking for 2 cars!! Close to close to shopping dining and all transportation!! Minutes away from the Bronx River Parkway, Cross Bronx Expressway and the G. W. Bridge. Must See, wont last!!
Key facts
- 1,692 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Driveway; 2-space carport
- Utilities: Con-Edison electric service; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Townhouse; Duplex
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Open kitchen
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 4-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Formal dining room; High ceilings; Open floor plan; Open kitchen; Storage space; Finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $809k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $232/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $704k (12.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $704k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Ps 214 (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #1,418 of 2,108 statewide, top 68%, 836 students, 92% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $39k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $227k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($712k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $495k; list at $809k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.46%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $857,088
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1274 Fteley Ave | 0.13mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,840 (+6%) | 6mo | $955,000 | $519 | 69 |
| 1317 Thieriot Ave | 0.51mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,773 (+3%) | 8mo | $880,000 | $496 | 56 |
| 1071 Stratford Ave | 0.37mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 1,950 (+13%) | 2mo | $880,000 | $451 | 55 |
| 1513 Rosedale Ave | 0.50mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,946 (+13%) | 3mo | $799,000 | $411 | 44 |
| 1537 Beach Ave | 0.62mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,548 (-10%) | 8mo | $776,000 | $501 | 42 |
| 1449 Longfellow Ave | 0.69mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-3%) | 15mo | $700,000 | $417 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $174,130
- Equity at exit
- $414,110
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $522,538
- Equity at exit
- $680,469
Cash invested: $226,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10472
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 19.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,043 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,242
- Tax from tax record
- −$521 /mo · $6,247/yr
- Insurance
- −$337
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,479
- Net cashflow
- $464
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $922 | -5% $693 | +0% $464 | +5% $235 | +10% $6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-93 | -5% $186 | +0% $464 | +5% $742 | +10% $1,020 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $871 | -0.5pp $670 | base $464 | +0.5pp $254 | +1.0pp $41 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $7,042 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $3,521 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $3,521 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,043 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $202,250
- Closing costs
- $24,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $809,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $809,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $809,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $809,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $809,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $809,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $809,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $809,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $809,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $809,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $809,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-04-06price $809,000
-
2025-10-30$849,000 Active
-
2019-03-01historical
-
2019-02-13soldstatus $495,000
-
2018-08-08status Under Contract
-
2018-07-20price $515,000
-
2018-03-07price $529,000
-
2018-02-06$565,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,247 · $521/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,959 · $830/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,713/yr (+$309/mo · 59.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $84,516
- − Mortgage interest
- −$45,317
- − Property taxes
- −$6,247
- − Insurance
- −$4,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,761
- − Management
- −$6,761
- − Depreciation
- −$23,535
- Taxable loss
- −$8,150
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,956
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,820
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% White 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 20% Cuban 1% Dominican 20%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 52% Other Indo-European 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Current HPI
- 236.8002
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+43.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $809,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Listed $849,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $495,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-08 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-20 Price Changed $515,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-07 Price Changed $529,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-06 Listed $565,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $6,247 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…