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2046 Route 5
B Composite 74.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

2046 Route 5 · Utica, NY 13502
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured · 72 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition $86/sqft · 75% above area ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this brand-new 2026 never lived in double wide that offers comfort, space, and a great layout. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, including a fantastic primary suite. When you step inside you will be greeted by a spacious, open living room and kitchen area that feels bright and welcoming. The kitchen features a large island with a sink, plenty of counter space, storage, and a dishwasher. There’s also a coffee bar, room for a kitchen table, and a huge walk-in pantry. The primary suite is a good size and has its own full bathroom and a walk-in closet. The other two bedrooms are on the opposite side of the home, along with a second full bathroom. There’s also a laundry area with a mudroom right by the second entrance, which is super convenient. The home sits just outside of Utica heading toward the Valley, with easy access to the Thruway and close to Walmart, BJ’s, Price Chopper, and more. Even though it’s part of a community, it sits outside of the park on a main road, so it really feels more like your own private house. The park is pet friendly and allows up to two pets (40 lbs max each). Sidewalks should be done within the next 30 days, and the driveway will be finished later this year. Please note: the home is not fully set up yet, and gas and electric are not on right now, but everything will be completed soon. Spacious and beautiful - come take a look! * * Home is 26.8 X 48 and located in Green Acres Manufactured Home Park. Park application/approval is required. Financing available. Lot rent is $ 600/month. 2 small pets under 40 lbs are authorized, with approval.

Key facts

  • Primary suite
  • Large island
  • Mudroom

Tags

LARGE ISLANDWALK-IN PANTRYPRIMARY SUITEMUDROOMPET FRIENDLYPRIVATE HOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Whitesboro Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #174 of 590 in NY (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $103,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
12.92%
Cash-on-cash
23.66%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$62,799
List price
$109,900
Delta
75.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
659 Kilkenny Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+5%) 4mo $102,000 $76 86
5635 Mapleton Dr 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,253 (-2%) 6mo $30,000 $24 81
122 Country Rd 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,268 (-1%) 10mo $60,000 $47 80
122 Windsor Dr 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-6%) 23mo $73,000 $61 57
172 Country Rd 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,239 (-3%) 20mo $40,000 $32 55
344 Aspen Dr 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (+9%) 18mo $74,000 $53 39
349 Aspen Dr 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (-12%) 22mo $69,900 $62 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$20,867
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$68,043
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13502

Home prices YoY
-12.1%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,730 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax est. 1.5%
$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$607

Break-even live

Break-even rent $961
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,900 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    remarks 693-char remark
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,900 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-05-08
    price $109,900 1645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1645 chars)

    Welcome to this brand-new 2026 never lived in double wide that offers comfort, space, and a great layout. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, including a fantastic primary suite. When you step inside you will be greeted by a spacious, open living room and kitchen area that feels bright and welcoming. The kitchen features a large island with a sink, plenty of counter space, storage, and a dishwasher. There’s also a coffee bar, room for a kitchen table, and a huge walk-in pantry. The primary suite is a good size and has its own full bathroom and a walk-in closet. The other two bedrooms are on the opposite side of the home, along with a second full bathroom. There’s also a laundry area with a mudroom right by the second entrance, which is super convenient. The home sits just outside of Utica heading toward the Valley, with easy access to the Thruway and close to Walmart, BJ’s, Price Chopper, and more. Even though it’s part of a community, it sits outside of the park on a main road, so it really feels more like your own private house. The park is pet friendly and allows up to two pets (40 lbs max each). Sidewalks should be done within the next 30 days, and the driveway will be finished later this year. Please note: the home is not fully set up yet, and gas and electric are not on right now, but everything will be completed soon. Spacious and beautiful - come take a look! * * Home is 26.8 X 48 and located in Green Acres Manufactured Home Park. Park application/approval is required. Financing available. Lot rent is $ 600/month. 2 small pets under 40 lbs are authorized, with approval.

  10. 2026-03-25
    listed $119,900 Active 1645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1645 chars)

    Welcome to this brand-new 2026 never lived in double wide that offers comfort, space, and a great layout. This home has 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, including a fantastic primary suite. When you step inside you will be greeted by a spacious, open living room and kitchen area that feels bright and welcoming. The kitchen features a large island with a sink, plenty of counter space, storage, and a dishwasher. There’s also a coffee bar, room for a kitchen table, and a huge walk-in pantry. The primary suite is a good size and has its own full bathroom and a walk-in closet. The other two bedrooms are on the opposite side of the home, along with a second full bathroom. There’s also a laundry area with a mudroom right by the second entrance, which is super convenient. The home sits just outside of Utica heading toward the Valley, with easy access to the Thruway and close to Walmart, BJ’s, Price Chopper, and more. Even though it’s part of a community, it sits outside of the park on a main road, so it really feels more like your own private house. The park is pet friendly and allows up to two pets (40 lbs max each). Sidewalks should be done within the next 30 days, and the driveway will be finished later this year. Please note: the home is not fully set up yet, and gas and electric are not on right now, but everything will be completed soon. Spacious and beautiful - come take a look! * * Home is 26.8 X 48 and located in Green Acres Manufactured Home Park. Park application/approval is required. Financing available. Lot rent is $ 600/month. 2 small pets under 40 lbs are authorized, with approval.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,754
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,648
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,660
− Management
−$1,660
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$5,882
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,412
After-tax cash flow
$5,870/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand-new, never-lived-in double-wide manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a spacious, open layout with a large kitchen island, two full bathrooms, and a primary suite. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from minor exterior and landscaping improvements to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and touch-up of exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Interior cleaning and staging — Prepares the home for showings and potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting and touch-up of exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Interior cleaning and staging — Prepares the home for showings and potential buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Whitesboro Central School District
NCES district ID
3631320
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,732
Composite
55.77/100
National rank
#1217
State rank
#174 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

Score
80/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Oneida County · 89,710 people
City population
72,968
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
34,037
Household income
$57,835
Rent vs Own
40.8% rent · 59.2% own
Severe rent burden
1604.0

Population outlook (Herkimer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,340 people
By 2030
56,838 · -4.2%
By 2040
51,098 · -13.9%
By 2050
45,080 · -24.0%
By 2075
32,648 · -45.0%
By 2100
22,266 · -62.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% American 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Herkimer

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.8% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -36.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.4 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.76%
Current HPI
368.3955
Rent YoY
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $109,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $119,900 CNYIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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