1809 Merriman Ave · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.45%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$173,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Gated access
- Large backyard
- 9,605 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.27%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $287,310
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1921 Merriman Ave | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,570 (0%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $108 | 92 |
| 1601 Merriman Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (-2%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $81 | 75 |
| 8301 Baylark Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,560 (-1%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $183 | 72 |
| 8105 Baylark Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,549 (-1%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $116 | 66 |
| 8109 Pavo Real St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,510 (-4%) | 1mo | $299,999 | $199 | 61 |
| 2114 Spoonbill Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,378 (-12%) | 4mo | $289,000 | $210 | 46 |
| 8010 Osprey St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-11%) | 8mo | $299,900 | $214 | 46 |
| 1209 Harbor Village Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,442 (-8%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $139 | 43 |
| 2209 Aquila St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,737 (+11%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $199 | 42 |
| 1310 Southbay Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,779 (+13%) | 10mo | $287,000 | $161 | 37 |
| 1134 Harbor Village Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,389 (-12%) | 10mo | $248,500 | $179 | 36 |
| 7901 Chachalaca St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,751 (+12%) | 12mo | $345,000 | $197 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-10,378
- Equity at exit
- $25,869
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,081
- Equity at exit
- $15,001
Cash invested: $48,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78412
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,141 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$910
- Tax from tax record
- −$334 /mo · $4,010/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$450
- Net cashflow
- $375
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $474 | -5% $424 | +0% $375 | +5% $326 | +10% $277 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $206 | -5% $291 | +0% $375 | +5% $460 | +10% $545 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $463 | -0.5pp $419 | base $375 | +0.5pp $330 | +1.0pp $285 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,375
- Closing costs
- $5,205
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2230 Spoonbill Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $2,000 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8033 Cormorant Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1802 Ennis Joslin Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1030 | $1,962 | $1.90 | 14d | 36 | 0.72mi |
| 7610 Quartz Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,195 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1514 Ennis Joslin Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1164 | $2,285 | $1.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1701 Ennis Joslin Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $2,259 | $2.18 | 14d | 25 | 1.04mi |
| 2529 Las Brisas St Corpus Christi, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $2,250 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2525 Whirlwind St Corpus Christi, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1895 | $2,095 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7454 Seal Beach Ct Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $2,250 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7454 Seal Beach Ct Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $2,250 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2221 Crystal Bay Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2617 Whirlwind St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,050 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7430 Cessna Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,000 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3009 Las Brisas St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7510 Wooldridge Rd Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1148 | $2,335 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7218 S Padre Island Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,300 | $1.51 | 14d | 22 | 1.35mi |
| 2842 Quebec Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $2,200 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 7325 Clapton Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $2,900 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2809 Quebec Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1576 | $1,995 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $173,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $173,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $173,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricestatusdays on market $173,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-03-30historical
-
2026-03-28$169,900 Active
-
2025-12-03$175,000 Active
-
2025-09-25price $175,000
-
2025-07-03price $195,000
-
2025-06-03price $214,900
-
2025-04-22$234,900 Active
-
2021-09-15historical
-
2021-09-15soldstatus Closed
-
2021-09-15soldstatus
-
2021-08-18status Pending
-
2021-08-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2021-08-05$195,000 Active
-
2016-05-02soldstatus
-
2016-05-01historical
-
2016-03-19status Pending
-
2016-03-09historical Option Period
-
2016-01-21status Active
-
2016-01-21price $137,000
-
2015-11-27status Pending
-
2015-11-17historical Option Period
-
2015-11-10price $139,900
-
2015-10-20$145,000 Active
-
2015-06-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,010 · $334/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,010 · $334/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 45% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,719
- − Property taxes
- −$4,010
- − Insurance
- −$868
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,056
- − Management
- −$2,056
- − Depreciation
- −$5,047
- Taxable income
- $1,941
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$466
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,038/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corpus Christi ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815270
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,672
- Composite
- 28.27/100
- National rank
- #6793
- State rank
- #562 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,631
- Household income
- $61,215
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1932.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 57% White 34% Two or more races 29% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 52%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -255.29%
- Current HPI
- 177.36
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.53%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+17.2% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Pending — CBMLS
- 2026-03-30 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $169,900 CBMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $175,000 CBMLS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $175,000 CBMLS
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $195,000 CBMLS
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $214,900 CBMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listed $234,900 CBMLS
- 2021-09-15 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2021-09-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-09-15 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2021-08-18 Pending — CBMLS
- 2021-08-10 Contingent — CBMLS
- 2021-08-05 Listed $195,000 CBMLS
- 2016-05-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-05-01 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2016-03-19 Pending — CBMLS
- 2016-03-09 Contingent — CBMLS
- 2016-01-21 Relisted — CBMLS
- 2016-01-21 Price Changed $137,000 CBMLS
- 2015-11-27 Pending — CBMLS
- 2015-11-17 Contingent — CBMLS
- 2015-11-10 Price Changed $139,900 CBMLS
- 2015-10-20 Listed $145,000 CBMLS
- 2015-06-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,010 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…