1471 Centra Villa · Atlanta, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$309,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A versatile value-add opportunity, 1471 Centra Villa Drive SW offers a flexible footprint ideal for buyers seeking a creative renovation project with long-term upside. The home includes an added second-floor level and a layout well suited for an FHA 203(k) renovation loan, allowing an owner-occupant to customize finishes while building equity. The configuration supports multigenerational living, with the potential for private suites, shared spaces, or extended family accommodations. The driveway allows for parking with convenient access to the basement entrance, enhancing functionality for separate living areas or guests. Investors will appreciate the multiple potential exit strategies, including buy-and-hold rental, short-term rental, PadSplit-style shared housing, or bed-and-breakfast use (subject to zoning and local regulations). Conveniently located near major roadways and key Atlanta destinations, this property presents a strong opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors seeking a value-add project.
Key facts
- Second-floor level
- Private suites
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $310k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $300k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $300k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.2% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
- Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Tuskegee Airman Global Academy (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 520 students, 100% FRL); Herman J. Russell West End Academy (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #417 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 399 students, 100% FRL); Booker T. Washington High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 831 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 71% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Atlanta Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 365 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 95d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,996/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 17% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.11%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $483,922
- List price
- $309,900
- Delta
- -35.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2261 Venetian Dr | 0.51mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 3,162 (-1%) | 14mo | $660,000 | $209 | 58 |
| 1370 Centra Villa Dr SW | 0.22mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,626 (-18%) | 11mo | $400,000 | $152 | 47 |
| 888 Willis Mill Rd SW | 1.46mi | 6/4.0 | 3,600 (+13%) | 1mo | $634,888 | $176 | 43 |
| 1675 Dodson Dr SW | 1.18mi | 6/4.5 | 3,400 (+6%) | 17mo | $450,000 | $132 | 38 |
| 1309 Avonwood Cir SW | 0.83mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,800 (-12%) | 4mo | $425,000 | $152 | 32 |
| 2126 Beecher Cir SW | 1.28mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 2,566 (-20%) | 12mo | $450,000 | $175 | 25 |
| 1181 Cardinal Way | 1.38mi | 6/4.5 | 3,776 (+18%) | 22mo | $625,000 | $166 | 20 |
| 2348 Venetian Dr SW | 0.80mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,856 (-11%) | 25mo | $499,990 | $175 | 18 |
| 2490 Cascade Rd SW | 0.97mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,702 (-15%) | 13mo | $365,000 | $135 | 16 |
| 1362 Graymont Dr SW | 1.01mi | 5/4.5 (-1) | 2,500 (-22%) | 22mo | $410,000 | $164 | 14 |
| 1605 Beecher St SW | 1.49mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,600 (-19%) | 23mo | $510,000 | $196 | 12 |
| 1325 Aniwaka Ave SW | 0.76mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 2,514 (-21%) | 22mo | $220,000 | $88 | 11 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-44,629
- Equity at exit
- $46,207
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-54,164
- Equity at exit
- $26,794
Cash invested: $86,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $545,000 ($193/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 47 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -21.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30311
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 365
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,996 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,625
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$387 /mo · $4,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$629
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $439 | -5% $332 | +0% $225 | +5% $118 | +10% $11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-12 | -5% $107 | +0% $225 | +5% $343 | +10% $462 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $381 | -0.5pp $304 | base $225 | +0.5pp $145 | +1.0pp $63 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,475
- Closing costs
- $9,297
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1441 Boulevard Lorraine SW Atlanta, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3662 | $2,850 | $0.78 | 115d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1441 Boulevard Lorraine SW Atlanta, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3662 | $2,950 | $0.81 | 94d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1336 Willow Trl SW Atlanta, GA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 55d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1267 Graymont Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $2,800 | $1.17 | 65d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- Assigned parkingTotal of 6 parking spaces
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable available
- Home design
- One levelFixer conditionOther construction materialsOther roofFoundation details: see remarks
- Construction
- See remarks for foundation details
- Exterior features
- City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen
- No specific kitchen features listedOther appliances
- Bedrooms
- Three main-level bedroomsThree upper-level bedroomsOversized master bedroom
- Flooring
- Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms
- Four full bathroomsTwo main-level bathroomsTwo upper-level full bathroomsBasement bath stubbed
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air
- Interior features
- No common wallsOther interior features
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry in hall
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $309,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $309,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $309,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $309,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $309,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $309,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $309,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $309,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $309,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $309,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $309,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $309,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $309,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $309,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $309,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $309,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $309,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $309,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $309,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-08-27pricedays on market $309,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $314,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $314,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $314,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $314,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $314,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $314,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $314,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $314,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $314,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $314,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $314,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $314,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $314,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $314,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $314,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $314,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $314,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $314,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $314,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-08-05price $314,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $319,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $319,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $319,000 Active 199 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $319,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $319,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $319,000 Active 191 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $319,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $319,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $319,000 Active 187 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $319,000 Active 186 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,359
- − Property taxes
- −$4,648
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,876
- − Management
- −$2,876
- − Depreciation
- −$9,015
- Taxable loss
- −$2,377
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$570
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with cosmetic updates, offering a move-in-ready living space with potential for further value enhancement through exterior painting and landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Enhances aesthetics and value ↑
- Both New lighting fixtures — Improves aesthetics and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlanta Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1300120
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,306
- Composite
- 27.27/100
- National rank
- #7006
- State rank
- #80 of 174 in GA
Livability — Atlanta
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #919
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlanta, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,203,707 people
- City population
- 629,525
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,953
- Household income
- $50,649
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% White 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -129.99%
- Current HPI
- 259.954
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.19%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-8.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-20 Listed $319,000 FMLS
- 2026-07-01 Price Changed $319,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $329,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $334,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $344,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $349,000 GAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…