15215 Hastings Dr · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own this beautifully updated 3-bedroom brick ranch-style home! Enjoy the ease of single-level living with no steps-perfect for comfort and accessibility. Recent upgrades make this home move-in ready, ideal for both homeowners and investors. The property also features a huge backyard and a car shed, offering plenty of outdoor space and additional storage or parking options. Don't miss out on this incredible find!
Key facts
- 5,553 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1959
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces total; Side driveway and driveway parking; owned
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Brick exterior; Built 61–70 years ago; Property built before 1978; Fee simple ownership
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 5555
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area / table space (approx. 10 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (approx. 11 x 10) with shades and hardwood flooring; Additional main-level bedrooms with hardwood flooring and shades (approx. 10 x 11 and 10 x 9)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in primary living spaces and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,356/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 341 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 341 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.63%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,255
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15043 Meadow Ln | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,151 (-1%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $113 | 87 |
| 14842 Shepard Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,141 (-2%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $118 | 70 |
| 1340 Prince Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,066 (-8%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $150 | 63 |
| 717 E 154th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-4%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $158 | 60 |
| 15505 Drexel Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+3%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $171 | 59 |
| 15539 Minerva Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,050 (-10%) | 2mo | $134,000 | $128 | 59 |
| 14927 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,095 (-6%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $228 | 54 |
| 15509 Rose Dr | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-6%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $123 | 52 |
| 15634 Avalon Ave | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,029 (-12%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $112 | 49 |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (-13%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $147 | 47 |
| 15722 Woodlawn East Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,015 (-13%) | 1mo | $101,000 | $100 | 47 |
| 14642 Dorchester Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,013 (-13%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $168 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $33,387
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 32.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.86×
- Total profit
- $140,426
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,356 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$470 /mo · $5,641/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $729 | -5% $692 | +0% $656 | +5% $619 | +10% $582 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $470 | -5% $563 | +0% $656 | +5% $749 | +10% $842 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $721 | -0.5pp $689 | base $656 | +0.5pp $622 | +1.0pp $588 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 11d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 20d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 409 Madison Ave Unit 2 Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 8d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,430 | $2.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $3,330 | $2.93 | 7d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 659 Paxton Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $2,461 | $1.96 | 11d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $2,300 | $2.36 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 11d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1860 State St Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,170 | $2.54 | 0d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 8d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,465 | $1.67 | 8d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 20d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 13d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2025-12-12historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2025-12-06historical
-
2025-06-05price $129,900
-
2025-04-28price $139,900
-
2025-03-20historical
-
2025-03-18$159,900 Active
-
2024-09-20Active
-
2013-04-16historical
-
2012-08-02price Contingent
-
2012-08-02historical Contingent
-
2012-07-23New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,641 · $470/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,641 · $470/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,271
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$5,641
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,262
- − Management
- −$2,262
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $6,401
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,536
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
-18.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-12 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-05 Price Changed $129,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $139,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-20 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-18 Listed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-20 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-02 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-02 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2023): $5,641 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…