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15215 Hastings Dr
B+ Composite 76.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

15215 Hastings Dr · Dolton, IL 60419
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,165 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 341 Days on market
Built 1959 5,553 sqft lot Est $171k · 24% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own this beautifully updated 3-bedroom brick ranch-style home! Enjoy the ease of single-level living with no steps-perfect for comfort and accessibility. Recent upgrades make this home move-in ready, ideal for both homeowners and investors. The property also features a huge backyard and a car shed, offering plenty of outdoor space and additional storage or parking options. Don't miss out on this incredible find!

Key facts

  • 5,553 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1959

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces total; Side driveway and driveway parking; owned
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Built 61–70 years ago; Property built before 1978; Fee simple ownership
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 5555

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area / table space (approx. 10 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (approx. 11 x 10) with shades and hardwood flooring; Additional main-level bedrooms with hardwood flooring and shades (approx. 10 x 11 and 10 x 9)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in primary living spaces and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry with gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,356/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 341 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $114,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 341 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
12.35%
Cash-on-cash
21.63%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,255
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15043 Meadow Ln 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,151 (-1%) 1mo $130,000 $113 87
14842 Shepard Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,141 (-2%) 2mo $135,000 $118 70
1340 Prince Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,066 (-8%) 2mo $160,000 $150 63
717 E 154th St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-4%) 2mo $177,000 $158 60
15505 Drexel Ave 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+3%) 2mo $205,000 $171 59
15539 Minerva Ave 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,050 (-10%) 2mo $134,000 $128 59
14927 Cottage Grove Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,095 (-6%) 1mo $250,000 $228 54
15509 Rose Dr 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-6%) 0mo $135,000 $123 52
15634 Avalon Ave 0.51mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,029 (-12%) 1mo $115,000 $112 49
14738 Blackstone Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,017 (-13%) 1mo $150,000 $147 47
15722 Woodlawn East Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,015 (-13%) 1mo $101,000 $100 47
14642 Dorchester Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,013 (-13%) 1mo $170,000 $168 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$33,387
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
4.86×
Total profit
$140,426
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,356 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$470 /mo · $5,641/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$495
Net cashflow
$656

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,526
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $729 -5% $692 +0% $656 +5% $619 +10% $582
Rent -10% $470 -5% $563 +0% $656 +5% $749 +10% $842
Rate -1.0pp $721 -0.5pp $689 base $656 +0.5pp $622 +1.0pp $588

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL 4.0 1.5 1487 $2,146 $1.44 8d 1 0.02mi
14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 11d 1 0.67mi
14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,800 $2.24 20d 1 0.68mi
14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1418 $2,500 $1.76 25d 1 0.81mi
409 Madison Ave Unit 2 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,795 $1.50 5d 1 0.81mi
660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,750 $1.25 4d 1 0.82mi
14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 7d 1 0.85mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 25d 1 0.89mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 8d 1 0.89mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 980 $2,430 $2.48 23d 1 0.90mi
16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1136 $3,330 $2.93 7d 1 0.93mi
659 Paxton Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 2.0 1255 $2,461 $1.96 11d 1 0.97mi
405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 973 $2,300 $2.36 0d 1 0.97mi
14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 19d 1 0.99mi
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 11d 1 1.08mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 25d 1 1.13mi
1860 State St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 18d 1 1.20mi
16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,170 $2.54 0d 1 1.30mi
460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 15d 1 1.41mi
460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 8d 1 1.41mi
14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 25d 1 1.42mi
250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 875 $1,465 $1.67 8d 1 1.45mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 23d 1 1.50mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 20d 1 1.50mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 13d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,900 Active 341 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 338 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 337 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 336 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 335 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 333 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 332 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 329 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 328 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 327 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,900 Active 324 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 323 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 322 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 321 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 320 DOM
  16. 2026-04-02
    status Active
  17. 2025-12-12
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  18. 2025-12-06
    historical
  19. 2025-06-05
    price $129,900
  20. 2025-04-28
    price $139,900
  21. 2025-03-20
    historical
  22. 2025-03-18
    listed $159,900 Active
  23. 2024-09-20
    listed Active
  24. 2013-04-16
    historical
  25. 2012-08-02
    price Contingent
  26. 2012-08-02
    historical Contingent
  27. 2012-07-23
    listed New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,641 · $470/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,641 · $470/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,271
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$5,641
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,262
− Management
−$2,262
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$6,401
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,536
After-tax cash flow
$6,332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-12 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-06 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-05 Price Changed $129,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-28 Price Changed $139,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-20 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-18 Listed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-20 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-16 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-02 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-02 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-23 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,641 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…