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1516 W 34th
B Composite 70.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

1516 W 34th · Little Rock, AR 72206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,796 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1921 6,969 sqft lot $50/sqft · at area comps Est $92k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Great portfolio add or flip. .. Property is Tenant Occupied; Lease is MONTH TO MONTH, $950.00 MONTHLY, 24 HR NOTICE TO SHOW. .. SOLD AS-IS Part of a package, could be purchased in individually or all together. * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1921
  • Listed 64 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $745 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
16.24%
Cash-on-cash
35.52%
DSCR
2.58
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$91,971
List price
$89,900
Delta
-2.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3309 S Marshall St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,675 (-7%) 17mo $28,000 $17 66
3217 S Summit St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,745 (-3%) 16mo $119,000 $68 64
2909 S Izard St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,934 (+8%) 1mo $70,000 $36 63
1012 W 36th St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,629 (-9%) 9mo $135,000 $83 61
3319 Wolfe St 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,036 (+13%) 18mo $136,400 $67 47
3101 S Gaines St 0.57mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,780 (-1%) 21mo $143,000 $80 44
1615 W 28th St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,584 (-12%) 24mo $160,000 $101 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$33,460
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
38.8%
Equity multiple
4.68×
Total profit
$92,609
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72206

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,634 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $444/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$745

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $796 -5% $771 +0% $745 +5% $720 +10% $694
Rent -10% $616 -5% $681 +0% $745 +5% $810 +10% $874
Rate -1.0pp $790 -0.5pp $768 base $745 +0.5pp $722 +1.0pp $698

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1201 W 35th St Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.5 2400 $2,300 $0.96 24d 1 0.18mi
926 W 29th St Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1229 $1,050 $0.85 24d 1 0.45mi
717 W 32nd St Unit A and B Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.5 1300 $1,550 $1.19 14d 1 0.48mi
2712 Broadway St Little Rock, AR 3.0 3.0 2021 $1,695 $0.84 44d 1 0.78mi
2900 Center St Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1456 $1,050 $0.72 44d 1 0.87mi
3015 Main St Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 1658 $2,350 $1.42 44d 1 0.99mi
2113 W 19th St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1703 $1,300 $0.76 44d 1 1.10mi
2318 Rock St Little Rock, AR 2.0 2.0 1358 $2,300 $1.69 44d 1 1.36mi
1515 Wolfe St Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1386 $1,100 $0.79 24d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-04-15
    listed $89,900 New Listing 264-char remark
    Show marketing remark (264 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Great portfolio add or flip. .. Property is Tenant Occupied; Lease is MONTH TO MONTH, $950.00 MONTHLY, 24 HR NOTICE TO SHOW. .. SOLD AS-IS Part of a package, could be purchased in individually or all together. * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS

  17. 2008-04-22
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$444 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$575 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$132/yr (+$11/mo · 29.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,610
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$444
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,569
− Management
−$1,569
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$7,928
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,903
After-tax cash flow
$7,038/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0509000
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,346
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8457
State rank
#183 of 238 in AR

Livability — Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#5295

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
218,896
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
22,667
Household income
$52,132
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
623.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 43% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.64%
Current HPI
158.3601
Rent YoY
▲ 3.36%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $89,900 CARMLS
  • 2008-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $444 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…