2010 Green Rd · Madisonville, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic investment opportunity in Madisonville! This charming property sits on a spacious corner lot, boasting two bedrooms, generous living and kitchen areas - perfect for modern living. Included is a large storage shed in the corner of the property. . Don't miss out on this gem! Buyer to verify all information.
Key facts
- 0.52 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1992
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller may consider partial trade or owner financing with 50% down (per listing directions)
- Financial info: Not specified
- HOA & community: Not specified
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Security: Not specified
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Detached property; 1,518 total building area (per tax records)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Country setting view
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Not specified
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.9% in Madisonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#188 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Monroe County (rural): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #106 of 139 in TN (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Madisonville Primary (563 students, 0% FRL); Madisonville Middle School (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #215 of 333 statewide, top 65%, 428 students, 0% FRL); Sequoyah High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #117 of 332 statewide, top 37%, 806 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 157 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $99k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.75%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $314,226
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Smoky View Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-8%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $250 | 58 |
| 805 Jefferson Ave Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (-13%) | 9mo | $237,340 | $180 | 56 |
| 106 Wind Chase Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,548 (+2%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $207 | 50 |
| 1240 Lincoln Dr | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,729 (+14%) | 12mo | $192,000 | $111 | 47 |
| 161 Uphill Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-8%) | 18mo | $360,000 | $257 | 47 |
| 117 Uphill Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,695 (+12%) | 14mo | $345,000 | $204 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-8,317
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $10,278
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37354
- Home prices YoY
- -20.5%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $213
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $306 | -5% $259 | +0% $213 | +5% $166 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $98 | -5% $155 | +0% $213 | +5% $270 | +10% $327 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $281 | -0.5pp $247 | base $213 | +0.5pp $178 | +1.0pp $142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 3rd St Madisonville, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $135,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 81 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 74 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Pending - Continue to Show - Financing 73 DOM
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2026-03-22historical Pending - Continue to Show - Financing
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2026-03-18$135,000 Active
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2025-12-07historical Pending - Continue to Show - Financing
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2025-12-07historical
-
2025-11-13price $154,900
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2025-09-16status Active
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2025-09-03status Active
-
2025-08-06historical Pending - Continue to Show - Financing
-
2025-08-06historical
-
2025-07-31status Active
-
2025-06-29historical Pending - Continue to Show - Inspection
-
2025-06-21price $164,900
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2025-03-13$264,900 Active
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2024-04-11soldstatus $99,200 Closed 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Fantastic investment opportunity in Madisonville! This charming property sits on a spacious corner lot, boasting two bedrooms, generous living and kitchen areas - perfect for modern living. Included is a large storage shed in the corner of the property. . Don't miss out on this gem! Buyer to verify all information.
-
2024-04-11soldstatus $99,200
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Fantastic investment opportunity in Madisonville! This charming property sits on a spacious corner lot, boasting two bedrooms, generous living and kitchen areas - perfect for modern living. Included is a large storage shed in the corner of the property. . Don't miss out on this gem! Buyer to verify all information.
-
2024-03-21historical Pending - Continue to Show - Property Sale 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Fantastic investment opportunity in Madisonville! This charming property sits on a spacious corner lot, boasting two bedrooms, generous living and kitchen areas - perfect for modern living. Included is a large storage shed in the corner of the property. . Don't miss out on this gem! Buyer to verify all information.
-
2024-03-20$99,900 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Fantastic investment opportunity in Madisonville! This charming property sits on a spacious corner lot, boasting two bedrooms, generous living and kitchen areas - perfect for modern living. Included is a large storage shed in the corner of the property. . Don't miss out on this gem! Buyer to verify all information.
-
2012-02-06soldstatus $23,000
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1996-12-30soldstatus $18,500
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1996-12-30soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $427
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$102
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,448/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe County
- NCES district ID
- 4703000
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,701
- Composite
- 18.29/100
- National rank
- #8956
- State rank
- #106 of 139 in TN
Livability — Madisonville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #15127
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,421
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,571 people
- By 2030
- 48,155 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 48,772 · +2.5%
- By 2050
- 48,698 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 48,558 · +2.1%
- By 2100
- 47,543 · -0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.2% · R 83.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -66.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+38.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.48%
- Current HPI
- 268.822
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+629.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $135,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-12-07 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-12-07 Listing Removed — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $154,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-09-16 Relisted — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-09-03 Relisted — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-08-06 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-08-06 Listing Removed — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-07-31 Relisted — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-06-29 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-06-21 Price Changed $164,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-03-13 Listed $264,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2024-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $99,200 Public Records
- 2024-04-11 Sold (MLS) $99,200 Knoxville MLS
- 2024-03-21 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2024-03-20 Listed $99,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2012-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 1996-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 1996-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $185 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…