15999 W 11 Mile Rd · Southfield, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-In Ready 1-Bedroom Condo | Prime Location Near Royal Oak & Birmingham Welcome to this beautifully updated and spacious 1-bedroom condo located in a well-maintained community in Southfield. This condo features a large open-concept living and dining area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing in comfort. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the living space, creating a modern and functional layout. The unit offers new hardwood flooring throughout, fresh neutral paint, and central air conditioning and central heat for year-round comfort. The bedroom is oversized with an exceptionally large closet, and the home includes multiple additional closets plus a huge private storage space, offering rare and valuable storage capacity. Step outside to enjoy your private balcony, adding extra living space and natural light. Located in a beautiful, centrally located area, just 3 minutes from Royal Oak and 5 minutes from Birmingham, with easy access to shopping, dining, and major roads. Property Features 1 Large Bedroom with Huge Closet 1 Full Bathroom Open-Concept Living & Dining Room Updated Kitchen New Hardwood Floors Freshly Painted Central Air Conditioning & Central Heat Private Balcony Tons of Closet Space + Large Storage Area Move-In Ready Location 15999 W. 11 Mile Rd. , Southfield, MI 48076 Purchase & Financing Terms (Land Contract) Purchase Price: $93,000 Down Payment: $25,000 Assumed Land Contract Balance: $65,500 Land Contract Term: 4 Years Monthly Land Contract Payment: $329 Monthly Association Fee: $288 Annual Taxes: Approx. $1,000 (Non-Homestead) Taxes are 3040% lower with Homestead Investor-Friendly Opportunity Association allows rentals Ideal for investors seeking a rent-ready condo in a high-demand area Strong location near Royal Oak & Birmingham supports long-term rental demand This is an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants or investors looking for an affordable, well-located, move-in ready condo with flexible land contract terms. Contact for more details or to schedule a showing: 313-777-2222
Key facts
- Large storage area
- Tons of closet space
- Private balcony
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $93k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.6% in Southfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#248 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
- Southfield Public School District (urban): math 17% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #392 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $93k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.89%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,614
- List price
- $93,000
- Delta
- 83.74%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-190
- Equity at exit
- $13,867
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $26,691
- Equity at exit
- $8,041
Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48076
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,304 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$488
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $646/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA est. from 4 same-building comps
- −$257
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $245 | -5% $219 | +0% $193 | +5% $167 | +10% $140 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $90 | -5% $141 | +0% $193 | +5% $244 | +10% $296 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $240 | -0.5pp $217 | base $193 | +0.5pp $169 | +1.0pp $144 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,250
- Closing costs
- $2,790
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15833 W Eleven Mile Rd Southfield, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,215 | $1.34 | 0d | 5 | 0.11mi |
| 15075 Lincoln St Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 746 | $1,068 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 14801 Lincoln St Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 990 | $1,240 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 25500 Greenfield Rd Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $1,068 | $1.67 | 3d | 12 | 0.78mi |
| 25600 Briar Dr Oak Park, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1235 | $1,535 | $1.24 | 25d | 7 | 0.84mi |
| 25225 Greenfield Rd Southfield, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $868 | $1.23 | 45d | 6 | 0.84mi |
| 25337 S Montmartre Ct Unit 2 Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 25221 W Rue Versailles Dr Oak Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $865 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 25026 E Rue Versailles Dr Oak Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $1,145 | $1.23 | 0d | 10 | 1.02mi |
| 2639 Oxford Rd Berkley, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $2,495 | $2.47 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3644 Greenfield Rd Unit 3664 Greenfield Berkley, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,700 | $1.79 | 19d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2580 Oxford Rd Berkley, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,270 | $2.12 | 6d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 2219 Coolidge Hwy Unit 2219-026 Berkley, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,950 | $1.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2575 Catalpa Dr Unit 2575-16 Berkley, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2575 Catalpa Dr Unit 2575-06 Berkley, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2200 Berkley Ave Unit 122 Berkley, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,260 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2200 Berkley Ave Apt 102 Berkley, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,299 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 18248 W 12 Mile Rd Southfield, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,722 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $93,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $93,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $93,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $93,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $93,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $93,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $93,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $93,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $93,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $93,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $93,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $93,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $93,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $93,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $93,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-03-05$93,000 Active 2095-char remark
Show marketing remark (2095 chars)
Move-In Ready 1-Bedroom Condo | Prime Location Near Royal Oak & Birmingham Welcome to this beautifully updated and spacious 1-bedroom condo located in a well-maintained community in Southfield. This condo features a large open-concept living and dining area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing in comfort. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the living space, creating a modern and functional layout. The unit offers new hardwood flooring throughout, fresh neutral paint, and central air conditioning and central heat for year-round comfort. The bedroom is oversized with an exceptionally large closet, and the home includes multiple additional closets plus a huge private storage space, offering rare and valuable storage capacity. Step outside to enjoy your private balcony, adding extra living space and natural light. Located in a beautiful, centrally located area, just 3 minutes from Royal Oak and 5 minutes from Birmingham, with easy access to shopping, dining, and major roads. Property Features 1 Large Bedroom with Huge Closet 1 Full Bathroom Open-Concept Living & Dining Room Updated Kitchen New Hardwood Floors Freshly Painted Central Air Conditioning & Central Heat Private Balcony Tons of Closet Space + Large Storage Area Move-In Ready Location 15999 W. 11 Mile Rd. , Southfield, MI 48076 Purchase & Financing Terms (Land Contract) Purchase Price: $93,000 Down Payment: $25,000 Assumed Land Contract Balance: $65,500 Land Contract Term: 4 Years Monthly Land Contract Payment: $329 Monthly Association Fee: $288 Annual Taxes: Approx. $1,000 (Non-Homestead) Taxes are 3040% lower with Homestead Investor-Friendly Opportunity Association allows rentals Ideal for investors seeking a rent-ready condo in a high-demand area Strong location near Royal Oak & Birmingham supports long-term rental demand This is an excellent opportunity for owner-occupants or investors looking for an affordable, well-located, move-in ready condo with flexible land contract terms. Contact for more details or to schedule a showing: 313-777-2222
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2019-05-15soldstatus $47,000 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Move in ready 1 bedroom condo adjoined to main bath. Great amount of storage space. Living room and dining room flow together creating a great entertaining space. Water included and pet friendly!! Great source of natural light brightening up the condo. Prime location close to freeways And shopping. Schedule a showing today. Portfolio Loan needed.
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2019-04-02$55,000 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Move in ready 1 bedroom condo adjoined to main bath. Great amount of storage space. Living room and dining room flow together creating a great entertaining space. Water included and pet friendly!! Great source of natural light brightening up the condo. Prime location close to freeways And shopping. Schedule a showing today. Portfolio Loan needed.
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2017-10-12historical
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2017-10-11historical
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2017-09-25price $46,000
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2017-09-18$50,000 Active
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2017-09-18$46,000
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2015-06-30soldstatus $25,000
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2015-06-05soldstatus $25,000 Closed
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2015-06-05soldstatus $25,000
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2015-05-20status Pending
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2015-05-15$29,500 Active
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2015-05-15$29,500
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1995-06-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $646 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,039 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$393/yr (+$33/mo · 60.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,648
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,209
- − Property taxes
- −$646
- − Insurance
- −$465
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,252
- − Management
- −$1,252
- − HOA
- −$3,084
- − Depreciation
- −$2,705
- Taxable income
- $1,034
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$248
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southfield Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632310
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,400
- Composite
- 23.77/100
- National rank
- #7814
- State rank
- #392 of 540 in MI
Livability — Southfield
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #248
- US rank
- #6175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southfield, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 54,914
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,405
- Household income
- $90,058
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 607.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.13%
- Current HPI
- 229.2304
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.84%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+165.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $93,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2019-05-15 Sold (MLS) $47,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-04-02 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-10-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-10-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-09-25 Price Changed $46,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-09-18 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-09-18 Listed $46,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2015-06-05 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-06-05 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-05-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-05-15 Listed $29,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-05-15 Listed $29,500 REALCOMP
- 1995-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $646 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…