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41 Aurora Ave Duplex
C- Composite 54.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

41 Aurora Ave · West Seneca, NY 14224
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,236 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1962 9,225 sqft lot $123/sqft · 26% below area Est $371k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Strategic investment opportunity in a prime Buffalo location. Back on the market due to buyer financing issue. 41 Aurora Ave is a solid two-family property featuring two 3-bedroom, 1-bath units. The lower unit is vacant, offering immediate flexibility for owner-occupants or investors looking to optimize rents. The property includes separate utilities, public water and sewer, hot water heat, and appliances in both units. Exterior highlights include a fully fenced yard, covered porch, and additional outdoor space for tenants to enjoy. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure that owner-occupied for yourself, this property delivers both stability and upside.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Separate utilities
  • Two-family property

Tags

PRIME BUFFALO LOCATIONTWO-FAMILY PROPERTYSEPARATE UTILITIESFULLY FENCED YARDCOVERED PORCHADDITIONAL OUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $69/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $270k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.7% in West Seneca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#130 in NY, #2,089 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • West Seneca Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #336 of 590 in NY (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $275k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $269,500 (2.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.15%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$371,471
List price
$275,000
Delta
-25.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
154 Chamberlin Dr 0.52mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,182 (-2%) 2mo $242,400 $111 65
260 Indian Church Rd 0.38mi 6/2.0 2,488 (+11%) 4mo $217,000 $87 60
17 Dismonda St 0.66mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-2%) 11mo $230,000 $105 58
96 Wildwood Pl 0.75mi 6/2.0 2,288 (+2%) 8mo $90,000 $39 55
102 Wildwood Pl 0.73mi 6/2.0 2,270 (+2%) 17mo $215,000 $95 49
132 Edson St 0.54mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,480 (+11%) 2mo $210,000 $85 46
837 Mineral Springs Rd 0.60mi 6/2.0 2,352 (+5%) 21mo $275,000 $117 45
35 Duerstein St 0.74mi 6/2.0 2,400 (+7%) 11mo $260,000 $108 44
23 Indian Orchard Pl 0.69mi 6/2.0 2,376 (+6%) 20mo $245,000 $103 40
118 Indian Church Rd 0.65mi 6/2.0 2,552 (+14%) 8mo $265,851 $104 39
81 Buffum St 0.74mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,112 (-6%) 15mo $265,000 $125 39
14 Winegar Pl 0.70mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,469 (+10%) 5mo $187,000 $76 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-35,698
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-19,403
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14224

Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
17.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,695 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$435 /mo · $5,216/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$566
Net cashflow
$138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,521
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $293 -5% $215 +0% $138 +5% $60 +10% $-18
Rent -10% $-75 -5% $31 +0% $138 +5% $244 +10% $351
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $208 base $138 +0.5pp $66 +1.0pp $-6

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,695

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Active 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Strategic investment opportunity in a prime Buffalo location. Back on the market due to buyer financing issue. 41 Aurora Ave is a solid two-family property featuring two 3-bedroom, 1-bath units. The lower unit is vacant, offering immediate flexibility for owner-occupants or investors looking to optimize rents. The property includes separate utilities, public water and sewer, hot water heat, and appliances in both units. Exterior highlights include a fully fenced yard, covered porch, and additional outdoor space for tenants to enjoy. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure that owner-occupied for yourself, this property delivers both stability and upside.

  2. 2026-03-16
    status Pending 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Strategic investment opportunity in a prime Buffalo location. Back on the market due to buyer financing issue. 41 Aurora Ave is a solid two-family property featuring two 3-bedroom, 1-bath units. The lower unit is vacant, offering immediate flexibility for owner-occupants or investors looking to optimize rents. The property includes separate utilities, public water and sewer, hot water heat, and appliances in both units. Exterior highlights include a fully fenced yard, covered porch, and additional outdoor space for tenants to enjoy. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure that owner-occupied for yourself, this property delivers both stability and upside.

  3. 2026-03-02
    listed $275,000 Active 680-char remark
    Show marketing remark (680 chars)

    Strategic investment opportunity in a prime Buffalo location. Back on the market due to buyer financing issue. 41 Aurora Ave is a solid two-family property featuring two 3-bedroom, 1-bath units. The lower unit is vacant, offering immediate flexibility for owner-occupants or investors looking to optimize rents. The property includes separate utilities, public water and sewer, hot water heat, and appliances in both units. Exterior highlights include a fully fenced yard, covered porch, and additional outdoor space for tenants to enjoy. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure that owner-occupied for yourself, this property delivers both stability and upside.

  4. 2018-03-28
    soldstatus $170,000 Closed Sale or Rented 306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    Solid 3 bdrm, 1 bath Double for owner occupied or investment. Separate utilities and washer and dryer hook-ups in very clean and dry basement. Plenty of off-street parking, 2 story shed for storage. Covered porches for summer relaxation as well as large backyard. Both HWT & Boilers replaced in 2015.

  5. 2018-03-28
    soldstatus $60,000
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    Solid 3 bdrm, 1 bath Double for owner occupied or investment. Separate utilities and washer and dryer hook-ups in very clean and dry basement. Plenty of off-street parking, 2 story shed for storage. Covered porches for summer relaxation as well as large backyard. Both HWT & Boilers replaced in 2015.

  6. 2018-01-31
    status Pending Sale 306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    Solid 3 bdrm, 1 bath Double for owner occupied or investment. Separate utilities and washer and dryer hook-ups in very clean and dry basement. Plenty of off-street parking, 2 story shed for storage. Covered porches for summer relaxation as well as large backyard. Both HWT & Boilers replaced in 2015.

  7. 2018-01-29
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    Solid 3 bdrm, 1 bath Double for owner occupied or investment. Separate utilities and washer and dryer hook-ups in very clean and dry basement. Plenty of off-street parking, 2 story shed for storage. Covered porches for summer relaxation as well as large backyard. Both HWT & Boilers replaced in 2015.

  8. 2017-12-18
    listed $185,000 Active 306-char remark
    Show marketing remark (306 chars)

    Solid 3 bdrm, 1 bath Double for owner occupied or investment. Separate utilities and washer and dryer hook-ups in very clean and dry basement. Plenty of off-street parking, 2 story shed for storage. Covered porches for summer relaxation as well as large backyard. Both HWT & Boilers replaced in 2015.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,216 · $435/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,216 · $435/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,340
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$5,216
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,587
− Management
−$2,587
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$2,830
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$679
After-tax cash flow
$2,331/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Seneca Central School District
NCES district ID
3630780
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$54,231
Composite
44.83/100
National rank
#2735
State rank
#336 of 590 in NY

Livability — West Seneca

Score
79/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#2089

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Seneca, NY
City population
41,101
Population (ZIP)
41,101

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 22% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.03%
Current HPI
303.7523
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-16 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $275,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2018-03-28 Sold (MLS) $170,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-01-31 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-01-29 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-12-18 Listed $185,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,216 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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