197 Delaware Ave · Freeport, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$569,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ranch Style Home. This Home Features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Formal Dining Room, & 1 Car Garage. Centrally Located To All. Don't Miss This Opportunity!
Key facts
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1954
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $570k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-835 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $422k (25.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $421k (26.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $421k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#69 in NY, #1,033 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Baldwin Union Free School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #93 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($561k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.28%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $777,838
- List price
- $569,900
- Delta
- -26.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187 Green Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (+2%) | 4mo | $675,000 | $393 | 70 |
| 319 Maryland Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,572 (-6%) | 5mo | $605,000 | $385 | 68 |
| 25 Oxford Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,670 (-1%) | 5mo | $752,000 | $450 | 68 |
| 1515 Paul St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,769 (+5%) | 5mo | $400,000 | $226 | 67 |
| 12 King St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,579 (-6%) | 1mo | $655,000 | $415 | 61 |
| 251 N Long Beach Ave | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,560 (-7%) | 4mo | $660,000 | $423 | 59 |
| 63 W Lincoln Pl | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,604 (-5%) | 3mo | $560,000 | $349 | 55 |
| 222 N Ocean Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,602 (-5%) | 6mo | $630,000 | $393 | 52 |
| 671 Stanton Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,551 (-8%) | 4mo | $710,000 | $458 | 52 |
| 36 New York Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,482 (-12%) | 5mo | $785,000 | $530 | 47 |
| 35 W Seaman Ave | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,450 (-14%) | 2mo | $542,000 | $374 | 38 |
| 64 W Milton St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,922 (+14%) | 6mo | $755,000 | $393 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-145,338
- Equity at exit
- $84,974
- IRR
- -24.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.22×
- Total profit
- $-194,238
- Equity at exit
- $49,275
Cash invested: $159,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11520
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,208 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,989
- Tax from tax record
- −$933 /mo · $11,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$237
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$884
- Net cashflow
- $-835
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-513 | -5% $-674 | +0% $-835 | +5% $-996 | +10% $-1,158 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,168 | -5% $-1,001 | +0% $-835 | +5% $-669 | +10% $-503 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-548 | -0.5pp $-690 | base $-835 | +0.5pp $-983 | +1.0pp $-1,133 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $142,475
- Closing costs
- $17,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mayfair Ct Freeport, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $4,750 | $2.55 | 8d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 66 E Seaman Ave Freeport, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $3,600 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 21 W Centennial Ave Roosevelt, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $3,600 | $3.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 196 E Seaman Ave Freeport, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1062 | $8,500 | $8.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Ranch Style Home. This Home Features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Formal Dining Room, & 1 Car Garage. Centrally Located To All. Don't Miss This Opportunity!
-
2026-04-08$569,900 Active 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Ranch Style Home. This Home Features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Formal Dining Room, & 1 Car Garage. Centrally Located To All. Don't Miss This Opportunity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,201 · $933/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,201 · $933/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,497
- − Mortgage interest
- −$31,923
- − Property taxes
- −$11,201
- − Insurance
- −$2,850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,040
- − Management
- −$4,040
- − Depreciation
- −$16,579
- Taxable loss
- −$20,135
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,832
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,189/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $99,594
- Composite
- 64.93/100
- National rank
- #509
- State rank
- #93 of 590 in NY
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #1033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, NY
- City population
- 44,873
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,873
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% Black 33% White 19% Two or more races 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 38% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -721.06%
- Current HPI
- 317.6076
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $569,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2024): $11,201 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…