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1000 Lower Demunds Rd Duplex
B Composite 74.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

1000 Lower Demunds Rd · Shavertown, PA 18612
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,595 sqft · MultiFamily · 131 Days on market
Fair condition 0.62 ac lot $129/sqft · 16% below area Est $244k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Unique duplex in Dallas Township consisting of two larger one bedroom apartments. First floor offers 4 rooms with a fireplace and hardwood floors. Second floor offers 3 rooms with a private entrance and ample closets & storage space. Both units are modern, have laundry hook-ups, and have separate utilities. Parcel measures 0.78 acres with a private driveway providing ample parking and yard area

Key facts

  • Private entrance
  • Ample closets
  • Storage space

Tags

FIREPLACEHARDWOOD FLOORSPRIVATE ENTRANCEAMPLE CLOSETSSTORAGE SPACELAUNDRY HOOK-UPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $205k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $636 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $318/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#688 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dallas SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #97 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $205k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $180,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.41%
Cash-on-cash
14.69%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$243,962
List price
$205,000
Delta
-15.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$7,395
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$58,963
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18612

Home prices YoY
-23.2%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,683 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax est. 1.5%
$256 /mo · $3,075/yr
Insurance
$85
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$563
Net cashflow
$636

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,877
Max offer price $205,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $778 -5% $707 +0% $636 +5% $566 +10% $495
Rent -10% $424 -5% $530 +0% $636 +5% $742 +10% $848
Rate -1.0pp $740 -0.5pp $689 base $636 +0.5pp $583 +1.0pp $529

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,683

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
62 Huntsville Rd Dallas, PA 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,800 $1.40 22d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $205,000 Active 131 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $205,000 Active 128 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,000 Active 127 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $205,000 Active 126 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,000 Active 125 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $205,000 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $205,000 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $205,000 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,000 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,000 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,000 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,000 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,000 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $205,000 Active 109 DOM
  16. 2026-04-10
    price $205,000 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Unique duplex in Dallas Township consisting of two larger one bedroom apartments. First floor offers 4 rooms with a fireplace and hardwood floors. Second floor offers 3 rooms with a private entrance and ample closets & storage space. Both units are modern, have laundry hook-ups, and have separate utilities. Parcel measures 0.78 acres with a private driveway providing ample parking and yard area

  17. 2026-03-16
    price $215,000 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Unique duplex in Dallas Township consisting of two larger one bedroom apartments. First floor offers 4 rooms with a fireplace and hardwood floors. Second floor offers 3 rooms with a private entrance and ample closets & storage space. Both units are modern, have laundry hook-ups, and have separate utilities. Parcel measures 0.78 acres with a private driveway providing ample parking and yard area

  18. 2026-02-10
    listed $225,000 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Unique duplex in Dallas Township consisting of two larger one bedroom apartments. First floor offers 4 rooms with a fireplace and hardwood floors. Second floor offers 3 rooms with a private entrance and ample closets & storage space. Both units are modern, have laundry hook-ups, and have separate utilities. Parcel measures 0.78 acres with a private driveway providing ample parking and yard area

  19. 2017-11-22
    soldstatus $100,000 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    Exterior cedar shake duplex. Freshly painted, first floor stone fireplace, natural wood, circle driveway, one apartment rented the other vacant.

  20. 2017-09-14
    listed $110,000 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    Exterior cedar shake duplex. Freshly painted, first floor stone fireplace, natural wood, circle driveway, one apartment rented the other vacant.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,196
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$3,075
− Insurance
−$1,822
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,576
− Management
−$2,576
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable income
$4,700
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,128
After-tax cash flow
$6,509/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

A fair condition home with moderate rehab needs, including exterior siding, interior paint, and landscaping. Potential for significant value increase with these improvements.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — dark siding appears worn and in need of replacement
  • Major interior paint — paint appears worn and needs touch-up or repainting
  • Major landscaping — bare yard with debris needs landscaping and maintenance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior siding replacement — improves curb appeal and value
  • Both interior paint touch-up — enhances interior appearance and value
  • Both landscaping and yard maintenance — enhances curb appeal and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · dark siding appears worn and in need of replacement Major $15,000–50,000
interior paint · paint appears worn and needs touch-up or repainting Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · bare yard with debris needs landscaping and maintenance Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior siding replacement — improves curb appeal and value
  • Both interior paint touch-up — enhances interior appearance and value
  • Both landscaping and yard maintenance — enhances curb appeal and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas SD
NCES district ID
4207200
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$61,760
Composite
48.4/100
National rank
#2138
State rank
#97 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shavertown

Score
71/100
State rank
#688
US rank
#6958

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,754

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.51%
Current HPI
250.3156
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+86.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $205,000 LCAR
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $215,000 LCAR
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $225,000 LCAR
  • 2017-11-22 Sold (MLS) $100,000 LCAR
  • 2017-09-14 Listed $110,000 LCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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