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505 E Lincoln Ave #302
B Composite 71.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

505 E Lincoln Ave #302 · Mount Vernon, NY 10552
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · Condo · 34 Days on market
Built 1951

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Back on Market , previous buyer could not perform. Their loss is your opportunity ! flexible down payment & Low maintenance fees . Short waitlist for parking , excellent choice for first time buyers or anyone looking for affordable easy to maintain living .

Key facts

  • Built 1951
  • Listed 34 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking (waitlist)
  • Utilities: Sewer: Other; No utilities listed
  • Home design: Stock cooperative
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Entry level: 3
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall/window air-conditioning unit(s); Other heating
  • Interior features: Galley-style kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.2% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#397 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A, employment B; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
  • Mount Vernon School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #485 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mount Vernon Honor Academy (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 308 students, 58% FRL); Benjamin Turner Middle School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #678 of 729 statewide, top 94%, 196 students, 71% FRL); Mount Vernon High School (math 54% / reading 75%, grade B-, #776 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,094 students, 76% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.86%
Cash-on-cash
19.89%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$29,343
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
3.96×
Total profit
$124,160
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10552

Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,193 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$696

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $800 -5% $748 +0% $696 +5% $644 +10% $592
Rent -10% $523 -5% $610 +0% $696 +5% $783 +10% $869
Rate -1.0pp $772 -0.5pp $734 base $696 +0.5pp $657 +1.0pp $618

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
118 N Columbus Ave Mount Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $1,700 $2.62 26d 1 0.35mi
33 William St Mount Vernon, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,850 $2.55 23d 2 0.96mi
42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 1014 $3,956 $3.90 25d 15 0.99mi
42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 955 $2,841 $2.97 0d 17 0.99mi
669 N Terrace Ave Mount Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,031 $2.71 26d 1 1.01mi
7 Monroe St Unit 3A Mt Vernon, NY 2.0 1.0 600 $2,200 $3.67 20d 1 1.02mi
103 North St Mount Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 720 $1,900 $2.64 22d 1 1.08mi
9 9th St Unit 3rd Floor New Rochelle, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,100 $2.80 45d 1 1.29mi
111 Colonial Pl Unit 3 New Rochelle, NY 1.0 1.0 400 $2,300 $5.75 20d 1 1.32mi
13 N Bond St Mount Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $1,785 $2.98 26d 1 1.35mi
429 S 3rd Ave Mount Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $2,300 $3.83 5d 1 1.35mi
18 N Bond St Unit 3D Mt Vernon, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,000 $2.67 26d 1 1.36mi
119 S 11th Ave Unit 1 Mt Vernon, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $2,800 $4.00 12d 1 1.38mi
225 Sickles Ave Unit 1 New Rochelle, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,600 $3.47 45d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $150,000 Pending 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-05-12
    status Active
  13. 2026-05-12
    historical
  14. 2026-05-12
    listed $150,000 Active
  15. 2025-12-06
    status Active
  16. 2025-12-06
    price $150,000
  17. 2025-11-19
    status Active
  18. 2025-08-14
    status Pending
  19. 2025-05-12
    listed $165,000 Active
  20. 2016-05-16
    historical
  21. 2016-04-03
    historical Temporarily off Market
  22. 2015-10-17
    listed Active
  23. 2015-10-15
    listed $65,000
  24. 2015-05-05
    historical Expired
  25. 2015-05-04
    historical
  26. 2014-11-19
    listed Active
  27. 2014-11-18
    listed $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,321
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,106
− Management
−$2,106
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$6,343
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,522
After-tax cash flow
$6,831/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Vernon School District
NCES district ID
3620100
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$50,890
Composite
36.59/100
National rank
#4631
State rank
#485 of 590 in NY

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
71/100
State rank
#397
US rank
#6876

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B Housing C Health & safety A User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Vernon, NY
County
Westchester County · 709,332 people
City population
61,313
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
22,341
Household income
$96,717
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
652.0

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,028,035 people
By 2030
1,051,636 · +2.3%
By 2040
1,098,520 · +6.9%
By 2050
1,136,044 · +10.5%
By 2075
1,196,925 · +16.4%
By 2100
1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
Black 39% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Russian 2% Estonian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -393.94%
Current HPI
244.3166
Rent YoY
▲ 7.04%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-06 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-06 Price Changed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-19 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-14 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-12 Listed $165,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-16 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-03 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2015-10-17 Listed HGMLS
  • 2015-10-15 Listed $65,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-05-05 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2015-05-04 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-11-19 Listed HGMLS
  • 2014-11-18 Listed $65,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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