505 E Lincoln Ave #302 · Mount Vernon, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Back on Market , previous buyer could not perform. Their loss is your opportunity ! flexible down payment & Low maintenance fees . Short waitlist for parking , excellent choice for first time buyers or anyone looking for affordable easy to maintain living .
Key facts
- Built 1951
- Listed 34 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (waitlist)
- Utilities: Sewer: Other; No utilities listed
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Entry level: 3
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall/window air-conditioning unit(s); Other heating
- Interior features: Galley-style kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.2% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#397 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A, employment B; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
- Mount Vernon School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #485 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mount Vernon Honor Academy (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 308 students, 58% FRL); Benjamin Turner Middle School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #678 of 729 statewide, top 94%, 196 students, 71% FRL); Mount Vernon High School (math 54% / reading 75%, grade B-, #776 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,094 students, 76% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.89%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $29,343
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.96×
- Total profit
- $124,160
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10552
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,193 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $696
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $800 | -5% $748 | +0% $696 | +5% $644 | +10% $592 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $523 | -5% $610 | +0% $696 | +5% $783 | +10% $869 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $772 | -0.5pp $734 | base $696 | +0.5pp $657 | +1.0pp $618 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 N Columbus Ave Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,700 | $2.62 | 26d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 33 William St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,850 | $2.55 | 23d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $3,956 | $3.90 | 25d | 15 | 0.99mi |
| 42 Broad St W Mount Vernon, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $2,841 | $2.97 | 0d | 17 | 0.99mi |
| 669 N Terrace Ave Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,031 | $2.71 | 26d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7 Monroe St Unit 3A Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,200 | $3.67 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 103 North St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,900 | $2.64 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9 9th St Unit 3rd Floor New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 111 Colonial Pl Unit 3 New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $2,300 | $5.75 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 13 N Bond St Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,785 | $2.98 | 26d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 429 S 3rd Ave Mount Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,300 | $3.83 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 18 N Bond St Unit 3D Mt Vernon, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,000 | $2.67 | 26d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 119 S 11th Ave Unit 1 Mt Vernon, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,800 | $4.00 | 12d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 225 Sickles Ave Unit 1 New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,600 | $3.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-15status $150,000 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Active
-
2026-05-12historical
-
2026-05-12$150,000 Active
-
2025-12-06status Active
-
2025-12-06price $150,000
-
2025-11-19status Active
-
2025-08-14status Pending
-
2025-05-12$165,000 Active
-
2016-05-16historical
-
2016-04-03historical Temporarily off Market
-
2015-10-17Active
-
2015-10-15$65,000
-
2015-05-05historical Expired
-
2015-05-04historical
-
2014-11-19Active
-
2014-11-18$65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,106
- − Management
- −$2,106
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $6,343
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,522
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,831/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Vernon School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620100
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,890
- Composite
- 36.59/100
- National rank
- #4631
- State rank
- #485 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mount Vernon
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #6876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Vernon, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 61,313
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,341
- Household income
- $96,717
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 652.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 2% Estonian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -393.94%
- Current HPI
- 244.3166
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.04%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+130.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-06 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-19 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-14 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-12 Listed $165,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-16 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-03 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2015-10-17 Listed — HGMLS
- 2015-10-15 Listed $65,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-05 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2015-05-04 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-19 Listed — HGMLS
- 2014-11-18 Listed $65,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…