2006 Avenue P · Fort Pierce, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage (detached); Has carport (1 covered space); Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; First-floor entry; Property resale
- Construction: Block construction; Metal roof; Built on a single-story foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Oversized lot; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms arranged in a split layout
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Split bedroom layout (three-way split); Closet cabinetry; Blinds on windows; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (8.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.5% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Weatherbee Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 672 students, 90% FRL); Dan Mccarty Middle School (math 23% / reading 23%, grade F, #542 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 747 students, 88% FRL); Fort Pierce Westwood Academy The W.E.S.T. Prep Magnet (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 2,010 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 59% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Lucie average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,706/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $220k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.96%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $148,104
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1605 N 17th St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 782 (-1%) | 15mo | $174,900 | $224 | 76 |
| 1903 Avenue O | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+3%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $221 | 75 |
| 1801 N 25th St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (+11%) | 11mo | $122,000 | $139 | 58 |
| 709 N 20th St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (+9%) | 2mo | $93,000 | $108 | 50 |
| 1904 Rosarita Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-12%) | 20mo | $130,000 | $187 | 49 |
| 1202 Avenue L | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+9%) | 14mo | $153,750 | $178 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-36,869
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-17,770
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34950
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,706 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$203 /mo · $2,434/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $-100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $24 | -5% $-38 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-163 | +10% $-225 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-235 | -5% $-168 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-33 | +10% $34 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $10 | -0.5pp $-44 | base $-100 | +0.5pp $-157 | +1.0pp $-215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1710 N 21st St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $2,100 | $2.17 | 16d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2202 N AVE Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $1,500 | $2.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1601 N 17th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,650 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1408 N 23rd St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 16d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1610 N 25th St Unit 1 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,600 | $2.16 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1610 N 25th St Unit 10 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,600 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1610 N 25th St Unit 13 Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,550 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 907 N 20th St Apt B Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,800 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1910 Juanita Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1220 Avenue L Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3002 Avenue Q Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,900 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2804 Avenue J Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $2,000 | $2.45 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1225 Avenue K Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,700 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2107 San Marcos Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,171 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3101 Avenue T Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,980 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1405 Avenue G Apt A Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,200 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1617 Avenue E Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1604 Avenue E Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $1,350 | $1.89 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2017 N 3rd St Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,650 | $2.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1607 Avenue D Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,700 | $1.65 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 434 N 17th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,500 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 505 N 27th St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 879 | $2,660 | $3.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1127 E Avenue Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,800 | $2.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 508 Means Ct Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $775 | $0.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 508 Means Ct Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 826 | $1,950 | $2.36 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 529 N 11th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 634 | $1,200 | $1.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 701 N 9th St Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 740 | $1,395 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2908 Dunbar St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 312 N 27th St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,600 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 205 N 22nd St Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 321 N 11th St Unit C Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 136 N 15th St Unit C Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,375 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 204 N 28th St Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2760 Seneca Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,500 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4005 Avenue I Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 16d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4005 Avenue I Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1310 Atlantic Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,620 | $2.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1310 Atlantic Ave Unit B Fort Pierce, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1406 Citrus Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,600 | $1.72 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $220,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $220,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $220,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $220,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $220,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $220,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-02-26$220,000 Active
-
2022-01-27soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,434 · $203/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,434 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,473
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$2,434
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$5,060
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,214
- After-tax cash flow
- $9/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Pierce
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #3360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Pierce, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 78,556
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,461
- Household income
- $30,400
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1995.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 17% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 17% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 12% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.20%
- Current HPI
- 384.8532
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.94%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+266.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Listed $220,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,434 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…