20456 Ragtop Xing · Long Neck, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
$475,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautifully maintained ranch in the sought-after Spring Breeze community combines one-level living with built-in room to grow. Inside, the home features a smartly designed floorplan with vaulted ceilings, an open-concept great room anchored by a cozy gas fireplace, and a chef’s kitchen with a large island, walk-in pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. The flexible third bedroom—currently used as an office with French doors—can easily be converted back to a bedroom with a simple closet addition. The spacious primary suite offers a tree-lined view, walk-in closet, and a spa-like Roman shower. Step outside to the professionally designed patio with lighting, multiple seating areas, and private wooded backdrop—perfect for entertaining or unwinding. * * But the real opportunity lies below: the full unfinished basement offers tons of expansion potential. Already framed for additional rooms and plumbed for a full bath (including a soaking tub), it’s a blank canvas for a recreation space, guest suite, or home gym. With shelving and storage in place, it’s both practical now and future-ready. Living here means more than just a home—it’s a lifestyle. Spring Breeze includes lawn care, trash service, clubhouse, pool, and fitness center, all minutes from Rehoboth and Lewes beaches, Millsboro, and Georgetown.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $475k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-290 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $424k (10.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (28.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $340k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Cape Henlopen School District (town): math 42% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 26 in DE (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rehoboth Elementary School (math 51% / reading 60%, grade C, #8 of 105 statewide, top 8%, 525 students, 0% FRL); Beacon Middle School (math 49% / reading 62%, grade B-, #1 of 36 statewide, top 0%, 648 students, 0% FRL); Cape Henlopen High School (math 26% / reading 51%, grade F, #14 of 40 statewide, top 33%, 1,813 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 373 days — a 12% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 373 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.62%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $574,492
- List price
- $475,000
- Delta
- -17.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21661 Beauchamp Ln | 0.33mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 3,200 (+2%) | 17mo | $670,000 | $209 | 60 |
| 30258 Lone Palm Way | 0.11mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 2,807 (-10%) | 20mo | $575,000 | $205 | 56 |
| 31288 Barefoot Cir | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 3,347 (+7%) | 10mo | $547,999 | $164 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-22,988
- Equity at exit
- $148,059
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $28,903
- Equity at exit
- $186,277
Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19951
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,491
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$198
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$714
- Net cashflow
- $-290
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-21 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-290 | +5% $-425 | +10% $-559 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-559 | -5% $-424 | +0% $-290 | +5% $-156 | +10% $-22 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-51 | -0.5pp $-169 | base $-290 | +0.5pp $-413 | +1.0pp $-538 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $118,750
- Closing costs
- $14,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29078 Frenchman Bay Dr Unit A Lewes, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3700 | $3,400 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
- Likely covers
- trashgaslandscapingpoolgym
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $475,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $475,000 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $475,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $475,000 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $475,000 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $475,000 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $475,000 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $475,000 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $475,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $475,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $475,000 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $475,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $475,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $475,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $475,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $475,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $475,000 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $475,000 1370-char remark
Show marketing remark (1370 chars)
This beautifully maintained ranch in the sought-after Spring Breeze community combines one-level living with built-in room to grow. Inside, the home features a smartly designed floorplan with vaulted ceilings, an open-concept great room anchored by a cozy gas fireplace, and a chef’s kitchen with a large island, walk-in pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. The flexible third bedroom—currently used as an office with French doors—can easily be converted back to a bedroom with a simple closet addition. The spacious primary suite offers a tree-lined view, walk-in closet, and a spa-like Roman shower. Step outside to the professionally designed patio with lighting, multiple seating areas, and private wooded backdrop—perfect for entertaining or unwinding. * * But the real opportunity lies below: the full unfinished basement offers tons of expansion potential. Already framed for additional rooms and plumbed for a full bath (including a soaking tub), it’s a blank canvas for a recreation space, guest suite, or home gym. With shelving and storage in place, it’s both practical now and future-ready. Living here means more than just a home—it’s a lifestyle. Spring Breeze includes lawn care, trash service, clubhouse, pool, and fitness center, all minutes from Rehoboth and Lewes beaches, Millsboro, and Georgetown.
-
2026-04-01price $490,000 1370-char remark
Show marketing remark (1370 chars)
This beautifully maintained ranch in the sought-after Spring Breeze community combines one-level living with built-in room to grow. Inside, the home features a smartly designed floorplan with vaulted ceilings, an open-concept great room anchored by a cozy gas fireplace, and a chef’s kitchen with a large island, walk-in pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. The flexible third bedroom—currently used as an office with French doors—can easily be converted back to a bedroom with a simple closet addition. The spacious primary suite offers a tree-lined view, walk-in closet, and a spa-like Roman shower. Step outside to the professionally designed patio with lighting, multiple seating areas, and private wooded backdrop—perfect for entertaining or unwinding. * * But the real opportunity lies below: the full unfinished basement offers tons of expansion potential. Already framed for additional rooms and plumbed for a full bath (including a soaking tub), it’s a blank canvas for a recreation space, guest suite, or home gym. With shelving and storage in place, it’s both practical now and future-ready. Living here means more than just a home—it’s a lifestyle. Spring Breeze includes lawn care, trash service, clubhouse, pool, and fitness center, all minutes from Rehoboth and Lewes beaches, Millsboro, and Georgetown.
-
2026-02-17price $505,000 1370-char remark
Show marketing remark (1370 chars)
This beautifully maintained ranch in the sought-after Spring Breeze community combines one-level living with built-in room to grow. Inside, the home features a smartly designed floorplan with vaulted ceilings, an open-concept great room anchored by a cozy gas fireplace, and a chef’s kitchen with a large island, walk-in pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. The flexible third bedroom—currently used as an office with French doors—can easily be converted back to a bedroom with a simple closet addition. The spacious primary suite offers a tree-lined view, walk-in closet, and a spa-like Roman shower. Step outside to the professionally designed patio with lighting, multiple seating areas, and private wooded backdrop—perfect for entertaining or unwinding. * * But the real opportunity lies below: the full unfinished basement offers tons of expansion potential. Already framed for additional rooms and plumbed for a full bath (including a soaking tub), it’s a blank canvas for a recreation space, guest suite, or home gym. With shelving and storage in place, it’s both practical now and future-ready. Living here means more than just a home—it’s a lifestyle. Spring Breeze includes lawn care, trash service, clubhouse, pool, and fitness center, all minutes from Rehoboth and Lewes beaches, Millsboro, and Georgetown.
-
2025-09-18price $515,000 1370-char remark
Show marketing remark (1370 chars)
This beautifully maintained ranch in the sought-after Spring Breeze community combines one-level living with built-in room to grow. Inside, the home features a smartly designed floorplan with vaulted ceilings, an open-concept great room anchored by a cozy gas fireplace, and a chef’s kitchen with a large island, walk-in pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. The flexible third bedroom—currently used as an office with French doors—can easily be converted back to a bedroom with a simple closet addition. The spacious primary suite offers a tree-lined view, walk-in closet, and a spa-like Roman shower. Step outside to the professionally designed patio with lighting, multiple seating areas, and private wooded backdrop—perfect for entertaining or unwinding. * * But the real opportunity lies below: the full unfinished basement offers tons of expansion potential. Already framed for additional rooms and plumbed for a full bath (including a soaking tub), it’s a blank canvas for a recreation space, guest suite, or home gym. With shelving and storage in place, it’s both practical now and future-ready. Living here means more than just a home—it’s a lifestyle. Spring Breeze includes lawn care, trash service, clubhouse, pool, and fitness center, all minutes from Rehoboth and Lewes beaches, Millsboro, and Georgetown.
-
2025-08-21price $525,000 1370-char remark
Show marketing remark (1370 chars)
This beautifully maintained ranch in the sought-after Spring Breeze community combines one-level living with built-in room to grow. Inside, the home features a smartly designed floorplan with vaulted ceilings, an open-concept great room anchored by a cozy gas fireplace, and a chef’s kitchen with a large island, walk-in pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. The flexible third bedroom—currently used as an office with French doors—can easily be converted back to a bedroom with a simple closet addition. The spacious primary suite offers a tree-lined view, walk-in closet, and a spa-like Roman shower. Step outside to the professionally designed patio with lighting, multiple seating areas, and private wooded backdrop—perfect for entertaining or unwinding. * * But the real opportunity lies below: the full unfinished basement offers tons of expansion potential. Already framed for additional rooms and plumbed for a full bath (including a soaking tub), it’s a blank canvas for a recreation space, guest suite, or home gym. With shelving and storage in place, it’s both practical now and future-ready. Living here means more than just a home—it’s a lifestyle. Spring Breeze includes lawn care, trash service, clubhouse, pool, and fitness center, all minutes from Rehoboth and Lewes beaches, Millsboro, and Georgetown.
-
2025-06-14$535,000 Active 1370-char remark
Show marketing remark (1370 chars)
This beautifully maintained ranch in the sought-after Spring Breeze community combines one-level living with built-in room to grow. Inside, the home features a smartly designed floorplan with vaulted ceilings, an open-concept great room anchored by a cozy gas fireplace, and a chef’s kitchen with a large island, walk-in pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. The flexible third bedroom—currently used as an office with French doors—can easily be converted back to a bedroom with a simple closet addition. The spacious primary suite offers a tree-lined view, walk-in closet, and a spa-like Roman shower. Step outside to the professionally designed patio with lighting, multiple seating areas, and private wooded backdrop—perfect for entertaining or unwinding. * * But the real opportunity lies below: the full unfinished basement offers tons of expansion potential. Already framed for additional rooms and plumbed for a full bath (including a soaking tub), it’s a blank canvas for a recreation space, guest suite, or home gym. With shelving and storage in place, it’s both practical now and future-ready. Living here means more than just a home—it’s a lifestyle. Spring Breeze includes lawn care, trash service, clubhouse, pool, and fitness center, all minutes from Rehoboth and Lewes beaches, Millsboro, and Georgetown.
-
2025-06-11historical $535,000 1370-char remark
Show marketing remark (1370 chars)
This beautifully maintained ranch in the sought-after Spring Breeze community combines one-level living with built-in room to grow. Inside, the home features a smartly designed floorplan with vaulted ceilings, an open-concept great room anchored by a cozy gas fireplace, and a chef’s kitchen with a large island, walk-in pantry, and stainless-steel appliances. The flexible third bedroom—currently used as an office with French doors—can easily be converted back to a bedroom with a simple closet addition. The spacious primary suite offers a tree-lined view, walk-in closet, and a spa-like Roman shower. Step outside to the professionally designed patio with lighting, multiple seating areas, and private wooded backdrop—perfect for entertaining or unwinding. * * But the real opportunity lies below: the full unfinished basement offers tons of expansion potential. Already framed for additional rooms and plumbed for a full bath (including a soaking tub), it’s a blank canvas for a recreation space, guest suite, or home gym. With shelving and storage in place, it’s both practical now and future-ready. Living here means more than just a home—it’s a lifestyle. Spring Breeze includes lawn care, trash service, clubhouse, pool, and fitness center, all minutes from Rehoboth and Lewes beaches, Millsboro, and Georgetown.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,048 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,901 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- +$854/yr (+$71/mo · 81.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,607
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$2,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,264
- − Management
- −$3,264
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$13,818
- Taxable loss
- −$11,976
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,874
- After-tax cash flow
- $-608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cape Henlopen School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000170
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,196
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3214
- State rank
- #5 of 26 in DE
Livability — Long Neck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #8720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,957
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 5% Asian 4% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.42%
- Current HPI
- 358.9429
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-11.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $475,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $490,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $505,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $515,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $525,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-14 Listed $535,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-11 Coming Soon $535,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+28.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,048 · -30.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…