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8221 Dexter Ave
B+ Composite 76.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

8221 Dexter Ave · Detroit, MI 48206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,202 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1919 4,792 sqft lot Est $128k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this large brick fixer-upper located just 10 minutes from Downtown Detroit and close to major freeways for an easy commute. Situated in Detroit’s revitalizing Dexter-Linwood area, this spacious home offers tons of potential for a first-time homeowner looking to build equity or an investor searching for their next rehab project. Features include a two-car garage, fireplace, newer roof, and electrical and plumbing work already started — giving buyers a head start on renovations. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, Midtown, and New Center with classic Detroit charm throughout the neighborhood.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1919

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Residential 2-story; Built in 1919
  • Construction: Basement foundation; Below-grade area noted (960)
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Paved street frontage; Frontage approximately 50 feet

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 11 x 11; 13 x 15; ~13)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the second floor (approx. 9 x 8)
  • Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Gas water heater; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $787 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,719/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 646% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $93,575 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
16.23%
Cash-on-cash
35.48%
DSCR
2.58
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$127,716
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3739 Montgomery Ave 0.10mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,189 (-1%) 15mo $128,000 $58 75
2665 Columbus St 0.48mi 3/2.0 2,228 (+1%) 3mo $150,000 $67 73
3761 Taylor St 0.45mi 3/2.0 2,145 (-3%) 7mo $65,409 $30 69
4033 Clairmount St 0.52mi 3/1.0 2,058 (-6%) 0mo $150,000 $73 60
4032 Vicksburg St 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,900 (-14%) 9mo $248,500 $131 58
3254 Hogarth St 0.28mi 3/1.0 2,349 (+7%) 18mo $65,000 $28 57
4676 Vancouver St 0.58mi 3/2.0 2,143 (-3%) 17mo $90,000 $42 55
4443 Oregon St 0.40mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,029 (-8%) 9mo $65,000 $32 52
2530 W Philadelphia St 0.59mi 3/1.5 2,130 (-3%) 16mo $110,000 $52 52
3774 Gladstone St 0.38mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,957 (-11%) 10mo $125,000 $64 49
8740 Arcadia St 0.54mi 3/3.0 1,900 (-14%) 5mo $52,000 $27 44
5051 Allendale St 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,900 (-14%) 12mo $138,000 $73 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$38,563
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
41.5%
Equity multiple
5.31×
Total profit
$114,674
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48206

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
271
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,719 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $409/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$787

Break-even live

Break-even rent $724
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3786 Carter St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,100 $0.79 24d 1 0.31mi
3012 Lothrop Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1800 $1,300 $0.72 3d 1 0.44mi
2506 W Euclid St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,675 $1.14 44d 1 0.59mi
2504 W Euclid St Unit 2504 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,650 $1.12 44d 1 0.59mi
2504 W Euclid St Unit 2506 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,675 $1.14 44d 1 0.59mi
2509 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 3000 $2,650 $0.88 2d 1 0.65mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Unit NA Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 10d 1 0.80mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 2d 1 0.80mi
5315 Spokane St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2110 $1,200 $0.57 17d 1 0.83mi
2302 Hazelwood St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,273 $0.82 24d 1 0.84mi
2047 Seward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1421 $1,523 $1.07 5d 1 0.88mi
2080 Gladstone St #1 Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2426 $3,000 $1.24 2d 1 0.92mi
2925 Calvert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 17d 1 1.06mi
3241 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2636 $1,800 $0.68 17d 1 1.14mi
3031 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,600 $0.94 17d 1 1.16mi
2655 Collingwood St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1881 $2,700 $1.44 2d 1 1.17mi
4426 McGraw Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 44d 1 1.17mi
3322 Webb St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 44d 1 1.29mi
3322 Webb St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 44d 1 1.29mi
3322 Webb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,250 $0.78 17d 1 1.29mi
1441 W Euclid St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2380 $2,600 $1.09 24d 1 1.32mi
2045 Calvert St Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 44d 1 1.34mi
1418 W Euclid St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2264 $1,200 $0.53 44d 1 1.34mi
1929 Calvert Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1414 $1,199 $0.85 15d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-05-23
    historical $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$409 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$936 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$527/yr (+$44/mo · 128.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,634
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$409
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,651
− Management
−$1,651
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$8,363
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,007
After-tax cash flow
$7,431/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
15,227
Household income
$45,046
Rent vs Own
46.4% rent · 53.6% own
Severe rent burden
646.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% White 12% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.60%
Current HPI
130.9545
Rent YoY
▲ 5.20%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Coming Soon $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $409 · -52.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…