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D- Composite 38.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$410,000

227 N Riverside Dr · Saratoga Springs, UT 84045
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,587 sqft · Townhouse public records · 103 Days on market
Built 2025 2,178 sqft lot $162/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

BRAND NEW Row-End Townhome, Prime location this home is an opportunity you don't want to miss. Situated directly on Riverside, a major route with direct freeway access in about 10 minutes (I-15) and under 5 minutes to the city's main commercial corridor-from Smith's in the south to Walmart in the north and everything in between-you're perfectly positioned for work, shopping, and daily life. Enjoy a unique lifestyle feature: a nearby park, pool and playground visible in a straight line from your garage, with stunning mountain views toward Eagle Mountain perfect for kids, relaxation, and outdoor living. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home is an ideal starter home. Whether you're looking for a place

Key facts

  • Pool and playground
  • Nearby park
  • Prime location

Tags

PRIME LOCATIONDIRECT FREEWAY ACCESSNEARBY PARKPOOL AND PLAYGROUNDMOUNTAIN VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $162; Community clubhouse; Association amenities include biking and hiking trails, picnic area, playground, pool, and snow removal

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Culinary (water) connected
  • Home design: Townhouse (row-end); Residential property; Built/standing
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built/standing construction status; Above-grade finished area approximately 1587
  • Exterior features: Double pane windows; Open porch; Sliding glass doors; Partially fenced yard; Full landscaping

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range/oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 1 partial bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas central heating (≥ 95% efficiency); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bath; Walk-in closet; Great room; Built-in range/oven; Blinds; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $410k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-662 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $293k (28.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (40.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $245k (40.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#93 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Springside School (math 41% / reading 44%, grade F, #278 of 585 statewide, top 49%, 735 students, 12% FRL); Lake Mountain Middle (math 40% / reading 44%, grade D-, #58 of 138 statewide, top 43%, 1,412 students, 13% FRL); Westlake High (math 39% / reading 48%, grade F, #50 of 171 statewide, top 29%, 2,659 students, 12% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1175 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $44k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $41k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$70k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $245,415 (40.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
4.35%
Cash-on-cash
-6.92%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
13.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$175,397
Equity at exit
$369,360
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
5.70×
Total profit
$539,169
Equity at exit
$796,540

Cash invested: $114,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Utah
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 84045

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
1175
Price-to-rent
13.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,454 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,150
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,420/yr
Insurance
$171
HOA
$162
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$515
Net cashflow
$-662

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,293
Max offer price $292,968
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-430 -5% $-546 +0% $-662 +5% $-779 +10% $-895
Rent -10% $-856 -5% $-759 +0% $-662 +5% $-566 +10% $-469
Rate -1.0pp $-456 -0.5pp $-558 base $-662 +0.5pp $-769 +1.0pp $-877

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$102,500
Closing costs
$12,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
251 N Riverside Dr Saratoga Springs, UT 4.0 2.5 1587 $2,250 $1.42 15d 1 0.06mi
39 S Baker Spring Cv Saratoga Springs, UT 4.0 2.5 1800 $2,400 $1.33 22d 1 0.31mi
138 E Crown Point Dr Saratoga Springs, UT 4.0 2.5 2044 $2,550 $1.25 3d 1 0.46mi
268 E Wren Hill Ln Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.5 2200 $2,095 $0.95 3d 1 0.79mi
485 Pony Express Pkwy Saratoga Springs, UT 1.0–6.0 1.0–4.0 1957 $3,189 $1.63 3d 117 0.88mi
967 E Drifter Ln Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1399 $2,200 $1.57 15d 1 0.99mi
986 Manifest Ln #2110 Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,200 $1.38 24d 1 1.01mi
982 E Drifter Ln Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 3.0 1508 $2,250 $1.49 24d 1 1.02mi
243 N Portside Ln Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1399 $2,150 $1.54 15d 1 1.04mi
1033 E Bearing Dr Saratoga Springs, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1070 $1,903 $1.78 3d 25 1.05mi
487 N Scuttlebutt Ln Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.5 2187 $2,190 $1.00 3d 1 1.11mi
1077 E Jack Dr Saratoga Springs, UT 4.0 3.5 2200 $2,500 $1.14 3d 1 1.14mi
38 N Heading Ct Unit 1 Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,895 $1.30 22d 1 1.20mi
157 E Jordan Ridge Blvd #311 Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1255 $1,650 $1.31 20d 1 1.22mi
127 Jordan Ridge Blvd Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1278 $1,595 $1.25 3d 1 1.22mi
1149 E Hatch Row Saratoga Springs, UT 4.0 3.0 1967 $2,395 $1.22 15d 1 1.27mi
1256 Commerce Dr Saratoga Springs, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1147 $1,759 $1.53 3d 15 1.32mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$162 · $1,944/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $410,000 Active 103 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $410,000 Active 102 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $410,000 Active 101 DOM
  4. 2026-02-18
    listed $410,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,706 · $226/mo
Expected delta
+$1,286/yr (+$107/mo · 90.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,450
− Mortgage interest
−$22,966
− Property taxes
−$1,420
− Insurance
−$2,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,356
− Management
−$2,356
− HOA
−$1,944
− Depreciation
−$11,927
Taxable loss
−$15,570
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,737
After-tax cash flow
$-4,213/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alpine District
NCES district ID
4900030
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$68,595
Composite
42.48/100
National rank
#3213
State rank
#25 of 80 in UT

Livability — Saratoga Springs

Score
70/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#7648

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saratoga Springs, UT
County
Utah County · 661,754 people
City population
45,429
Metro
Provo-Orem, UT
Population (ZIP)
45,429
Household income
$130,331
Rent vs Own
14.8% rent · 85.2% own
Severe rent burden
476.0

Population outlook (Utah County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
693,420 people
By 2030
757,324 · +9.2%
By 2040
893,178 · +28.8%
By 2050
1,035,842 · +49.4%
By 2075
1,376,733 · +98.5%
By 2100
1,609,388 · +132.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Scottish 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Utah

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.8) · D 28.5% · R 68.3% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+19.1pp toward D · 2008: -58.9pp · 2024: -39.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+78.5 2008: R+58.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.09%
Current HPI
298.0545
Rent YoY
▲ 0.68%
Metro
Provo-Orem, UT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.54%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $410,000 WFRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…