227 N Riverside Dr · Saratoga Springs, UT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
$410,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BRAND NEW Row-End Townhome, Prime location this home is an opportunity you don't want to miss. Situated directly on Riverside, a major route with direct freeway access in about 10 minutes (I-15) and under 5 minutes to the city's main commercial corridor-from Smith's in the south to Walmart in the north and everything in between-you're perfectly positioned for work, shopping, and daily life. Enjoy a unique lifestyle feature: a nearby park, pool and playground visible in a straight line from your garage, with stunning mountain views toward Eagle Mountain perfect for kids, relaxation, and outdoor living. This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home is an ideal starter home. Whether you're looking for a place
Key facts
- Pool and playground
- Nearby park
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $162; Community clubhouse; Association amenities include biking and hiking trails, picnic area, playground, pool, and snow removal
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Culinary (water) connected
- Home design: Townhouse (row-end); Residential property; Built/standing
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built/standing construction status; Above-grade finished area approximately 1587
- Exterior features: Double pane windows; Open porch; Sliding glass doors; Partially fenced yard; Full landscaping
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range/oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 1 partial bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas central heating (≥ 95% efficiency); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bath; Walk-in closet; Great room; Built-in range/oven; Blinds; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $410k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-662 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $293k (28.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (40.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $245k (40.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#93 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Springside School (math 41% / reading 44%, grade F, #278 of 585 statewide, top 49%, 735 students, 12% FRL); Lake Mountain Middle (math 40% / reading 44%, grade D-, #58 of 138 statewide, top 43%, 1,412 students, 13% FRL); Westlake High (math 39% / reading 48%, grade F, #50 of 171 statewide, top 29%, 2,659 students, 12% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1175 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $44k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $41k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$70k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.60% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.92%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 13.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $175,397
- Equity at exit
- $369,360
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.70×
- Total profit
- $539,169
- Equity at exit
- $796,540
Cash invested: $114,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84045
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 1175
- Price-to-rent
- 13.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,454 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,150
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,420/yr
- Insurance
- −$171
- HOA
- −$162
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $-662
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-430 | -5% $-546 | +0% $-662 | +5% $-779 | +10% $-895 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-856 | -5% $-759 | +0% $-662 | +5% $-566 | +10% $-469 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-456 | -0.5pp $-558 | base $-662 | +0.5pp $-769 | +1.0pp $-877 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $102,500
- Closing costs
- $12,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251 N Riverside Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1587 | $2,250 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 39 S Baker Spring Cv Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 138 E Crown Point Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2044 | $2,550 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 268 E Wren Hill Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,095 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 485 Pony Express Pkwy Saratoga Springs, UT | 1.0–6.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1957 | $3,189 | $1.63 | 3d | 117 | 0.88mi |
| 967 E Drifter Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 986 Manifest Ln #2110 Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 982 E Drifter Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1508 | $2,250 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 243 N Portside Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,150 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1033 E Bearing Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,903 | $1.78 | 3d | 25 | 1.05mi |
| 487 N Scuttlebutt Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2187 | $2,190 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1077 E Jack Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2200 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 38 N Heading Ct Unit 1 Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 157 E Jordan Ridge Blvd #311 Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,650 | $1.31 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 127 Jordan Ridge Blvd Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,595 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1149 E Hatch Row Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1967 | $2,395 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1256 Commerce Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1147 | $1,759 | $1.53 | 3d | 15 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $162 · $1,944/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $410,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $410,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $410,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-02-18$410,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,420 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,706 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,286/yr (+$107/mo · 90.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,450
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,966
- − Property taxes
- −$1,420
- − Insurance
- −$2,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,356
- − Management
- −$2,356
- − HOA
- −$1,944
- − Depreciation
- −$11,927
- Taxable loss
- −$15,570
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,737
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alpine District
- NCES district ID
- 4900030
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,595
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #3213
- State rank
- #25 of 80 in UT
Livability — Saratoga Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #7648
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saratoga Springs, UT
- County
- Utah County · 661,754 people
- City population
- 45,429
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,429
- Household income
- $130,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 476.0
Population outlook (Utah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 693,420 people
- By 2030
- 757,324 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 893,178 · +28.8%
- By 2050
- 1,035,842 · +49.4%
- By 2075
- 1,376,733 · +98.5%
- By 2100
- 1,609,388 · +132.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Scottish 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Utah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.8) · D 28.5% · R 68.3% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.1pp toward D · 2008: -58.9pp · 2024: -39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+78.5 2008: R+58.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.09%
- Current HPI
- 298.0545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Listed $410,000 WFRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…