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1180 5th St
B+ Composite 77.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

1180 5th St · Evansville, WY 82636
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 1980 Fair condition $36/sqft · 22% below area Est $39k · 22% under ↓ 41% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lot of recent improvements including windows, roof re-coating- new wall paneling. Affordable living on an owned lot in Evansville with 2 good sized bedrooms, 2 bath areas sitting on a large, private corner lot with mature landscaping and trees.

Key facts

  • Built 1980
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (mobile/manufactured, detached)
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Wood fencing; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($910 rent vs $30k).
  • Cap rate 26.9% vs local median 10.1% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#51 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Natrona County School District #1 (urban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 41 in WY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 310 units permitted in Natrona County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Natrona County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.04%
Cap rate
26.86%
Cash-on-cash
73.45%
DSCR
4.27
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$38,540
List price
$29,900
Delta
115.36%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1180 5th St 0.00mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 0mo $29,900 $36 100
1180 5th St 0.00mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 1mo $83,000 $99 99
1029 5th St 0.09mi 2/1.0 840 (0%) 14mo $42,000 $50 80
1130 Park Ln 0.06mi 2/1.8 924 (+10%) 14mo $38,000 $41 68
259 2nd St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 952 (+13%) 17mo $48,900 $51 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
73.2%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$27,804
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
77.0%
Equity multiple
8.92×
Total profit
$66,290
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82636

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$910 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$191
Net cashflow
$512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $533 -5% $523 +0% $512 +5% $502 +10% $492
Rent -10% $440 -5% $476 +0% $512 +5% $548 +10% $584
Rate -1.0pp $527 -0.5pp $520 base $512 +0.5pp $505 +1.0pp $497

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $29,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $29,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $29,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-04-15
    listed $83,000 Active 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Lot of recent improvements including windows, roof re-coating- new wall paneling. Affordable living on an owned lot in Evansville with 2 good sized bedrooms, 2 bath areas sitting on a large, private corner lot with mature landscaping and trees.

  9. 2024-05-14
    price $105,000
  10. 2024-03-03
    price $115,000
  11. 2024-02-22
    listed $125,000 Active
  12. 2022-12-30
    soldstatus
  13. 2022-12-16
    listed $51,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,922
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$874
− Management
−$874
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$6,032
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,448
After-tax cash flow
$4,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires significant exterior and interior repairs, but has potential for substantial value increase with updates.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant damage
  • Major exterior paint — Worn and peeling
  • Major interior paint — Worn and peeling
  • Major kitchen cabinets — Older and worn
  • Major bathroom fixtures — Older and worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior siding and paint — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes and increases value
  • Both bathroom fixtures — Modernizes and increases value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior paint · Worn and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
interior paint · Worn and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen cabinets · Older and worn Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · Older and worn Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior siding and paint — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes and increases value
  • Both bathroom fixtures — Modernizes and increases value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natrona County School District #1
NCES district ID
5604510
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$55,217
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3437
State rank
#32 of 41 in WY

Livability — Evansville

Score
68/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#9711

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, WY
Population (ZIP)
3,856

Population outlook (Natrona County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
98,530 people
By 2030
107,084 · +8.7%
By 2040
124,838 · +26.7%
By 2050
143,617 · +45.8%
By 2075
192,378 · +95.2%
By 2100
228,435 · +131.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Natrona

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.6) · D 24.8% · R 73.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.4pp · 2024: -48.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.6 2020: R+47.6 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.77%
Current HPI
195.2252
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-41.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $29,900 WMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $83,000 WMLS
  • 2024-05-14 Price Changed $105,000 WMLS
  • 2024-03-03 Price Changed $115,000 WMLS
  • 2024-02-22 Listed $125,000 WMLS
  • 2022-12-30 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2022-12-16 Listed $51,000 WMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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