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1180 5th St
B- Composite 66.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.8

$29,900

1180 5th St · Evansville, WY 82636
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1980 Fair condition $36/sqft · 64% below area ↓ 41% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lot of recent improvements including windows, roof re-coating- new wall paneling. Affordable living on an owned lot in Evansville with 2 good sized bedrooms, 2 bath areas sitting on a large, private corner lot with mature landscaping and trees.

Key facts

  • Built 1980
  • Listed 9 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($683 rent vs $30k).
  • Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 5.0% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#51 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Natrona County School District #1 (urban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 41 in WY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #128 of 151 statewide, top 86%, 459 students, 67% FRL); Centennial Middle School (math 37% / reading 54%, grade D+, #40 of 55 statewide, top 72%, 796 students, 31% FRL); Kelly Walsh High School (math 49% / reading 60%, grade C-, #18 of 75 statewide, top 30%, 2,051 students, 29% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 310 units permitted in Natrona County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 10% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Natrona County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.28%
Cap rate
19.65%
Cash-on-cash
47.70%
DSCR
3.12
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$83,000
List price
$29,900
Delta
-63.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1180 5th St 0.00mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 3mo $29,900 $36 97
1180 5th St 0.00mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 4mo $83,000 $99 97
1029 5th St 0.09mi 2/1.0 840 (0%) 18mo $42,000 $50 77
1130 Park Ln 0.06mi 2/1.8 924 (+10%) 18mo $38,000 $41 65
259 2nd St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 952 (+13%) 20mo $48,900 $51 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.1%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$16,361
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
51.0%
Equity multiple
5.97×
Total profit
$41,581
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82636

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$683 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$143
Net cashflow
$333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $353 -5% $343 +0% $333 +5% $322 +10% $312
Rent -10% $279 -5% $306 +0% $333 +5% $360 +10% $387
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $340 base $333 +0.5pp $325 +1.0pp $317

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Exterior

Parking
No garage
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerNatural gas available
Home design
Residential mobile home (mobile/manufactured, detached)
Construction
Wood siding construction
Exterior features
Covered patio/porchWood fencingShed(s) on the property

Interior

Flooring
CarpetVinyl
Heating & cooling
Forced air heating
Interior features
Carpet and vinyl flooring

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $29,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $29,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $29,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-04-15
    listed $83,000 Active 244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (244 chars)

    Lot of recent improvements including windows, roof re-coating- new wall paneling. Affordable living on an owned lot in Evansville with 2 good sized bedrooms, 2 bath areas sitting on a large, private corner lot with mature landscaping and trees.

  9. 2024-05-14
    price $105,000
  10. 2024-03-03
    price $115,000
  11. 2024-02-22
    listed $125,000 Active
  12. 2022-12-30
    soldstatus
  13. 2022-12-16
    listed $51,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,194
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$655
− Management
−$655
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$3,740
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$898
After-tax cash flow
$3,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $21,000–$37,800 screening

This manufactured home requires significant exterior and interior repairs, but has potential for substantial value increase with updates.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant damage
  • Major exterior paint — Worn and peeling
  • Major interior paint — Worn and peeling
  • Major kitchen cabinets — Older and worn
  • Major bathroom fixtures — Older and worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior siding and paint — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes and increases value
  • Both bathroom fixtures — Modernizes and increases value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 46/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Woods Learning Center F WY #118/151 Nat'l #19,648/41,679 Middle Centennial Middle School D+ WY #40/55 Nat'l #4,522/14,009 High Kelly Walsh High School C- WY #18/75 Nat'l #4,461/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natrona County School District #1
NCES district ID
5604510
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$55,217
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3437
State rank
#32 of 41 in WY
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Evansville

Score
68/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#9711

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, WY
County
Natrona · 98,530 people
Metro
Casper, WY
Population (ZIP)
3,856
Household income
$82,592
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own

Population outlook (Natrona County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
98,530 people
By 2030
107,084 · +8.7%
By 2040
124,838 · +26.7%
By 2050
143,617 · +45.8%
By 2075
192,378 · +95.2%
By 2100
228,435 · +131.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Natrona

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.6) · D 24.8% · R 73.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.4pp · 2024: -48.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.6 2020: R+47.6 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-41.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $29,900 WMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $83,000 WMLS
  • 2024-05-14 Price Changed $105,000 WMLS
  • 2024-03-03 Price Changed $115,000 WMLS
  • 2024-02-22 Listed $125,000 WMLS
  • 2022-12-30 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2022-12-16 Listed $51,000 WMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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