3137 Roger Williams Dr Unit C · Bridgeton, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AMAZING NEW PRICE! Age restricted community, one person in the home needs to be 52+ years old. MAIN FLOOR, ONE LEVEL LIVING with Private Laundry! MOVE-in Condition! 52+ Community, NO RENTALS in this building. Secure entry with keypad. New steel, insulated front door. All appliances stay. All electric home. Newer vinyl thermal, double hung windows. Freshly painted. Some new doors; all doors freshly painted. New flooring in all rooms, except, laundry room. Neutral plush gray carpeting in living room and bedrooms, NEW in 2025! Neutral Luxury Plank Vinyl in Kitchen, Dining room & Bathroom also new in 2025. New closet organizers in both closets: shelving, baskets & tie racks. Remodeled Bathroom boasts an adult height oversized vanity with cabinets and drawers. Combination tub/shower with new shower surround, moveable shower head, new toilet, & lever style faucet. Wainscoting. Updated Kitchen has black appliances: overhead microwave & dishwasher new in 2025, also smoothtop stove & refrigerator. Shaker-style Cabinets, and stone-look laminate counters. Dual basin sink. Water Heater new in 2011. Laundry room accommodates full size washer and dryer. Two linen closets with new shelving. Deep coat closet. Water Heater new in 2011. Seller to provide 1 year Shield Essential AHS Home Warranty for your peace of mind. HVAC system has been regularly maintained. No rentals in this Association. 2 Pets allowed, however, no dogs allowed. Association charges at $500. transfer fee; payment is negotiable between the parties.
Key facts
- $315 HOA
- Built 1969
- Listed 254 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 5.3% in Bridgeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#691 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Pattonville R-III (suburban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #147 of 324 in MO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $90k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.74%
- DSCR
- 2.19
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,231
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -5.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $21,349
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $65,388
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63044
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $887/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$315
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $561
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $612 | -5% $586 | +0% $561 | +5% $535 | +10% $510 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $415 | -5% $488 | +0% $561 | +5% $634 | +10% $707 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $606 | -0.5pp $584 | base $561 | +0.5pp $538 | +1.0pp $514 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11091 Saxonhall Dr Bridgeton, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,706 | $1.65 | 18d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3253 Greenbridge Dr Bridgeton, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1066 | $2,561 | $2.40 | 11d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 11120 Graben Dr St Ann, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 2d | 14 | 0.73mi |
| 11042 Florence Ave Saint Ann, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7 Edgeworth Ave Maryland Heights, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 988 | $1,995 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11918 Brookmont Dr Maryland Heights, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,800 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $315 · $3,780/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 255 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 254 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 253 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 695-char remark
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 246 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 240 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 238 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 237 DOM
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2026-05-12price $89,900 1551-char remark
Show marketing remark (1551 chars)
AMAZING NEW PRICE! Age restricted community, one person in the home needs to be 52+ years old. MAIN FLOOR, ONE LEVEL LIVING with Private Laundry! MOVE-in Condition! 52+ Community, NO RENTALS in this building. Secure entry with keypad. New steel, insulated front door. All appliances stay. All electric home. Newer vinyl thermal, double hung windows. Freshly painted. Some new doors; all doors freshly painted. New flooring in all rooms, except, laundry room. Neutral plush gray carpeting in living room and bedrooms, NEW in 2025! Neutral Luxury Plank Vinyl in Kitchen, Dining room & Bathroom also new in 2025. New closet organizers in both closets: shelving, baskets & tie racks. Remodeled Bathroom boasts an adult height oversized vanity with cabinets and drawers. Combination tub/shower with new shower surround, moveable shower head, new toilet, & lever style faucet. Wainscoting. Updated Kitchen has black appliances: overhead microwave & dishwasher new in 2025, also smoothtop stove & refrigerator. Shaker-style Cabinets, and stone-look laminate counters. Dual basin sink. Water Heater new in 2011. Laundry room accommodates full size washer and dryer. Two linen closets with new shelving. Deep coat closet. Water Heater new in 2011. Seller to provide 1 year Shield Essential AHS Home Warranty for your peace of mind. HVAC system has been regularly maintained. No rentals in this Association. 2 Pets allowed, however, no dogs allowed. Association charges at $500. transfer fee; payment is negotiable between the parties.
-
2026-02-02price $96,000 1551-char remark
Show marketing remark (1551 chars)
AMAZING NEW PRICE! Age restricted community, one person in the home needs to be 52+ years old. MAIN FLOOR, ONE LEVEL LIVING with Private Laundry! MOVE-in Condition! 52+ Community, NO RENTALS in this building. Secure entry with keypad. New steel, insulated front door. All appliances stay. All electric home. Newer vinyl thermal, double hung windows. Freshly painted. Some new doors; all doors freshly painted. New flooring in all rooms, except, laundry room. Neutral plush gray carpeting in living room and bedrooms, NEW in 2025! Neutral Luxury Plank Vinyl in Kitchen, Dining room & Bathroom also new in 2025. New closet organizers in both closets: shelving, baskets & tie racks. Remodeled Bathroom boasts an adult height oversized vanity with cabinets and drawers. Combination tub/shower with new shower surround, moveable shower head, new toilet, & lever style faucet. Wainscoting. Updated Kitchen has black appliances: overhead microwave & dishwasher new in 2025, also smoothtop stove & refrigerator. Shaker-style Cabinets, and stone-look laminate counters. Dual basin sink. Water Heater new in 2011. Laundry room accommodates full size washer and dryer. Two linen closets with new shelving. Deep coat closet. Water Heater new in 2011. Seller to provide 1 year Shield Essential AHS Home Warranty for your peace of mind. HVAC system has been regularly maintained. No rentals in this Association. 2 Pets allowed, however, no dogs allowed. Association charges at $500. transfer fee; payment is negotiable between the parties.
-
2025-10-07$99,000 Active 1551-char remark
Show marketing remark (1551 chars)
AMAZING NEW PRICE! Age restricted community, one person in the home needs to be 52+ years old. MAIN FLOOR, ONE LEVEL LIVING with Private Laundry! MOVE-in Condition! 52+ Community, NO RENTALS in this building. Secure entry with keypad. New steel, insulated front door. All appliances stay. All electric home. Newer vinyl thermal, double hung windows. Freshly painted. Some new doors; all doors freshly painted. New flooring in all rooms, except, laundry room. Neutral plush gray carpeting in living room and bedrooms, NEW in 2025! Neutral Luxury Plank Vinyl in Kitchen, Dining room & Bathroom also new in 2025. New closet organizers in both closets: shelving, baskets & tie racks. Remodeled Bathroom boasts an adult height oversized vanity with cabinets and drawers. Combination tub/shower with new shower surround, moveable shower head, new toilet, & lever style faucet. Wainscoting. Updated Kitchen has black appliances: overhead microwave & dishwasher new in 2025, also smoothtop stove & refrigerator. Shaker-style Cabinets, and stone-look laminate counters. Dual basin sink. Water Heater new in 2011. Laundry room accommodates full size washer and dryer. Two linen closets with new shelving. Deep coat closet. Water Heater new in 2011. Seller to provide 1 year Shield Essential AHS Home Warranty for your peace of mind. HVAC system has been regularly maintained. No rentals in this Association. 2 Pets allowed, however, no dogs allowed. Association charges at $500. transfer fee; payment is negotiable between the parties.
-
2025-10-06historical $99,000 1551-char remark
Show marketing remark (1551 chars)
AMAZING NEW PRICE! Age restricted community, one person in the home needs to be 52+ years old. MAIN FLOOR, ONE LEVEL LIVING with Private Laundry! MOVE-in Condition! 52+ Community, NO RENTALS in this building. Secure entry with keypad. New steel, insulated front door. All appliances stay. All electric home. Newer vinyl thermal, double hung windows. Freshly painted. Some new doors; all doors freshly painted. New flooring in all rooms, except, laundry room. Neutral plush gray carpeting in living room and bedrooms, NEW in 2025! Neutral Luxury Plank Vinyl in Kitchen, Dining room & Bathroom also new in 2025. New closet organizers in both closets: shelving, baskets & tie racks. Remodeled Bathroom boasts an adult height oversized vanity with cabinets and drawers. Combination tub/shower with new shower surround, moveable shower head, new toilet, & lever style faucet. Wainscoting. Updated Kitchen has black appliances: overhead microwave & dishwasher new in 2025, also smoothtop stove & refrigerator. Shaker-style Cabinets, and stone-look laminate counters. Dual basin sink. Water Heater new in 2011. Laundry room accommodates full size washer and dryer. Two linen closets with new shelving. Deep coat closet. Water Heater new in 2011. Seller to provide 1 year Shield Essential AHS Home Warranty for your peace of mind. HVAC system has been regularly maintained. No rentals in this Association. 2 Pets allowed, however, no dogs allowed. Association charges at $500. transfer fee; payment is negotiable between the parties.
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2003-08-20soldstatus $57,500
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2001-07-20soldstatus $29,000
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1994-09-22soldstatus
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1994-09-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$887
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − HOA
- −$3,780
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $5,844
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,403
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pattonville R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2923700
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,786
- Composite
- 33.69/100
- National rank
- #5383
- State rank
- #147 of 324 in MO
Livability — Bridgeton
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #691
- US rank
- #22610
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bridgeton, MO
- City population
- 10,510
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,510
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -254.60%
- Current HPI
- 207.5311
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+210.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $96,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-07 Listed $99,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-06 Coming Soon $99,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 2001-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 1994-09-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-09-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2022): $887 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…