525 W Thompson St · Paragould, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the market !! 525 W Thompson! This property includes the home plus the adjoining lot, offering extra space and added value. The home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a closed-in front and back porch, and a dedicated laundry room. It is being SOLD "AS IS. " It does need some work, but it presents an excellent opportunity for the right buyer. Perfect for flippers, investors, or anyone looking for a project with great potential. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Adjoining lot
- Detached
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.5% in Paragould — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#159 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Paragould School District (town): math 35% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #124 of 238 in AR (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 187 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 265 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (135 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.47%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,020
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -31.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 624 W Thompson St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (-3%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $44 | 88 |
| 3505 Sweet Gum | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,497 (+6%) | 0mo | $232,430 | $155 | 70 |
| 816 W Park St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,331 (-6%) | 10mo | $94,500 | $71 | 66 |
| 107 E Pearl St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,339 (-5%) | 5mo | $112,000 | $84 | 57 |
| 812 W Emerson St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,246 (-12%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 1105 W Thompson | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,582 (+12%) | 2mo | $121,250 | $77 | 56 |
| 105 E Pearl St E | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,500 (+6%) | 8mo | $135,900 | $91 | 53 |
| 608 W Poplar | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,524 (+8%) | 8mo | $159,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 508 Bertig St | 0.31mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,206 (-15%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $33 | 50 |
| 114 Meadow Cir | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-12%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $132 | 44 |
| 315 N 6th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (-14%) | 5mo | $192,000 | $157 | 41 |
| 121 S 12th St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,242 (-12%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $64 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $4,224
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $25,777
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72450
- Home prices YoY
- -8.9%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $986 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 S 4th St Unit 1 Paragould, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $725 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1204 S 8th St Unit 2 Paragould, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $950 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 800 S 3rd Ave Paragould, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $900 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 804 Ada St Unit 3 Paragould, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1059 | $950 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 812 Ada St Unit 3 Paragould, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $950 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 528 E Lake St Paragould, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $695 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 307 N 12th Ave Paragould, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,195 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $80,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Back on Market 187 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Back on Market 186 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Back on Market 185 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Back on Market 183 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $80,000 Back on Market 182 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Price Change 181 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricestatusdays on market $80,000 Price Change 180 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-03-10status Back on Market 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Welcome to the market !! 525 W Thompson! This property includes the home plus the adjoining lot, offering extra space and added value. The home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a closed-in front and back porch, and a dedicated laundry room. It is being SOLD "AS IS. " It does need some work, but it presents an excellent opportunity for the right buyer. Perfect for flippers, investors, or anyone looking for a project with great potential. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-25historical Take Backups 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Welcome to the market !! 525 W Thompson! This property includes the home plus the adjoining lot, offering extra space and added value. The home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a closed-in front and back porch, and a dedicated laundry room. It is being SOLD "AS IS. " It does need some work, but it presents an excellent opportunity for the right buyer. Perfect for flippers, investors, or anyone looking for a project with great potential. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-12-10$99,000 Active 467-char remark
Show marketing remark (467 chars)
Welcome to the market!! 525 W Thompson! This property includes the home plus the adjoining lot, offering extra space and added value. The home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a closed-in front and back porch, and a dedicated laundry room. It is being SOLD AS IS. It does need some work, but it presents an excellent opportunity for the right buyer. Perfect for flippers, investors, or anyone looking for a project with great potential. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-12-09$99,000 New Listing 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Welcome to the market !! 525 W Thompson! This property includes the home plus the adjoining lot, offering extra space and added value. The home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a closed-in front and back porch, and a dedicated laundry room. It is being SOLD "AS IS. " It does need some work, but it presents an excellent opportunity for the right buyer. Perfect for flippers, investors, or anyone looking for a project with great potential. Schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $675 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $675 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,835
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$947
- − Management
- −$947
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,058
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$494
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,747/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paragould School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500017
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,644
- Composite
- 28.67/100
- National rank
- #6696
- State rank
- #124 of 238 in AR
Livability — Paragould
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #13582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paragould, AR
- County
- Greene County · 40,807 people
- City population
- 40,807
- Metro
- Paragould, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,807
- Household income
- $57,725
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1297.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,533 people
- By 2030
- 50,640 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 54,795 · +12.9%
- By 2050
- 58,486 · +20.5%
- By 2075
- 66,056 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 67,684 · +39.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.6% · R 79.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -61.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.2 2020: R+59.7 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+36.9 2008: R+29.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.15%
- Current HPI
- 236.1404
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Paragould, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2025-12-10 Listed $99,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2025-12-09 Listed $99,000 CARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…