2811 E 20th St · Midway, FL 32771

$88,999

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 714 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1930 0.90 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.2/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Endless Potential in Rapidly Growing Sanford! Bring new life to this spacious property—restore the existing structure (no access/house is boarded up) or start fresh with a brand-new infill build. This impressive 0.90-acre lot stretches the full length between 20th St. and 21st St. , offering plenty of room to create your vision. While the lot cannot be subdivided, it qualifies for an Accessory Dwelling Unit (ADU)—a perfect opportunity for multi-generational living, rental income, or a private guest space. Located just minutes from the Orlando-Sanford Airport, exciting new shopping centers, and award-winning sports complexes, this property

Key facts

• New shopping centers
• 0.90-acre lot
• 0.9 acre lot

Tags

• 0.90-ACRE LOT
• ACCESSORY DWELLING UNIT
• NEW SHOPPING CENTERS
• AWARD-WINNING SPORTS COMPLEXES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
• Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.1% in Midway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 565 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $88,999

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.42% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 18.65%
• DSCR: 1.83
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $200,634
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2453 Sipes Ave	0.47mi	2/1.0 (+1)	800 (+12%)	7mo	$225,000	$281	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.28×
• Total profit: $7,011
• Equity at exit: $13,270

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.01×
• Total profit: $25,287
• Equity at exit: $7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32771

• Rents YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 565
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,264 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$467
• Tax from tax record: −$108 /mo · $1,292/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$265
• Net cashflow: $387

Break-even live

Break-even rent $774

Max offer price $88,999

Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $438	-5% $412	+0% $387	+5% $362	+10% $337
Rent	-10% $287	-5% $337	+0% $387	+5% $437	+10% $487
Rate	-1.0pp $432	-0.5pp $410	base $387	+0.5pp $364	+1.0pp $341

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,250
• Closing costs: $2,670
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3320 Lincoln St Sanford, FL	2.0	1.0	648	$700	$1.08	24d	1	0.25mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2025-11-17
   status Pending
2. 2025-11-05
   listed $88,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,292 · $108/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,292 · $108/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,170
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,985
• − Property taxes: −$1,292
• − Insurance: −$445
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,214
• − Management: −$1,214
• − Depreciation: −$2,589
• Taxable income: $3,432
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$824
• After-tax cash flow: $3,823/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Seminole
• NCES district ID: 1201710
• Math proficiency: 57% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 61% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $58,478
• Composite: 51.05/100
• National rank: #1769
• State rank: #13 of 73 in FL

Livability — Midway

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Midway, FL
• County: Seminole County · 436,154 people
• Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
• Population (ZIP): 62,606
• Household income: $77,868
• Rent vs Own: 37.7% rent · 62.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 2645.0

Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 515,494 people
• By 2030: 545,713 · +5.9%
• By 2040: 598,068 · +16.0%
• By 2050: 640,663 · +24.3%
• By 2075: 724,461 · +40.5%
• By 2100: 755,530 · +46.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 43% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Seminole

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -281.27%
• Current HPI: 299.2738
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.38%
• Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-11-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-11-05 Listed $88,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,292 · -14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.