505 S Main St · Tuscola, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits at 505 S Main St in Tuscola. This property offers plenty of old-world charm and character and is in overall good condition, but it does need updating, making it a great opportunity for experienced investors or flippers looking to add value. With the right improvements, the home has strong potential as a renovation project or long-term investment. Located in a quiet and peaceful small-town setting with convenient access to the expressway, it offers the balance of relaxed living and accessibility. Cash or hard money only. Property is being sold as-is and the seller will make no repairs. Proof of funds is required prior to scheduling a showing.
Key facts
- Convenient access
- Good condition
- 0.51 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/7.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 4.4% in Tuscola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#257 in IL, #4,735 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Tuscola CUSD 301 (town): math 16% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #380 of 620 in IL (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.48%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $254,762
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -72.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 E Scott St | 0.56mi | 5/3.5 | 4,006 (-13%) | 14mo | $420,000 | $105 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $30,350
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.14×
- Total profit
- $79,966
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61953
- Home prices YoY
- -30.6%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $652
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $69,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $90,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 505 S Main St in Tuscola. This property offers plenty of old-world charm and character and is in overall good condition, but it does need updating, making it a great opportunity for experienced investors or flippers looking to add value. With the right improvements, the home has strong potential as a renovation project or long-term investment. Located in a quiet and peaceful small-town setting with convenient access to the expressway, it offers the balance of relaxed living and accessibility. Cash or hard money only. Property is being sold as-is and the seller will make no repairs. Proof of funds is required prior to scheduling a showing.
-
2026-05-04price $95,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 505 S Main St in Tuscola. This property offers plenty of old-world charm and character and is in overall good condition, but it does need updating, making it a great opportunity for experienced investors or flippers looking to add value. With the right improvements, the home has strong potential as a renovation project or long-term investment. Located in a quiet and peaceful small-town setting with convenient access to the expressway, it offers the balance of relaxed living and accessibility. Cash or hard money only. Property is being sold as-is and the seller will make no repairs. Proof of funds is required prior to scheduling a showing.
-
2026-04-28price $97,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 505 S Main St in Tuscola. This property offers plenty of old-world charm and character and is in overall good condition, but it does need updating, making it a great opportunity for experienced investors or flippers looking to add value. With the right improvements, the home has strong potential as a renovation project or long-term investment. Located in a quiet and peaceful small-town setting with convenient access to the expressway, it offers the balance of relaxed living and accessibility. Cash or hard money only. Property is being sold as-is and the seller will make no repairs. Proof of funds is required prior to scheduling a showing.
-
2026-04-19price $99,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 505 S Main St in Tuscola. This property offers plenty of old-world charm and character and is in overall good condition, but it does need updating, making it a great opportunity for experienced investors or flippers looking to add value. With the right improvements, the home has strong potential as a renovation project or long-term investment. Located in a quiet and peaceful small-town setting with convenient access to the expressway, it offers the balance of relaxed living and accessibility. Cash or hard money only. Property is being sold as-is and the seller will make no repairs. Proof of funds is required prior to scheduling a showing.
-
2026-04-04price $109,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 505 S Main St in Tuscola. This property offers plenty of old-world charm and character and is in overall good condition, but it does need updating, making it a great opportunity for experienced investors or flippers looking to add value. With the right improvements, the home has strong potential as a renovation project or long-term investment. Located in a quiet and peaceful small-town setting with convenient access to the expressway, it offers the balance of relaxed living and accessibility. Cash or hard money only. Property is being sold as-is and the seller will make no repairs. Proof of funds is required prior to scheduling a showing.
-
2026-03-30price $114,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 505 S Main St in Tuscola. This property offers plenty of old-world charm and character and is in overall good condition, but it does need updating, making it a great opportunity for experienced investors or flippers looking to add value. With the right improvements, the home has strong potential as a renovation project or long-term investment. Located in a quiet and peaceful small-town setting with convenient access to the expressway, it offers the balance of relaxed living and accessibility. Cash or hard money only. Property is being sold as-is and the seller will make no repairs. Proof of funds is required prior to scheduling a showing.
-
2026-03-22$114,500 Active 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Opportunity awaits at 505 S Main St in Tuscola. This property offers plenty of old-world charm and character and is in overall good condition, but it does need updating, making it a great opportunity for experienced investors or flippers looking to add value. With the right improvements, the home has strong potential as a renovation project or long-term investment. Located in a quiet and peaceful small-town setting with convenient access to the expressway, it offers the balance of relaxed living and accessibility. Cash or hard money only. Property is being sold as-is and the seller will make no repairs. Proof of funds is required prior to scheduling a showing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,143
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,371
- − Management
- −$1,371
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $7,148
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,715
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,105/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscola CUSD 301
- NCES district ID
- 1739600
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,982
- Composite
- 19.62/100
- National rank
- #8748
- State rank
- #380 of 620 in IL
Livability — Tuscola
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #257
- US rank
- #4735
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tuscola, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,439
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,209 people
- By 2030
- 18,940 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 18,397 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 17,829 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 16,395 · -14.6%
- By 2100
- 14,329 · -25.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.1% · R 72.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.9pp toward R · 2008: -21.3pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+36.8 2008: R+21.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.74%
- Current HPI
- 192.1209
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
-21.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $97,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $99,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $109,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $114,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-22 Listed $114,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $4,815 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…