31825 Skyline Dr · Lake Mack-Forest Hills, FL 32720

$159,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1994 0.28 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.6/30.0
• DSCR +8.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.3/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome home to peaceful country living with the convenience of town just minutes away! This well-maintained 1994 manufactured home offers 1,152 square feet of comfortable living space on a spacious 0.30-acre owned lot—no lot rent and no HOA restrictions to worry about. Inside, you'll find a desirable split-bedroom floor plan featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The home includes a functional kitchen with a cozy dinette area, a separate dining room, and a large family room that provides plenty of space for gathering and entertaining. Enjoy your morning coffee or relax in the evenings from the screened front porch, where you can take in the quiet surroundings and country atmosphe

Key facts

• Functional kitchen
• Screened front porch
• Spacious owned lot

Tags

• SPACIOUS OWNED LOT
• NO LOT RENT
• NO HOA RESTRICTIONS
• SPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLAN
• FUNCTIONAL KITCHEN
• SCREENED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Furnished; One well and one septic on the property
• HOA & community: Not in a development; Pets allowed; No association reported

Exterior

• Parking: Carport with space for 2 vehicles
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Public utilities available
• Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Northwest facing; Completed condition
• Construction: Metal frame and wood frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block and pier/pillar/post foundation; Built as a double wide manufactured home
• Exterior features: Covered, enclosed front porch and patio; Awning(s); Shed(s); Level, paved lot; Trees and landscaping

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Split bedroom floor plan; Thermostat
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Seminole Springs Elementary School (math 63% / reading 58%, grade B-, #664 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 479 students, 57% FRL); Umatilla High School (math 24% / reading 29%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 861 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 437 active listings in the ZIP; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $159,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.12%
• DSCR: 1.45
• GRM: 7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.97×
• Total profit: $-1,221
• Equity at exit: $23,842

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.73×
• Total profit: $32,562
• Equity at exit: $13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32720

• Rents YoY: 3.4%
• Active inventory: 437
• Price-to-rent: 7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,800 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$139 /mo · $1,671/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$378
• Net cashflow: $378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,322

Max offer price $159,900

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,975
• Closing costs: $4,797
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-18
   remarks 693-char remark
2. 2026-06-18
   listed $159,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,671 · $139/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,671 · $139/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,599
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,957
• − Property taxes: −$1,671
• − Insurance: −$800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,728
• − Management: −$1,728
• − Depreciation: −$4,652
• Taxable income: $2,064
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$495
• After-tax cash flow: $4,035/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lake
• NCES district ID: 1201050
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $46,632
• Composite: 42.05/100
• National rank: #3327
• State rank: #37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake Mack-Forest Hills

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lake Mack-Forest Hills, FL
• County: Volusia County · 556,871 people
• Metro: Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 36,259
• Household income: $68,830
• Rent vs Own: 30.5% rent · 69.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1145.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 386,640 people
• By 2030: 417,107 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 476,676 · +23.3%
• By 2050: 531,296 · +37.4%
• By 2075: 648,303 · +67.7%
• By 2100: 698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 11% Two or more races 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -194.54%
• Current HPI: 330.7324
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.36%
• Metro: Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-18 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+24.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,671 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.